Day: September 5, 2019

TWO DISTURBANCES ARE OF INTEREST TO THE CARIBBEAN, SAYS REGIONAL METEOROLOGIST

by Shirlian Queeley

According to Meteorologist Dale Destin of the Antigua and Barbuda Met Service, the disturbance (orange right) coming off Africa which has a 50% chance of becoming a Tropical Cyclone and come our way is one of greatest interest to the Caribbean.

Destin says there is a second disturbance (lower yellow) of interest to the Caribbean, but it is forecast to move North West and pass north of the islands.

Also, there are two (2) Tropical Cyclones Dorian and Gabrielle. For the North Atlantic...The Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Dorian, located a little less than 100 miles south-southeast of Charleston, South Carolina, and on Tropical Storm Gabrielle, located several hundred miles west-northwest of the Cabo Verde Islands. 1. A small area of low pressure located a few hundred miles northeast of Bermuda is producing limited showers and thunderstorms, well to the southeast of the center. Significant development of this system is not anticipated while it moves northeastward across the central north Atlantic due to unfavourable upper-level winds. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. 2. A trough of low pressure located about 500 miles east of the Leeward Islands is producing a large but disorganized area of showers and thunderstorms. Only slow development of this disturbance, if any, is expected during the next couple of days while it moves slowly northwestward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent. 3. A broad area of low pressure associated with a tropical wave located about halfway between the coast of Africa and the Cabo Verde Islands is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Gradual development of this system is possible and a tropical depression could form while it moves westward across the tropical Atlantic Ocean through early next week. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.