Month: October 2018

7 DAY MARINE WEATHER FORECAST MON. OCTOBER 29th TO SUN. NOVEMBER 4th, 2018

by Shirlian Queeley
Monday, October 29th, 2018. 6 A 6 PM. Seas.. are Northerly 2 to 3' N 3 to 4' Winds. are light Easterly @ 8 SE 4 MPH. Skies. are SUNNY.
Tuesday, October 30th, 2018 Seas.. are Northerly 3 to 4' N 2 to 3' Winds. are South-easterly @ 4 to 8 SE 4 MPH. Skies. are SUNNY. Wednesday, October 31st, 2018 Seas.. are Northerly 2' N 2 to 3' Winds. are Easterly @ 4 to 8 SE 4 MPH. Skies. are SUNNY. (Tropical Wave) Thursday, November 1st, 2018 Seas.. are 2' to 3' 3 to 4' Winds. are Easterly @ 8 to 12 E 12 MPH. Skies. are Partly SUNNY. Friday, November 2nd, 2018 Seas.. are 4 to 5' 4 to 5' Winds. are Easterly @ 12 to 16 N E 12 to 16 MPH. Skies. are Cloudy in AM. and Partly SUNNY in PM. Saturday, November 3rd, 2018 Seas.. are Northerly 4 to 5' N 4 to 5' Winds. are North-easterly @ 12 N E 12 MPH. Skies. are Partly SUNNY in AM. and Cloudy in PM. Sunday, November 4th, 2018 Seas.. are Northerly 4 to 6' N 4 to 6' Winds. are Easterly @ 15 to 20 E 12 to 16 MPH. Skies. are Partly SUNNY with light rain showers throughout the day.

MONTSERRAT VOLCANO OBSERVATORY (MV0) WEEKLY REPORT OCTOBER 19TH TO OCTOBER 26TH, 2018

by Shirlian Queeley
 

Activity at the Soufrière Hills Volcano remains low.

The seismic network recorded five volcano-tectonic earthquakes this week.

There have been no measurements of the SO2 flux from the helicopter since 8 October. Data from the new permanent gas-monitoring stations, which are currently being tested, indicate that the flux remains in the range 100 to 400 tonnes per day.

Pyroclastic flows can occur at any time without warning on any side of the volcano, including Gages from where they can travel rapidly into Plymouth. Tracks across the Belham Valley can be destroyed or heavily modified by flash flooding or lahars, and caution should be exercised crossing the valley during and after rainfall.

The Hazard Level is 1. There is no public access to Zone V, including Plymouth. Maritime Zones E and W are daytime transit only between sunrise and sunset (boats may sail through the zone but must not stop). Anyone who ignores these restrictions is liable to be prosecuted.

Please continue to monitor ZJB Radio, DMCA’s website at www.dmca.gov.ms and Facebook at Montserrat Disaster Management Coordination Agency-DMCA for regular updates.

MONTSERRAT’S NATIONAL WEATHER FORECAST VALID UP TO 8 AM TUESDAY OCTOBER 30TH, 2018

by Shirlian Queeley
  SYNOPSIS: A light, warm and marginally moist wind flow produced by a trough induced by Hurricane Oscar will maintain a high chance of showers across the region. The winds remaining light throughout the day will also contribute to an uncomfortably warm environment.
WEATHER TODAY: Partly sunny at first then becoming cloudy during the latter part of the morning and this afternoon with a 70 percent or high chance of showers. There is also a 20 percent or slight chance of thunderstorms during the afternoon. WEATHER TONIGHT: Mostly cloudy with a 70 percent or high chance of showers. WINDS: Southeasterly at 6 to 15 km/h or 3 to 8 knots today then becoming light and variable or calm tonight. SEAS: Low swells with significant wave heights 1.2 to 2.1 metres or 4 to 7 feet. A high surf advisory remains in effect and hence, beachgoers should continue to exercise caution against above normal breaking swells. Sunset today: 5:40 pm. Sunrise tomorrow: 6:06 am. Please continue to monitor DMCA ’s facebook page -Montserrat Disaster Management Coordination Agency -DMCA and website – www.dmca.gov.msand ZJB Radio Montserrat for regular updates.

MONTSERRAT’S NATIONAL WEATHER FORECAST VALID UP TO 8 AM FRIDAY OCTOBER 27TH, 2018

by Shirlian Queeley
  SYNOPSIS: Sinking air and low moisture levels will continue to inhibit shower activity across the area.
WEATHER: Weather today: Mostly sunny. Weather tonight: Mostly clear. WINDS: Northeast at less than 19 km/h or less than 10 knots. SEAS: Low swells with significant wave heights of less than 1.5 metres or less than 5 feet. Sunset today: 5:42 pm. Sunrise tomorrow: 6:05 am. Please continue to monitor DMCA ’s facebook page -Montserrat Disaster Management Coordination Agency -DMCA and website – www.dmca.gov.msand ZJB Radio Montserrat for regular updates.

NEW TROPICAL DISTURBANCE HAS AN 80 PERCENT CHANCE OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 5 DAYS .

by Shirlian Queeley
A low pressure system centered about 900 miles east-northeast of the northern Leeward Islands is gradually becoming better defined and the associated shower and thunderstorm activity is showing signs of organization. This low is expected to move generally northward over the next couple of days into an area where environmental conditions are forecast to be conducive for further development, and a tropical or subtropical storm is likely to form by early this weekend. After that time, the system is forecast to turn westward well to the north or northeast of the Lesser Antilles through early next week. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent.
Please continue to monitor DMCA ’s facebook page -Montserrat Disaster Management Coordination Agency -DMCA and website – www.dmca.gov.msand ZJB Radio Montserrat for regular updates.

MONTSERRAT’S NATIONAL WEATHER FORECAST VALID UP TO 8 AM THURSDAY OCTOBER 26TH, 2018

by Shirlian Queeley
  SOURCE: A stable air-mass anchored across the area will continue to inhibit significant shower activity for the next 24hrs.
WEATHER TODAY: Sunny with a 10 percent or slight chance of late afternoon showers. WEATHER TONIGHT: Mostly fair with a 10 percent or slight chance of showers. WINDS: Easterly at 6 to17 km/h or 3 to 9 knots and becoming variable to near calm. SEAS: Slight to moderate with swells up to 1.5 m or 5 feet. Sunset today: 5:42pm Sunrise tomorrow: 6:05 am. Please continue to monitor DMCA ’s facebook page -Montserrat Disaster Management Coordination Agency -DMCA and website – www.dmca.gov.msand ZJB Radio Montserrat for regular updates.

MONTSERRAT’S NATIONAL WEATHER FORECAST  VALID UP TO 8 AM WEDNESDAY OCTOBER 24TH, 2018

by Shirlian Queeley
SYNOPSIS: A settled and an atmosphere low on moisture will restrict shower activity across the region. A weakened pressure gradient will also reduce the strength of the winds across area. WEATHER TODAY: Partly sunny with a 30 percent or low chance of showers. WEATHER TONIGHT: Mostly fair with a 10 percent or slight chance of showers. WINDS: East-northeast at 9 to 19 km/h or 5 to 10 knots.. SEAS: Slight to moderate with significant wave heights 1.2 to 1.5 metres or 4 to 5 feet.. Sunset today: 5:44 pm. Sunrise tomorrow: 6:04 am. Please continue to monitor DMCA ’s facebook page -Montserrat Disaster Management Coordination Agency -DMCA and website – www.dmca.gov.msand ZJB Radio Montserrat for regular updates.

MONTSERRAT VOLCANO OBSERVATORY (MV0) WEEKLY REPORT OCTOBER 12TH TO OCTOBER 19TH, 2018

by Shirlian Queeley
 
The seismic network recorded eight volcano-tectonic earthquakes this week. There have been no measurements of the SO2 flux from the helicopter since 8 October. Data from the new permanent gas-monitoring stations, which are currently being tested, indicate that the flux remains in the range 100 to 400 tonnes per day. Pyroclastic flows can occur at any time without warning on any side of the volcano, including Gages from where they can travel rapidly into Plymouth. Tracks across the Belham Valley can be destroyed or heavily modified by flash flooding or lahars, and caution should be exercised crossing the valley during and after rainfall. The Hazard Level is 1. There is no public access to Zone V, including Plymouth. Maritime Zones E and W are daytime transit only between sunrise and sunset (boats may sail through the zone but must not stop). Anyone who ignores these restrictions is liable to be prosecuted. Please continue to monitor ZJB Radio, DMCA’s website at www.dmca.gov.ms and Facebook at Montserrat Disaster Management Coordination Agency-DMCA for regular updates.

MONTSERRAT’S NATIONAL WEATHER FORECAST VALID UP TO 8 AM TUESDAY OCTOBER 22ND, 2018

by Shirlian Queeley
  SYNOPSIS: Lingering moisture and instability from the passage of a tropical wave will trigger a few more cloudiness and showers across the area today.
WEATHER TODAY: Partly cloudy with a 50 percent or moderate chance of showers. WEATHER TONIGHT: Partly cloudy with a 30 percent or low chance of showers. WINDS: East at 11 to 22 km/h or 6 to 12 knots. SEAS: Moderate with significant wave heights 1.5 metres or 5 feet. Sunset today: 5:44 pm. Sunrise tomorrow: 6:04 am. Please continue to monitor DMCA ’s facebook page -Montserrat Disaster Management Coordination Agency -DMCA and website – www.dmca.gov.msand ZJB Radio Montserrat for regular updates.

7 DAY MARINE WEATHER FORECAST MON. OCTOBER 22nd TO SUN. OCTOBER 28th, 2018

by Shirlian Queeley
  Monday, October 22nd, 2018 6AM.. 6PM.. Seas.. are North easterly @ 3 to 4' NE 3 to 4' Winds.. are Easterly @ 12 E 8 to 12 MPH. Skies.. A "Tropical Wave" goes thru.. Partly Cloudy, with a chance of a PM. shower.
Tuesday, October 23rd, 2018 Seas.. are North easterly @ 3 to 4' NE 2 to 3' Winds.. are North-easterly @ 8 to 12 E 8 MPH. Skies.. Partly Cloudy, with a chance of PM. showers, LOW Pressure system 900 miles East. Wednesday, October 24th, 2018 Seas.. are 2 to 3' 2 to 3' Winds.. are Easterly @ 8 SE 0 MPH. Skies.. Overnight Showers, A SUNNY DAY, with a chance of PM. showers. Thursday, October 25th, 2018 Seas.. are NE 2 to 3' 2 ' Winds.. are South-easterly @ 4 S 0 MPH. Skies.. Partly Cloudy. Friday, October 26th, 2018 Seas.. are 2 to 3' 2 ' Winds.. are South-easterly @ 4 E 4 MPH. Skies.. Partly Sunny. Saturday, October 27th, 2018 Seas.. are NE 2 to 3' 2 ' Winds.. are Easterly @ 4 to 8 E 8 MPH. Skies.. Partly Sunny. Sunday, October 28th, 2018 Seas.. are NE 2 to 3' N 2 to 3' Winds.. are Easterly @ 8 E 8 MPH. Skies.. Partly Sunny. Please continue to monitor ZJB Radio, DMCA’s website at www.dmca.gov.ms and facebook at Montserrat Disaster Management Coordination Agency-DMCA for regular updates.