Month: February 2017

MONTSERRAT’S WEATHER FORECAST FOR TODAY AND TOMORROW WEDNESDAY MARCH 1ST, 2017 VALID UP TO 8 AM

by Shirlian Queeley
SYNOPSIS: A tightening pressure gradient will continue to support windy conditions and rough seas across the area. WEATHER: Skies today and tonight will be partly cloudy . A few locally cloudy periods and brief passing showers could develop.
SPECIAL WARNINGS: Warnings for mariners and sea bathers remain firmly in effect. WINDS: ENE-E at 12-20 kt, (22-37km/h) on land reaching 24kt, (44km/h) over open waters.. SEAS: Rough with heights 1.8-3.1m/6-9ft. Warnings for mariners and sea bathers remain firmly in effect.

MONTSERRAT VOLCANO OBSERVATORY (MVO) WEEKLY REPORT FOR THE PERIOD FEBRUARY 17TH TO 24TH, 2017

by Shirlian Queeley
Activity at the Soufrière Hills Volcano remains low. The seismic network recorded one volcano-tectonic earthquake this week. No measurements of the SO2 flux have been possible since 7 November 2016. The smell of volcanic gases was noticeable at times on 22 and 23 February when the light prevailing winds blew the gas plume northwards over inhabited areas. Pyroclastic flows can occur at any time without warning on any side of the volcano, including Gages from where they can travel rapidly into Plymouth. Tracks across the Belham Valley can be destroyed or heavily modified by flash flooding or lahars, and caution should be exercised crossing the valley during and after rainfall.

MONTSERRAT’S WEATHER FORECAST FOR TODAY AND TOMORROW TUESDAY FEBRUARY 28TH, 2017 VALID UP TO 8 AM

by Shirlian Queeley
SYNOPSIS: High pressure and a strong pressure gradient will respectively produce a stable atmosphere and moderate to fresh breezes across the Leeward Islands. The winds becoming gusty later this afternoon into the night could drive some patches of low level clouds and brief passing showers across the islands.
WEATHER: TODAY: Partly sunny to cloudy with the chance of some brief and widely scattered showers later in the afternoon. Tonight: Partly cloudy to cloudy with a good chance of scattered showers. SPECIAL WARNINGS: A small craft warning is now in effect especially for the coastal waters on the Atlantic side of the islands and sea bathers should continue to exercise caution. WINDS: ENE at 12-18kts/(22-33 km/h) over land and increasing near 20kts/(37 km/h) over coastal waters. Some gusts are also likely especially this evening. SEAS: Moderate to locally rough, waves 1.5-2.1m or 5-7ft. A small craft warning is now in effect especially for the coastal waters on the Atlantic side of the islands and sea bathers should continue to exercise caution.

MONTSERRAT’S WEATHER FORECAST FOR TODAY AND TOMORROW SATURDAY FEBRUARY 25TH, 2017 VALID UP TO 8 AM

by Shirlian Queeley
SYNOPSIS: Notwithstanding the presence of a weak low level trough over the area, low moisture levels will restrict shower acitivty over the Leewards and BVI today. By tonight, a slight increase in moisture is expected to generate a few light showers over these islands WEATHER: Today; Partly cloudy with a low chance of showers
TONIGHT: Fair to partly cloudy with brief isolated showers possible WINDS: Southeasterly at 6-12kts or 11-22km/h. SEAS: Swells 1.5m or 5ft..

MONTSERRAT’S WEATHER FORECAST FOR TODAY AND TOMORROW FRIDAY FEBRUARY 24TH, 2017 VALID UP TO 8 AM

by Shirlian Queeley
SYNOPSIS: A dry, stable and cool air mass will continue to linger across the area today and tonight, thus restricting any significant shower activity over and around the islands during that time. WEATHER: Partly sunny skies today and mostly clear and cool conditions tonight with only a slight chance of an isolated shower.
SPECIAL WARNINGS: Small craft operators and sea bathers should continue to exercise caution. WINDS: SE at 6-15km/h (3-8kts) becoming variable or calm at times. SEAS: Moderate to locally rough, swells 1.5-1.8m or 5-6ft.

NEWS ITEM: ROAD CLEARED FROM TRANTS BAY TO THE VILLAGE FOR MOVIE PRODUCTION

by Shirlian Queeley

Director of the Montserrat Volcano Observatory (MVO) Rod Stewart and Senior Disaster Management Coordinator at the Disaster Management Coordination Agency (DMCA) Astrid Wade today visited the exclusion zone to assess the safety and evacuation procedures and conditions of the road cleared from Trants Bay to the Village to accommodate filming of the movie Wendy.

The road was constructed by the Film Crew on island producing the movie Wendy.

The work was carried out by Galloways and Associates.

MONTSERRAT’S WEATHER FORECAST FOR TODAY AND TOMORROW THURSDAY FEBRUARY 23RD, 2017 VALID UP TO 8 AM

by Shirlian Queeley
SYNOPSIS: A low pressure area is located just northeast of the area. However low moisture levels will keep cloudiness and showers at a minimum. WEATHER: Skies today will be partly sunny with low chances for isolated brief showers. Tonight skies will be fair to partly cloudy with low chances for isolated brief showers.
WINDS: NW-NNW at 5-10 kt, (9-19 km/h). SEAS: Moderate with heights 1.2m/4ft.

MONTSERRAT’S WEATHER FORECAST FOR TODAY AND TOMORROW WEDNESDAY FEBRUARY 22ND, 2017 VALID UP TO 8 AM

by Shirlian Queeley
SYNOPSIS: Moisture and instability associated with a frontal trough over the Northeast Caribbean will increase the chance of shower activity across the Leeward Islands. WEATHER:
TODAY: Cloudy with a high chance of showers. Some moderate to heavy downpours are possible especially during the afternoon. TONIGHT: Partly cloudy to cloudy with the chance of scattered showers. WINDS: WSW-WNW at 04-10kts/(7-19 km/h). Some light and variable or calm spells are expected tonight.. SEAS: Slight, swells 0.9-1.2m or 3-4ft.

MONTSERRAT VOLCANO OBSERVATORY WEEKLY REPORT FOR THE PERIOD FEBRUARY 10TH TO 17TH, 2017

by Shirlian Queeley
Activity at the Soufrière Hills Volcano remains low. The seismic network recorded six volcano-tectonic earthquakes this week.
No measurements of the SO2 flux have been possible since 7 November 2016. Pyroclastic flows can occur at any time without warning on any side of the volcano, including Gages from where they can travel rapidly into Plymouth. Tracks across the Belham Valley can be destroyed or heavily modified by flash flooding or lahars, and caution should be exercised crossing the valley during and after rainfall. The Hazard Level is 1. There is no public access to Zone V, including Plymouth. Maritime Zones E and W are daytime transit only between sunrise and sunset (boats may sail through the zone but must not stop). Anyone who ignores these restrictions is liable to be prosecuted.

MONTSERRAT’S WEATHER FORECAST FOR TODAY AND TOMORROW TUESDAY FEBRUARY 21ST, 2017 VALID UP TO 8 AM

by Shirlian Queeley
SYNOPSIS: A cold front will likely cause unsettled weather across the area tonight. Hence, possible rainfall total for the next 24 hours is up to 10 mm or up to 0.40 in. WEATHER TODAY: Partly sunny with a 30 percent (or moderate) chance of showers.
WEATHER TONIGHT: Mostly cloudy with a 60 percent (or high) chance of showers. WINDS: Variable at less than 19 km/h or less than10 knots. SEAS: 1.5 metres or 5 feet, mainly with long period swells on the eastern side of the islands.