Month: September 2016

PUBLIC NOTICE : SEPTEMBER 30TH, 2016

by Shirlian Queeley

THIS IS MONTSERRAT'S PUBLIC WEATHER FORECAST FOR TODAY AND TOMORROW 1ST OCTOBER 2016 8 AM

GENERAL SITUATION: Hurricane Matthew will continue to move a safe distance in the Central Caribbean Sea away from the Northeast Caribbean. However, some instability and moisture trailing the system could still trigger some showers and thunderstorms over the islands.

WEATHER:

TODAY: Partly cloudy to cloudy with a high chance of showers. One or two heavy downpours accompanied by outbreaks of thunderstorms are possible but mainly during the afternoon.

TONIGHT: Cloudy with a good chance of some more showers. There is also the chance of a thunderstorm or two.

WINDS: ENE-E at 08-13kts/(14-24km/h) over land and peaking to near 16kts/(30km/h) over coastal waters.

SEAS: Rough; heights 1.8-2.1m or 6-7ft. Warnings remain in place for small craft operators and sea bathers against hazardous sea conditions.

PUBLIC NOTICE: MATTHEW NOW A HURRICANE

by Shirlian Queeley

The National Hurricane Centre(NHC) has upgraded Matthew to a hurricane. Reports from an Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft indicate that the maximum sustained winds have increased to near 75 mph (110km/h) with higher gusts - a Category 1 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. Gradual strengthening is expected during the next 48 hours.

Matthew is centered as of 2 p.m. about 190 miles (300 km) northeast of Curacao and is moving toward the west.

A general westward motion with some decrease in forward speed is expected during the next couple of days.

A Tropical Storm Watch continues for Bonaire, Curacao, and Aruba, where tropical storm conditions are possible beginning late today. Interests along the coasts of Venezuela and Colombia should monitor the progress of Matthew.

Get the latest on this tropical cyclone by visiting the NHC website atwww.hurricanes.gov

PUBLIC NOTICE: HERE’S THE LATEST UPDATE ON TROPICAL STORM MATTHEW – OCTOBER 29TH, 2016

by Shirlian Queeley

A USAF Hurricane Hunter plane has found that Tropical Storm Matthew is a little stronger. Maximum sustained winds are now near 70 mph (110 km/h) with higher gusts. Gradual strengthening during the next 48 hours is forecast, and Matthew is expected to become a hurricane later today or tonight.

The Government of Barbados has discontinued the Tropical Storm Warning for St. Vincent and the Grenadine Islands. A Tropical Storm Watch continues for Bonaire, Curacao, and Aruba, where tropical storm conditions are possible beginning late today.

Matthew is centered at 8 a.m EDT about 300 miles (480 km) south of San Juan and 265 miles (430 km) east-northeast of Curacao.On the forecast track, the center of Matthew is forecast to pass to the north of Aruba, Bonaire, and Curacao through Friday.

Remember, the average NHC track errors at days 4 and 5 are on the order of 180 and 240 miles, respectively. Thus it is too early to determine what, if any, impacts Matthew may have onto the U.S. Gulf or Atlantic coastal areas.

PUBLIC NOTICE: 29TH SEPTEMBER, 2016

by Shirlian Queeley

THIS IS MONTSERRAT'S PUBLIC WEATHER FORECAST FOR TODAY AND TOMORROW FRIDAY 30 TH SEPTEMBER 2016 8 AM

GENERAL SITUATION: Trailing cloudiness, with embedded showers associated with Tropical storm Matthew, and windy conditions will continue to affect the islands.

WEATHER: TODAY:Cloudy to partly cloudy and hazy with isolated showers. TONIGHT: Partly cloudy with isolated showers.

WINDS: E to ENE at 28 to 44km/h or 15 to 24 knots with occasional higher gusts.

SEAS: Moderate to rough with waves 1.5 to 2.2 metres or 5 to 7 feet. Small craft and sea bather warnings remain in effect.

ATMOSPHERIC PRESSURE: Near normal.

PUBLIC NOTICE: TESTING OF THE EMERGENCY ALERT SYSTEM

by Shirlian Queeley

The Disaster Management Coordination Agency (DMCA) will be carrying out a test of its National Siren System on Thursday September 29th, 2016, between 10 and 11 am.

Residents are asked not to be alarmed once the siren is sounded, as this is only a test of the Montserrat’s Siren System.

If a real event occurs, the public will be advised accordingly.

The DMCA is thankful for the ongoing public support, understanding and cooperation in this regard.

PUBLIC NOTICE UPDATE: TROPICAL STORM MATTHEW FORMS, COULD BE A HURRICANE FRIDAY

by Shirlian Queeley

National Hurricane Center (NHC) is issuing advisories on newly formed Tropical Storm Matthew, the 13th named storm of the 2016 Atlantic hurricane season. Surface observations and data from an Air Force Reserve reconnaissance aircraft indicate that the tropical wave passing through the Windward Islands has acquired a closed circulation. It's centered at 11 a.m. AST about 35 miles (55 km) southeast of St. Lucia. Maximum sustained winds are near 60 mph (95 km/h) with higher gusts. Gradual strengthening during the next couple of days is forecast, and Matthew could become a hurricane by Friday.

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for Guadeloupe, Martinique, St. Lucia, Dominica, Barbados, St. Vincent, and the Grenadine Islands.Tropical storm conditions are expected to spread over the southern Leeward Islands and northern Windward Islands within the next few hours and continue into this evening. Interests in Bonaire, Curacao, Aruba, and elsewhere in the Lesser Antilles should monitor the progress of Matthew.

PUBLIC NOTICE: TROPICAL STORM ALERT STATEMENT ISSUED BY THE ANTIGUA AND BARBUDA MET SERVICES WEDNESDAY 28TH SEPTEMBER 7:59 AM

by Shirlian Queeley
TROPICAL STORM ALERT STATEMENT ISSUED BY THE ANTIGUA AND BARBUDA METEOROLOGICAL SERVICES 7:59 AM

THIS IS FOR THE LEEWARD ISLANDS AND BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS

THE ANTIGUA AND BARBUDA METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE CONTINUES TO CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 97L. THE SYSTEM HAS A 90 PERCENT CHANCE OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE (I.E. TROPICAL DEPRESSION, TROPICAL STORM OR HURRICANE) IN 48 HOURS.

AT 8 AM ECT OR 1200Z, THE CENTRE OF THE TROPICAL DISTURBANCE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.0 NORTH, LONGITUDE 59.0 WEST OR ABOUT 430 MILES EAST OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS AND 550 MILES BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS.

THE DISTURBANCE IS MOVING WEST TO WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT AROUND 15 MPH AND THE CENTRE IS EXPECTED TO PASS OVER OVER THE WINDWARD ISLANDS LATER TODAY AND OVER 15O MILES SOUTH OF ANTIGUA.

THE DISTURBANCE IS PRODUCING WINDS OF 40 TO 45 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS MAINLY TO THE NORTH OF THE CENTER. IT IS POSSIBLE WITH SOME STRENGTHENING EXPECTED THAT THE SYSTEM COULD BECOME A DEPRESSION OR A TROPICAL STORM LATER TODAY.

REGARDLESS OF WHETHER OR NOT THE SYSTEM BECOMES A TROPICAL STORM BEFORE OR AS IT MOVES THROUGH THE WINDWARD ISLANDS, SOME SQAULLY CONDITIONS (SHOWERS, THUNDERSTORMS AND GUSTY WINDS) COULD SPREAD TO THE LEEWARD ISLANDS LATER TODAY AND CONTINUING THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING. SIMILAR WEATHER COULD SPREAD TO THE VIRGIN ISLANDS ON THURSDAY MORNING. POSSIBLE RAINFALL TOTAL IS 12.6 TO 50 MM OR 0.50 TO 2 INCHES.

FOR THE LEEWARD ISLANDS AND THE BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS, WINDS WILL GRADUALLY INCREASE, PEAKING NEAR 25 MPH AND GUSTING TO NEAR 40 MPH WEDNESDAY EVENING. RESIDENTS SHOULD SECURE LIGHT OBJECTS. NO SUSTAINED STORM-FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED; THUS, NO TROPICAL STORM WATCHES OR WARNINGS ARE ANTICIPATED FOR THE ISLANDS.

SEAS ARE DETERIORATING AND ARE EXPECTED TO PEAK TO NEAR 10 FEET. HENCE, MARINE WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT; MARINERS SHOULD SEEK SAFE ANCHORAGE AND RESIDENTS SHOULD AVOID THE BEACHES.

ALL RESIDENTS ARE URGED TO MONITOR THE MOVEMENT OF DISTURBANCE 97L CLOSELY UNTIL IT IS OUT OF THE AREA BY FRIDAY MORNING.

PUBLIC NOTICE: TROPICAL STORM ALERT STATEMENT ISSUED BY THE ANTIGUA AND BARBUDA MET SERVICES WEDNESDAY 28TH SEPTEMBER 3:00 AM

by Shirlian Queeley

THIS IS FOR THE LEEWARD ISLANDS AND BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS

...POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE REMAINS A THREAT...

THE ANTIGUA AND BARBUDA METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE CONTINUES TO CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 97L. THE SYSTEM HAS A 90 PERCENT CHANCE OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE (I.E. TROPICAL DEPRESSION, TROPICAL STORM OR HURRICANE) IN 48 HOURS.

AT 2 AM ECT OR 0600 UTC, THE CENTRE OF THE POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE WAS LOCATED AROUND LATITUDE 13.0N, LONGITUDE 56.5W OR ABOUT 550 MILES SOUTHEAST OF ANTIGUA AND ABOUT 650 MILES SOUTHEAST OF THE BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS.

THE DISTURBANCE IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST TO WEST-NORTHWEST AT 15 TO 20 MPH. THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 TO 48 HOURS. ON THIS TRACK, THE CENTRE OF THE SYSTEM SHOULD PASS OVER 140 MILES SOUTH OF ANTIGUA.

THE POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE HAS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 40 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS, MAINLY TO THE NORTH OF THE CENTRE. FURTHER STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST AND THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO BE UPGRADED TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION OR TROPICAL STORM WITHIN THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

MOST OF THE CLOUDS, SHOWERS AND WINDS EXTEND FOR A FEW HUNDRED MILES NORTH OF THE CENTRE. THIS MEANS THAT THERE IS A HIGH CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS SPREADING ACROSS THE LEEWARD ISLANDS, MAINLY LATE TODAY AND CONTINUING THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING. SIMILAR WEATHER IS LIKELY ACROSS THE BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS, MAINLY LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING. POSSIBLE RAINFALL TOTAL IS 10 TO 50 MM OR 0.40 TO 2 INCHES.

FOR THE NORTHEAST CARIBBEAN, WINDS WILL GRADUALLY INCREASE, PEAKING NEAR 25 MPH AND GUSTING TO NEAR 40 MPH WEDNESDAY EVENING. RESIDENTS SHOULD SECURE LIGHT OBJECTS. NO SUSTAINED STORM-FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED; THUS, NO TROPICAL STORM WATCHES OR WARNINGS ARE ANTICIPATED FOR THE ISLANDS. THEREFORE, MOST DAILY ACTIVITIES SHOULD CONTINUE AS USUAL.

SEAS ARE DETERIORATING AND ARE EXPECTED TO PEAK NEAR 4 METRES OR 13 FEET. HENCE, MARINE WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT; MARINERS SHOULD SEEK SAFE ANCHORAGE AND RESIDENTS SHOULD AVOID THE BEACHES.

ALL RESIDENTS ARE URGED TO MONITOR THE MOVEMENT OF DISTURBANCE 97L CLOSELY UNTIL IT IS OUT OF THE AREA BY FRIDAY MORNING.

PUBLIC NOTICE: 28TH SEPTEMBER, 2016

by Shirlian Queeley

THIS IS MONTSERRAT'S PUBLIC WEATHER FORECAST FOR TODAY AND TOMORROW 29TH SEPTEMBER 2016 8 PM

GENERAL SITUATION: A potential tropical cyclone (tropical disturbance) is expected to cause unsettled weather, strong winds and hazardous seas over the next 24 hours. Possible rainfall total for the next forecast period is 10 to 50 mm (0.40 to 2.00 in). A flash flood advisory for minor flooding may be required for portions of the forecast period.

WEATHER TODAY: Overcast with near a 100 percent (or high) chance of rain, showers and thunderstorms, some heavy at times, mainly after midday.

WEATHER TONIGHT: Overcast with a 90 percent (or high) rain, showers and thunderstorms, some heavy at times.

WINDS: East-northeast today and east tonight at 30 to 41 km/h or 16 to 22 knots with gusts to near 63 km/h or 34 knots.

SEAS: Very rough with heights peaking near 3.6 metres or 12 feet. Marine warnings are in effect; mariners should seek safe anchorage and residents should avoid the beaches.

PUBLIC NOTICE: TROPICAL DISTURBANCE ALERT STATEMENT ISSUED BY THE ANTIGUA AND BARBUDA MET SERVICES TUESDAY, SEPTEMBER 27, 2016 AT 6:30 AM

by Shirlian Queeley

THIS IS FOR THE LEEWARD ISLANDS AND BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED ABOUT 600 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF THE WINDWARD ISLANDS, CONTINUE TO SHOW SIGNS OF ORGANIZATION AND A TROPICAL CYCLONE COULD BE FORMING.

IF THIS TREND CONTINUES, THEN A TROPICAL DEPRESSION OR A TROPICAL STORM WOULD LIKELY FORM LATER TODAY WHILE THE SYSTEM MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARDS TO WESTWARDS AT ABOUT 20MPH. AS A RESULT, WATCHES AND WARNINGS COULD BE REQUIRED AT ANY TIME.

REGARDLESS OF DEVELOPMENT, HEAVY RAINS AND STRONG GUSTY WINDS POSSIBLY TO TROPICAL STORM FORCE, ARE EXPECTED TO SPREAD MAINLY OVER THE WINDWARD ISLANDS AND PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHERN LESSER ANTILLES BEGINNING TONIGHT AND CONTINUING INTO WEDNESDAY. AN AIR FORCE RESERVE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT IS SCHEDULED TO INVESTIGATE THE DISTURBANCE THIS AFTERNOON.

WHEREAS THIS DISTURBANCE HAS A GREATER CHANCE OF AFFECTING THE WINDWARDS ISLANDS, RESIDENTS OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM