Month: June 2019

DMCA TO HOST A SHELTER MANAGERS WORKSHOP ON SATURDAY JUNE 29TH, 2019

by Shirlian Queeley
The Disaster Management Coordination Agency (DMCA) will conduct a Shelter and Shelter Management Training Workshop on Saturday, June 29th, 2019. The Shelter and Shelter Management Training Workshop targets all District Disaster Chairpersons and Shelter Managers.
The objectives of the workshop are to train key personnel about the: * Safeguarding the Shelter * Principles governing the Management of an Emergency Shelter * Roles and Responsibilities of Shelter Management Teams and Shelterees the shelter, * Communication in Shelter * Dealing with Psychosocial issues that may arise during the activation of an Emergency Shelter * Child Protection in Emergencies Other individuals who are interested in being shelter managers are asked to call the DMCA to participate in the workshop. The workshop will be held at DMCA'S Conference Room from 9:00 am to 4:00 pm.

70 PERCENT OR HIGH CHANCE OF SHOWERS TODAY DUE TO THE NORTHERN END OF TROPICAL WAVE

by Shirlian Queeley
HERE'S THE REST OF TODAY'S LOCAL WEATHER FORECAST VALID UP TO 8 AM SATURDAY JUNE 29TH, 2019 SYNOPSIS: Some moisture and instability associated with the northern end of a tropical wave will heighten the chance of showers across the islands during the morning. Later this afternoon and tonight some dry air moving back into the region will reduce the chance of showers.
WEATHER TODAY: Cloudy with a 70 percent or high chance of showers during the morning and partly cloudy with a 40 percent or moderate chance of showers during the afternoon. WEATHER TONIGHT: Partly cloudy with a 30 percent or low chance of showers. WINDS: Easterly at 22 to 35 km/h or 12 to 19 knots with some gusts in showers possible during the morning.. Seas: 1.5 to 1.8 metres or 5 to 6 feet. Sunset Today: 6:46 pm. Sunrise tomorrow: 5:40 am. TODAY'S TEMPS: HIGH: 29°C/ 84°F LOW: 24°C/75° F

TODAY’S LOCAL WEATHER FORECAST VALID UP TO 8 AM FRIDAY JUNE 28TH, 2019

by Shirlian Queeley
SYNOPSIS: Despite the presence of a westward moving tropical wave over the region, a lack of significant moisture will continue to restrict significant shower activity. There is just a moderate chance of some light and short-lived showers. WEATHER TODAY: Partly cloudy with a 40 percent or moderate chance of some light and brief showers.
WEATHER TONIGHT: Partly cloudy with 40 percent or moderate chance of some more light and brief showers WINDS: East-southeast at 22 to 33 km/h or 12 to 18 knots. SEAS: 1.5 metres or 5 feet. Sunset Today: 6:46 pm. Sunrise tomorrow: 5:39 am. TODAY'S TEMPS: HIGH: 29°C/ 84°F LOW: 24°C/75° F

MONTSERRAT VOLCANO OBSERVATORY (MV0) WEEKLY REPORT JUNE 15TH, 2019 TO JUNE 21ST, 2019

by Shirlian Queeley
Activity at the Soufrière Hills Volcano remains low. The seismic network recorded no events this week.
SO2 flux measurements via traverse were not possible during the reporting period. Pyroclastic flows can occur at any time without warning on any side of the volcano, including Gages from where they can travel rapidly into Plymouth. Tracks across the Belham Valley can be destroyed or heavily modified by flash flooding or lahars, and caution should be exercised crossing the valley during and after rainfall. The Hazard Level is 1. There is no public access to Zone V, including Plymouth. Maritime Zones E and W are daytime transit only between sunrise and sunset (boats may sail through the zone but must not stop). Anyone who ignores these restrictions is liable to be prosecuted.

60 PERCENT OR MODERATE CHANCE OF SHOWERS TODAY

by Shirlian Queeley

HERE'S THE REST OF THE LOCAL WEATHER FORECAST VALID UP TO 8 AM TUESDAY JUNE 25TH, 2019

SYNOPSIS: Remnants of moisture and weak instability associated with the passage of a tropical wave could trigger few showers across the area.

WEATHER TODAY: Partly cloudy with few cloudy periods and a 60 percent or moderate chance of showers.

WEATHER TONIGHT: Partly cloudy with a 20 percent or slight chance of showers.

WINDS: East southeast 15 to 28 km/h or 8 to 15 knots.

SEAS: 1.5 metres or 5 feet.

Rainfall to date for the month of June: 22.3 mm/0.88 inches

Sunset Today: 6:44 pm. Sunrise Tomorrow: 5:35 am.

TODAY'S TEMPS:

HIGH: 31°C/ 88°F

LOW: 24°C/75° F

MONTSERRAT’S NATIONAL WEATHER FORECAST VALID UP TO 8 AM SATURDAY JUNE 22ND, 2019

by Shirlian Queeley
SYNOPSIS: Notwithstanding the presence of a mid to upper trough over the area, a very dry low-level atmosphere associated with a surface to low-level ridge will keep rainfall activity minimal
WEATHER TODAY: Fair to partly cloudy and slightly hazy WEATHER TOMORROW: Partly sunny and slightly hazy WINDS: East with average speeds between 8 to 16 knots or 15 to 30 km/h. SEAS: 1.5 to 1.8 meters or 5 to 6 feet; Small craft operators should exercise caution against choppy seas. Sunrise Tomorrow: 5:37 pm. Sunset tomorrow: 6:44 am. TODAY'S TEMPS: HIGH: 30°C/ 86°F LOW: 25°C/77° F

MONTSERRAT’S NATIONAL WEATHER FORECAST VALID UP TO 8 AM TUESDAY JUNE 18TH, 2019

by Shirlian Queeley
SYNOPSIS: A relatively stable atmosphere will keep shower activity minimal over the Leewards and BVI today and tonight
WEATHER TODAY: Partly sunny and slightly hazy with a 10 percent or slight chance of a brief shower. WEATHER TONIGHT: Fair to partly cloudy and slightly hazy with a 10 percent or slight chance of a brief shower. WINDS: East at 8 to 16 knots or 15 to 30 km/h. Seas: 1.2 to 1.8 meters or 4 to 6 feet. Sunset Today: 6:44 pm. Sunrise tomorrow: 5:37 am. TODAY'S TEMPS: HIGH: 30°C/ 86°F LOW: 25°C/77° F

SHOWERS, RAIN AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS TODAY DUE TO THE PRESENCE OF A TROPICAL WAVE

by Shirlian Queeley
HERE'S THE REST OF THE NATIONAL WEATHER FORECAST VALID UP TO 8 AM FRIDAY JUNE 14TH, 2019 SYNOPSIS: A tropical wave will generate unsettled weather across the islands over the next 24 hours. Generally cloudy skies with showers and some thunderstorms are anticipated.
WEATHER TODAY: Cloudy with a mixture of showers and rain and a slight chance of thunderstorms WEATHER TONIGHT: Partly cloudy to cloudy with a mixture of showers and rain and a slight chance of thunderstorms WINDS: East and speeds will range between 19 to 33 km/h or 10 to 18 knots. SEAS: 1.2 to 1.8 metres or 4 to 6 feet. Sunset Today: 6:43 pm. Sunrise tomorrow: 5:37 am.

80% PROBABILITY OF AN ABOVE TO NEAR NORMAL HURRICANE SEASON SAYS METEOROLOGIST FOR THE ANTIGUA AND BARBUDA MET SERVICE

by Shirlian Queeley
Meteorologist/Climatologist for the Antigua and Barbuda Meteorological Service Climate Section Dale Destin in his June updated forecast for the 2019 Atlantic Hurricane Season calls for an above normal activity (an active season) being most likely. The probability of this happening is virtually unchanged from his previous forecast – 45%. It also calls for an accumulated cyclone energy (ACE) index of 114 (up 1), 13 named storms (up 1), 6 hurricanes (down 1) and 3 major hurricanes (up 1). Another way of interpreting my forecast is that it is calling for an above to near normal season – 80% probability.
A typical season has 12 named storms, 6 hurricanes, and 3 major hurricanes. Major hurricanes have sustained wind speeds of at least 178 km/h or 111 miles per hour (e.g., Category 3 or higher), according to the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. According to other forecasts surveyed, the consensus is for an ACE of 114, 13 named storms, 7 hurricanes and 3 major hurricanes – above to near normal season, which is now almost identical to my forecast. However, regardless of the forecast, you should always prepare the same each season, as it only takes one hurricane to ruin your year and or life. The Atlantic hurricane season begins on June 1 and concludes November 30. The next update will be issued around July 10.

MONTSERRAT’S NATIONAL WEATHER FORECAST VALID UP TO 8 AM FRIDAY JUNE 14TH, 2019

by Shirlian Queeley
SYNOPSIS: The surface high pressure system is expected to be the main weather feature to affect conditions over the area. Shallow pockets of moisture moving over the island could trigger some brief and isolated showers.

WEATHER TODAY: Partly cloudy with a 40 percent or a moderate chance showers.

WEATHER TONIGHT: Partly cloudy with a 40 percent or a moderate chance of showers.

WINDS: East at 15 to 26 km/h or 8 to 14 knots.

SEAS: not exceeding 1.5 metres or 5 feet.

Sunset Today: 6:43 pm. Sunrise tomorrow: 5:36 am.