WEATHER TODAY: Partly cloudy to locally cloudy with a 40 percent or moderate chance of brief light showers
WEATHER TONIGHT: Partly cloudy with a 40 percent or moderate chance of brief light showers
WINDS: East-southeast with average speeds between 6 to 14 knots or 11 to 26 km/h becoming more easterly by tonight.
SEAS: 1.2 to 1.8 meters or 4 to 6 feet.
HIGH: 29 °C/ 84 °F
LOW: 22 °C/72 ° F
Sunset today: 6:05 pm. Sunrise tomorrow: 6:40 am.
In a press statement issued by The Caribbean Regional Fisheries Mechanism (CRFM) in January 2019, it has initiated a regional fact-finding study to document the record-breaking influx of Sargassum seaweed in the Caribbean Sea in 2018, and the impacts this phenomenon has been having on countries in the region since 2011.
The release stated that the fact-finding survey is funded by the Japan International Cooperation Agency (JICA), that has coordinated official development assistance from Japan to CARICOM States for over two decades.
According to the statement, over the past 7 years, massive Sargassum influxes have been having adverse effects on national and regional economies in the Caribbean, with substantial loss of livelihoods and economic opportunities, primarily in the fisheries and tourism sectors.
It added that the large Sargassum influxes had been experienced in this region in 2011, 2014 and 2015, but it reached unprecedented levels in 2018, with more Sargassum affecting the Caribbean for a longer period of time than had previously been observed.
The release further stated that it is estimated that clean-up could cost the Caribbean at least $120 million in 2018.
The CRFM Ministerial Council adopted the “Protocol for the Management of Extreme Accumulations of Sargassum on the Coasts of CRFM Member States” in 2016. The protocol has been guiding the drafting of national Sargassum management protocols for Grenada, St. Kitts & Nevis, St. Lucia, and St. Vincent and the Grenadines, with support from the CC4FISH project, an initiative of the United Nations Food and Agriculture Organisation (FAO).
SYNOPSIS: Relatively dry and stable conditions throughout the atmospheric column will keep shower activity across the area to a minimum for the forecast period.
WEATHER TODAY: Partly sunny with a 30 percent or low chance of showers.
WEATHER TONIGHT: Partly cloudy with a 20 percent or slight chance of showers.
WINDS: Easterly with speeds ranging between 15 to 30 km/h or 8 to 16 knots.
SEAS: 1.2 to 1.8 metres or 4 to 6 feet.
Sunset Today: 6:04 pm. Sunrise Tomorrow: 6:40 am.
HIGH: 29 °C/ 84 °F
LOW: 20 °C/68 ° F
Measurements of the SO2 flux were taken from the helicopter on 18 and 23 January. There were eight traverses on both days with an average flux of 355 tonnes per day on 18 January and 392 tonnes per day on 23 January.
Pyroclastic flows can occur at any time without warning on any side of the volcano, including Gages from where they can travel rapidly into Plymouth. Tracks across the Belham Valley can be destroyed or heavily modified by flash flooding or lahars, and caution should be exercised crossing the valley during and after rainfall.
The Hazard Level is 1. There is no public access to Zone V, including Plymouth. Maritime Zones E and W are daytime transit only between sunrise and sunset (boats may sail through the zone but must not stop). Anyone who ignores these restrictions is liable to be prosecuted.
Tuesday, January 29th, 2019 Seas.. are 3 to 4' 3 to 4 feet high. Winds. are Easterly @ 8 to 12 SE 12 MPH. Skies.. are Partly Cloudy with some possible showers between 11AM. and 2 PM...
Wednesday, January 30th, 2019 Seas.. are 3 to 4' 3 to 4 feet high. Winds. are Easterly @ 12 SE 12 MPH. Skies.. are Partly Cloudy
Thursday, January 31st, 2019 Seas.. are 4 to 5' 3 to 4 feet high. Winds. are Easterly @ 12 to 16 E 12 MPH. Skies.. are mainly SUNNY.
Friday, February 1st, 2019 Seas.. are 3 to 4' 3 to 4 feet high. Winds. are North-easterly @ 12 E 12 MPH. Skies.. are SUNNY, with an overnight shower.
Saturday, February 2nd, 2019 Seas.. are 3 to 4' 3 to 4 feet high. Winds. are Easterly @ 12 E 8 to 12 MPH. Skies.. are SUNNY, with an overnight shower.
SYNOPSIS: A weak moisture boundary along with a moderate windflow will affect the Leewards and BVI today and into tonight
WEATHER TODAY: Partly cloudy to cloudy with a 60 percent or moderate chance of showers
WEATHER TONIGHT: Partly cloudy with a 40 percent or moderate chance of a brief shower
WINDS: Easterly at 10 to 18 knots or 19 to 33 km/h gusting higher at times.
SEAS: 1.8 to 2.8 meters or 6 to 9 feet with northerly swells between 1.5 to 1.8 meters or 5 to 6 feet. Advisories for small craft operators and sea bathers remain in effect.
Sunset Today: 6:02 pm. Sunrise Tomorrow: 6:41 am.
TODAY'S TEMPS: HIGH: 29 °C/ 84 °F LOW: 22 °C/72 ° F
According to Dale Destin, Meteorologist/Climatologist for the Antigua and Barbuda Meteorological Service Climate Section the swells are likely to exceed 2.5 metres (8 ft) and occasionally exceeding 3 metres (10 ft), coming out of the north.
He stated that these swells will result in dangerous surfs for beachgoers; hence, advisories and or warnings will be required.
The Meteorologist/Climatologist purported that the swell event will be generated by gale-force/storm-force winds, from a powerful low-pressure system, making its way across the northern North Atlantic.
He disclosed that this is the same system that dumped an obscene amount of snow – over 660 mm (26 in) across parts of the United States. Obviously, none of this weather will reach the Caribbean but the sea swells will.
Destin confirmed that the swells in and of themselves are not the real concern. The greater concern is the large breaking swells or high surfs that these swells will cause when they reach the shorelines across the region. Such long period swells can result in surfs as high as twice their heights i.e. up to 6 metres (20 ft).
He stated that the eventual height of the surfs is largely dependent on the bathymetry (shape and depth) of the nearshore coastal areas they interact with. Generally, the shallower the nearshore areas, the higher the surfs. The greatest impact will be on the north-facing beaches and coastlines.
According to the Meteorologist/Climatologist, the event has started across the Bahamas and will reach the western Caribbean by Tuesday. It will then spread to the Eastern Caribbean Wednesday, including Antigua and Barbuda, and the southern Caribbean on Thursday. Moderate swells and associated high surfs are also forecast to reach the coastline of northeast South America, including the Guyanas on Friday.
SYNOPSIS: A strengthening high pressure system will cause an increase in the wind flow across the area today and tonight. This flow could also transport shallow pockets of low level moisture over and around the islands at times which could lead to a moderate chance for brief showers.
WEATHER TODAY: Partly sunny skies with a 40 percent or moderate chance of brief passing showers.
WEATHER TONIGHT: Fair to partly cloudy and cool conditions with a 20 percent or slight chance of a brief shower.
WINDS: East-northeast at 19 to 33km/h or 10 to 18 knots..
SEAS: 1.2 to 2.1 metres or 4 to 7 feet. An advisory is now in effect for small craft operators and sea bathers..
Sunset Today: 6:01 pm. Sunrise Tomorrow: 6:41 am.
Please continue to monitor DMCA ’s facebook page -Montserrat Disaster Management Coordination Agency -DMCA and website – www.dmca.gov.msand ZJB Radio Montserrat for regular updates.