Month: July 2019

60% CHANCE OF FORMATION OF DISTURBANCE 2 EAST OF THE CARIBBEAN; DMCA IS URGING RESIDENTS TO MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM AND COMPLETE THEIR HURRICANE PLANS NOW – IMPACT IF, IS IN 5- 6 DAYS 

by Shirlian Queeley
A broad area of shower and thunderstorm activity is associated with a tropical wave located several hundred miles southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands. Little to no development of the wave is expected for the next few days while it moves westward across the eastern and central tropical Atlantic Ocean at about 15 mph. Environmental conditions are forecast to become more conducive for development over the weekend and a tropical depression could form by early next week several hundred miles east of the Lesser Antilles. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent. Please continue to monitor DMCA ’s facebook page -Montserrat Disaster Management Coordination Agency -DMCA, twitter - https://twitter.com/DMCA_MONTSERRAT and our website –www.dmca.gov.ms and ZJB Radio Montserrat for regular updates.

MONTSERRAT VOLCANO OBSERVATORY (MVO) WEEKLY REPORT FOR JULY 20TH TO JULY 26TH, 2019

by Shirlian Queeley
Activity at the Soufrière Hills Volcano remains low. The seismic network recorded four volcano-tectonic earthquakes this week.
SO2 flux measurements via traverse were not possible during the reporting period. Pyroclastic flows can occur at any time without warning on any side of the volcano, including Gages from where they can travel rapidly into Plymouth. Tracks across the Belham Valley can be destroyed or heavily modified by flash flooding or lahars, and caution should be exercised crossing the valley during and after rainfall. The Hazard Level is 1. There is no public access to Zone V, including Plymouth. Maritime Zones E and W are daytime transit only between sunrise and sunset (boats may sail through the zone but must not stop). Anyone who ignores these restrictions is liable to be prosecuted. Please continue to monitor DMCA ’s facebook page -Montserrat Disaster Management Coordination Agency -DMCA, twitter - https://twitter.com/DMCA_MONTSERRAT and our website – www.dmca.gov.ms and ZJB Radio Montserrat for regular updates.

TODAY’S LOCAL WEATHER FORECAST VALID UP TO 8 AM TUESDAY JULY 30TH, 2019

by Shirlian Queeley
SYNOPSIS: Lingering instability and available moisture from the passage of a tropical wave coupled with daytime warmth will continue to support an environment that favours the formation of clouds and showers over the Leewards. Later tonight and into early tomorrow, the frequency of showers will increase as low-level support develops. Rainfall accumulation could total 0.5 to 15mm or .2 to .6 inch WEATHER TODAY: Partly cloudy to cloudy with a 50 percent or moderate chance of showers this morning with the chance of showers increasing this afternoon with a 40 percent or moderate chance of thunderstorms WEATHER TONIGHT: Mostly cloudy with occasional overnight showers and a 20 percent or slight chance of early morning thunderstorms WINDS: East-southeast at 10 to 18 knots or 19 to 30 km/h. SEAS: 1.5 to 2.1 meters or 5 to 7 feet. Small craft operators should continue to exercise caution mainly in moderate showers where visibilities could be reduced. Sunset today: 6:43 pm. Sunrise tomorrow: 5:49 am.

CHAINSAW PRACTICAL TRAINING AT TRANTS THIS MORNING

by Shirlian Queeley
The practical component of the "chainsaw training workshop" was to clear the Royal Montserrat Police Force (RMPS) shooting range at Trants of trees and shrubs using the chainsaws. In the aftermath of a storm or hurricane, the use of chainsaws are critical to clearing areas of fallen trees, debris and downed powerlines which are an important aspect of the recovery process in disaster management. This is to ensure communities return to a state of normalcy as soon as possible. The training workshop geared towards first responders from the Royal Montserrat Police Service (RMPS), the Royal Montserrat Defence Force (RMDF) and the Montserrat Fire and Rescue Services provided them with the skills and knowledge required to safely maintain and operate a chainsaw. The workshop was facilitated by Senior Disaster Management Coordinator at the DMCA, Astrid Wade. The RMPS shooting range is a stone's throw away from the WH Bramble Airport that was destroyed by volcanic activities.

TODAY’S LOCAL WEATHER FORECAST VALID UP TO 8 AM SATURDAY JULY 27TH, 2019

by Shirlian Queeley
SYNOPSIS: Some shallow remnant moisture and weak instability in the atmosphere over the region will maintain a moderate chance of some light and short-lived showers across the islands. WEATHER TODAY: Partly sunny to cloudy and hazy with a 50 percent or moderate chance of some light showers.
WEATHER TONIGHT: Partly cloudy to cloudy and hazy with a 50 percent or moderate chance of some light showers. WINDS: Easterly at 20 to 31 km/h or 11 to 17 knots. SEAS: 1.2 to 1.8 metres or 4 to 6 feet. Sunset Today: 6:44 pm. Sunrise tomorrow: 5:48 am. TODAY'S TEMPS: HIGH: 29°C/ 84°F LOW: 24°C/75° F

SAHARAN DUST AIR QUALITY BULLETIN ISSUED BY ANTIGUA MET OFFICE; PERSONS WITH RESPIRATORY CHALLENGES SHOULD TAKE PRECAUTIONARY MEASURES FROM SAHARAN DUST

by Shirlian Queeley

Air Quality Index (AQI) Based on Particulate Matter 2.5 (PM2.5) and 10 (PM10) Concentration.

Synopsis: A fresh surge of Saharan dust has caused the AQI to drop to moderate levels. This will increase the risk of health problems for unusually sensitive people, such as asthmatics.

AQI: 50 to 70

AQI category: Moderate Sensitive groups: People with respiratory or heart disease, the elderly and children are the groups most at risk.

Health implications: Air quality is acceptable; however, for some pollutants, there may be a moderate health concern for a very small number of people who are unusually sensitive to air pollution.

Caution: Unusually sensitive people such as active children and adults, and people with respiratory disease, such as asthma, should limit prolonged or heavy exertion.

Keep monitoring.

70 % PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS THIS AFTERNOON

by Shirlian Queeley

TODAY'S LOCAL WEATHER FORECAST VALID UP TO 8 AM THURSDAY JULY 25TH, 2019

SYNOPSIS: Low moisture levels and instability will maintain a low chance of showers across the region during the morning and the early part of the afternoon. Later in the afternoon through to Thursday morning, an increase in moisture and instability will increase the chances of showers and thunderstorms over the islands. A surge in the winds during the passage of the tropical wave will also produce gusty conditions mainly overnight.

Possible rainfall total for the forecast period between this afternoon and Thursday morning is 12 to 25 mm or 0.5 to 1 inch.

WEATHER TODAY: Partly cloudy with a 30 percent or low chance of showers in morning; and cloudy in the afternoon with a 70 percent or high chance of showers.

WEATHER TONIGHT: Cloudy with showers and a 40 percent or moderate chance of thunderstorms.

WINDS: East to East-northeast at 26 to 37 km/h or 14 to 20 knots with gusts possibly peaking to near 52 km/h or 28 knots.

SEAS: 1.2 to 1.8 metres or 4 to 6 feet.

Sunset Today: 6:44 pm. Sunrise tomorrow: 5:48 am.

TODAY'S TEMPS:

HIGH: 29°C/ 84°F

LOW: 26°C/79° F

HURRICANE PREPAREDNESS MEETING ON WEDNESDAY JULY 24TH, 2019 FOR RESIDENTS IN BRADES, CUDJOE HEAD, NIXONS, ST PETERS AND SURROUNDING AREAS

by Shirlian Queeley
The Disaster Management Coordination Agency (DMCA) is inviting all residents living in Brades, Nixons, Banks, Cudjoe Head, St Peters and surrounding areas to a hurricane preparedness meeting on Wednesday, July 24th, 2019 at the Brades Arts and Education Centre at 6:00 pm. The DMCA staff will be on hand to discuss hurricane preparations and readiness including the availability of shelters in your area.
Come and learn about the role of the DMCA and EOC in an emergency or disaster situation, how to assemble a Family Emergency Kit and how to create a family emergency plan. Residents in Brades, Nixons, Banks, Cudjoe Head, St Peters and surrounding areas are asked to make a special effort to attend this very important hurricane preparedness meeting on Wednesday, July 24th, 2019 at the Brades Arts and Education Centre at 6:00 pm. Remember, it only takes one storm to change your life and community.

MONTSERRAT VOLCANO OBSERVATORY (MV0) WEEKLY REPORT JULY 12TH 2019 TO JULY 19TH 2019

by Shirlian Queeley
Activity at the Soufrière Hills Volcano remains low. The seismic network recorded one rockfall and two volcano-tectonic earthquakes this week.
Four traverses were done using the boat traverse method to measure SO2 flux values on the 08th July. The average flux measured was 180 t/d. Pyroclastic flows can occur at any time without warning on any side of the volcano, including Gages from where they can travel rapidly into Plymouth. Tracks across the Belham Valley can be destroyed or heavily modified by flash flooding or lahars, and caution should be exercised crossing the valley during and after rainfall. The Hazard Level is 1. There is no public access to Zone V, including Plymouth. Maritime Zones E and W are daytime transit only between sunrise and sunset (boats may sail through the zone but must not stop). Anyone who ignores these restrictions is liable to be prosecuted. Image may contain: text

TODAY’S LOCAL WEATHER FORECAST VALID UP TO 8 AM TUESDAY JULY 22ND, 2019

by Shirlian Queeley
SYNOPSIS: Notwithstanding the presence of a trough over the region, low moisture levels will continue restrict shower activity across the islands during the morning. Some moisture and instability associated with a tropical wave will move into the area this afternoon and tonight and increase the chances of showers. WEATHER TODAY: Partly cloudy with a 30 percent or low chance of showers during the morning; and cloudy this afternoon with a 60 percent or moderate chance of showers.
WEATHER TONIGHT: Cloudy with showers and a 20 percent or slight chance of thunderstorms. WINDS: East-southeast at 20 to 31 km/h or 11 to 17 knots.. SEAS: 1 to 1.2 metres or 3 to 4 feet.. Sunset Today: 6:45 pm. Sunrise tomorrow: 5:47 am. TODAY'S TEMPS: HIGH: 30°C/ 86°F LOW: 23°C/73° F