Month: July 2020

PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS ON THE EMERALD ISLE; CONTINUE TO PRACTICE SOCIAL DISTANCING, WASH HANDS OFTEN & COVER COUGHS & SNEEZES

by Shirlian Queeley

AS THE PEAK MONTHS OF THE HURRICANE SEASON DRAW NEAR; RESIDENTS, VISITORS AND BUSINESSES ARE ASKED TO ASSESS THEIR RISK NOW, ADJUST THEIR EMERGENCY PLANS AND SUPPLIES TO FACTOR IN THE IMPACT OF THE COVID-19 PANDEMIC AND BE PREPARED.

CLOUDY CONDITIONS TODAY ON THE EMERALD ISLE WITH A 70 PERCENT OR HIGH CHANCE OF SHOWERS; A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS STILL IN EFFECT. REMEMBER TO WASH YOUR HANDS AND SANITIZE FREQUENTLY TOUCHED SURFACES.

by Shirlian Queeley

AS THE PEAK MONTHS OF THE HURRICANE SEASON DRAW NEAR; RESIDENTS, VISITORS AND BUSINESSES ARE ASKED TO ASSESS THEIR RISK NOW, ADJUST THEIR EMERGENCY PLANS AND SUPPLIES TO FACTOR IN THE IMPACT OF THE COVID-19 PANDEMIC AND BE PREPARED.

Image

TROPICAL STORM WARNING DISCONTINUED FOR MONTSERRAT AS POTENTIAL TROPICAL STORM NINE CONTINUES TO MOVE WESTWARD; A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT IN MONTSERRAT.

by Shirlian Queeley

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE ISLAND TONIGHT AND TOMORROW.

THE ANTIGUA METEOROLOGICAL SERVICES (MET OFFICE) DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR MONTSERRAT, AS POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE NINE CONTINUES TO MOVES WESTWARD AND NO LONGER POSED A THREAT TO THE ISLAND.

Yellow Hill, Montserrat - July 29, 2020 - At 500 PM, the disturbance was centered near latitude16.4 North, longitude 65.6 West. The system is moving toward the west-northwest near 23 mph (37 km/h), and this general motion with a reduction in forward speed is expected over the next few days. On the forecast track, the system will pass south of Puerto Rico later tonight, near or over Hispaniola on Thursday, near eastern Cuba and the southeastern Bahamas on Friday, and approach the northwestern Bahamas and southern Florida Friday night.

Maximum sustained winds are near 45 mph (75 km/h) with higher gusts. Some increase in strength is forecast through tonight, with weakening likely on Thursday due to land interaction. Somerestrengthening is possible by this weekend.

Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for additional development and a tropical storm is forecast to form tonight.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent.

* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 275 miles (445 km) primarily to the north of the center. A wind gust of 52 mph (83 km/h) was recently reported at St. Thomas in the U.S. Virgin Islands.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1004 mb (29.65 inches).

Forecaster Brown

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR MONTSERRAT AS POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE NINE MOVES THROUGH THE LEEWARDS ISLANDS BRINGING HEAVY RAIN AND GUSTY WINDS; RESIDENTS ARE ASKED TO STAY INDOORS AND NOT GO OUT UNLESS NECESSARY.

by Shirlian Queeley

THE DMCA IS ALSO URGING RESIDENTS TO CONTINUE TO FOLLOW THEIR HURRICANE FAMILY PLAN AND REMAIN VIGILANT.

Yellow Hill, Montserrat - July 29, 2020 - At 1100 AM, the disturbance was centered near latitude 15.8 North, longitude 63.7 West. The system is moving toward the west-northwest near 23 mph (37 km/h), and this general motion with a reduction in forward speed is expected over the next few days. On the forecast track, the system will move near or just south of Puerto Rico later today and tonight, near or over Hispaniola on Thursday, and near or over eastern Cuba on Friday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 45 mph (75 km/h) with higher gusts. Some increase in strength is forecast through tonight, with weakening likely on Thursday due to land interaction. Some restrengthening is possible this weekend.

Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for additional development, and a tropical storm is forecast to form later today or tonight.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent

* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 275 miles (445 km) primarily to the north and northeast of the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb (29.71 inches).

Forecaster Brown

TROPICAL CYCLONE NINE IS MOVING CLOSER TO MONTSERRAT; RESIDENTS ARE ASKED TO STAY INDOORS UNLESS IT’S ABSOLUTELY NECESSARY AND FOLLOW YOUR HURRICANE FAMILY PLAN.

by Shirlian Queeley

CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO DETERIORATE THIS AFTERNOON AS THE SYSTEM PASS ITS CLOSEST TO MONTSERRAT AT 3 O'CLOCK.

RESIDENTS ARE URGED TO ERR ON THE SIDE OF CAUTION AND STAY VIGILANT AS ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BE CONDUCIVE FOR ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT, AND A TROPICAL STORM IS FORECAST TO FORM LATER TODAY.

Yellow Hill, Montserrat - July 29, 2020 -At 800 AM, the disturbance was centered near latitude 15.1 North, longitude 62.1 West. The system is moving toward the west-northwest near 23 mph (37 km/h), and this general motion with some reduction in forward speed is expected over the next few days. On the forecast track, the system will move near or over Puerto Rico tonight, near or over Hispaniola on Thursday, and near or over the southeastern Bahamas on Friday.

Maximum sustained winds remain near 45 mph (75 km/h) with higher gusts. Some increase in strength is forecast today, with weakening likely on Thursday due to land interaction, and some restrengthening possible late week. Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for additional development, and a tropical storm is forecast to form later today.

Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent*

Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 275 miles (445 km) primarily to the north and northeast of the center.

A wind gust of 46 mph (74 km/h) was recently reported on St. Kitts. Potential impacts

• Rainfall between 3 – 6 inches with maximum amounts of 10 inches in some locations.

• Winds may increase to 50 – 60 mph.

Power outages are possible.

• Storm surge is possible for shoreline areas

• A Small Craft Warning has been issued until Thursday

Forecaster Brown

MONTSERRAT REMAINS UNDER A TROPICAL STORM WARNING; RESIDENTS ARE URGED TO CONTINUE TO MONITOR THIS SYSTEM AND TO TAKE ALL THE NECESSARY PRECAUTIONS.

by Shirlian Queeley

Yellow Hill, Montserrat - July 28, 2020 - At 1100 PM, the disturbance was centered near latitude 14.6 North, longitude 59.4 West. The system is moving toward the west-northwest near 25 mph (41 km/h), and this general motion with some slight reduction in forward speed is expected over the next few days. On the forecast track, the system will move through the Leeward Islands on Wednesday, near or over the Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico Wednesday night, and near or over Hispaniola on Thursday. Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts. Some strengthening is expected during the next 48 hours, and the system is forecast to become a tropical storm on Wednesday. Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for additional development, and a tropical storm is forecast to form on Wednesday.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 230 miles (370 km) from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1007 mb (29.74 inches).

Forecaster Stewart

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR MONTSERRAT; DMCA IS URGING RESIDENTS TO ACTIVATE THEIR HURRICANE PLANS IF NECESSARY, REMAIN VIGILANT AND CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE PROGRESS THIS SYSTEM

by Shirlian Queeley

THE ANTIGUA MET OFFICE HAS ADVISED THAT BASED ON THE POTENTIAL IMPACT OF TROPICAL CYCLONE NINE ON THE ISLAND IT HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR MONTSERRAT.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.

THE DMCA WILL BE PROVIDING AN UPDATE ON ZJB RADIO MONTSERRAT ABOUT 5:00 O'CLOCK THIS AFTERNOON.

Yellow Hill, Montserrat - July 28, 2020 - At 1100 AM, the disturbance was centered near latitude 13.8 North, longitude 53.7 West. The system is moving toward the west near 23 mph (37 km/h), and this general motion should continue during the next few days. On the forecast track, the system is forecast to move through the Leeward Islands on Wednesday, and near or over the Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico Wednesday night, and near or over Hispaniola on Thursday. Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts.Some strengthening is expected during the next 48 hours, and the system is forecast to become a tropical storm tonight or Wednesday.

Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for additional development and a tropical storm tonight or Wednesday.* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 230 miles (370 km) primarily to the northeast of the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1007 mb (29.74 inches)

Forecaster Brown

ANTIGUA AND BARBUDA METEOROLOGICAL SERVICES ISSUES TROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION STATEMENT ON TROPICAL STORM GONZALO; RESIDENTS SHOULD CONTINUE TO MONITOR GONZALO CLOSELY AND HAVE THEIR HURRICANE PLANS COMPLETED, AS THE PEAK MONTHS OF THE HURRICANE SEASON DRAW NEAR.

by Shirlian Queeley