TROPICAL DISTURBANCE AL99 NOW HAS AN 80% CHANCE OF FORMATION IN 48 HRS; THE DMCA IS CLOSELY MONITORING THE DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM LOCATED ABOUT MIDWAY BETWEEN THE WEST COAST OF AFRICA AND THE LESSER ANTILLES WHICH CONTINUES TO GET BETTER ORGANIZED. DMCA URGES RESIDENTS AND VISITORS TO ASSESS THEIR RISK AND STAY PREPARED!

Yellow Hill, Montserrat – July 21st, 2020 at 11 am – Satellite imagery and recent satellite wind data indicate that the low pressure system located about midway between the west coast of Africa and the Lesser Antilles continues to get better organized. If current trends continue, advisories could be initiated on this system as a tropical depression later today. Regardless of development during the next couple of days, less favourable conditions should limit additional development by the weekend.
* Formation chance through 48 hours…high…80 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days…high…80 percent.

Forecaster Beven 

DMCA IS CLOSELY MONITORING THE DEVELOPMENT OF TROPICAL DISTURBANCE-AL99 TRAVERSING THE TROPICAL NORTH ATLANTIC. THE SYSTEM HAS A 60% CHANCE OF BECOMING A TROPICAL DEPRESSION IN 48 HRS. DMCA URGES RESIDENTS AND VISITORS TO ASSESS THEIR RISK AND STAY PREPARED!

Yellow Hill, Montserrat – July 21, 2020 – Showers and thunderstorms have become better organized in association with a low-pressure system located about midway between the west coast of Africa and the Lesser Antilles. Environmental conditions are expected to be somewhat conducive for development, and a tropical depression could form during the next day or two while the low moves westward at around 10 mph over the tropical Atlantic. By the weekend, however, less favourable conditions should limit additional development.* Formation chance through 48 hours…medium…60 percent.* Formation chance through 5 days…medium…60 percent. Forecaster Beven