TROPICAL DEPRESION ELEVEN ALERT STATEMENT ISSUED BY ANTIGUA AND BARBUDA METEOROLOGICAL SERVICES – THIS IS FOR THE LEEWARD ISLANDS AND BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDSDEPRESSION REMAINS JUST BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH…

11:00 AM WED, AUG 12, 2020

THERE IS HIGH UNCERTAINTY AT THIS TIME IN DETERMINING THE MAGNITUDE OF IMPACTS THE DEPRESSION WILL HAVE ON THE REGION. HOWEVER, THE SYSTEM STILL POSES A THREAT WITH THE POTENTIAL TO CAUSE IMPACTS FROM WINDS, STORM SURGE, SEAS AND FLOODING. AT 11:00 AM, THE CENTRE OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION ELEVEN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 12.4 NORTH, LONGITUDE 44.2 WEST OR ABOUT 1250 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS AND ABOUT 1450 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF THE BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS.

AT 11:00AM, THE CENTRE OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION ELEVEN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 12.4 NORTH, LONGITUDE 44.2 WEST OR ABOUT 1250 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS AND ABOUT 1450 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF THE BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS.THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 14 MPH, AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY. A TURN TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST AT A SIMILAR FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED TONIGHT, WITH THIS MOTION CONTINUING THROUGH THE REST OF THE WEEK.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 35 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. GRADUAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS, AND THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM LATER TODAY.THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1007 MB OR 29.74 INCHES.

ON ITS FORECAST TRACK, TROPICAL DEPRESSION ELEVEN COULD BE NEAR THE ISLANDS LATE FRIDAY OR EARLY SATURDAY AS A TROPICAL STORM. HOWEVER, IT IS STILL A BIT EARLY TO SAY WITH CERTAINTY THE EVENTUAL PATH OF THE SYSTEM, THE WIND INTENSITY ON ARRIVAL AND POSSIBLE RAINFALL TOTALS. TROPICAL DEPRESSION ELEVEN COULD POSSIBLY STILL PASS OVER 120 MILES AWAY FROM THE ISLANDS AND SPARE US OF ANY SERIOUS IMPACT.

WITH ALL THIS IN MIND, RESIDENTS ARE URGED TO CLOSELY MONITOR TROPICAL DEPRESSION ELEVEN AND BE PREPARED TO IMPLEMENT THEIR HURRICANE PLAN SHOULD THIS SYSTEM BECOME A GREATER THREAT TO THE ISLANDS.

FORECASTER BERNELL SIMON

THE PEAK PERIOD OF THE HURRICANE SEASON IS HERE; RESIDENTS, VISITORS AND BUSINESS OWNERS ARE ASKED TO ASSESS THEIR RISK NOW, ADJUST THEIR EMERGENCY PLANS AND SUPPLIES TO FACTOR IN THE IMPACT OF THE COVID-19 PANDEMIC AND BE PREPARED; IT ONLY TAKES ONE!

THE PEAK PERIOD OF THE HURRICANE SEASON IS UPON US; RESIDENTS, VISITORS AND BUSINESS OWNERS ARE ASKED TO ASSESS THEIR RISK NOW, ADJUST THEIR EMERGENCY PLANS AND SUPPLIES TO FACTOR IN THE IMPACT OF THE COVID-19 PANDEMIC AND BE PREPARED.

AT 5:00 AM WED, AUG 12, 2020

THIS IS FOR THE LEEWARD ISLANDS AND BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS

TROPICAL DEPRESSION EXPECTED TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM LATER TODAY…THERE IS HIGH UNCERTAINTY AT THIS TIME IN DETERMINING THE MAGNITUDE OF IMPACTS THE DEPRESSION WILL HAVE ON THE REGION. HOWEVER, THE SYSTEM STILL POSES A THREAT WITH THE POTENTIAL TO CAUSE IMPACTS FROM WINDS, STORM SURGE, SEAS AND FLOODING AT 5:00 AM, THE CENTRE OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION ELEVEN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 12.2 NORTH, LONGITUDE 42.9 WEST OR ABOUT 1306 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS AND ABOUT 1506 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF THE BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS.

THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 15 MPH, AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH WEDNESDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 35 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME GRADUAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS, AND THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM BY LATER TODAY.

ON ITS FORECAST TRACK, TROPICAL DEPRESSION ELEVEN COULD NEAR THE ISLANDS LATE FRIDAY/EARLY SATURDAY AS A TROPICAL STORM. HOWEVER, IT IS STILL A BIT EARLY TO SAY WITH CERTAINTY THE EVENTUAL PATH OF THE SYSTEM, THE WIND INTENSITY ON ARRIVAL AND POSSIBLE RAINFALL TOTALS. TROPICAL DEPRESSION ELEVEN COULD STILL PASS OVER 120 MILES AWAY FROM THE ISLANDS AND SPARE US ANY SERIOUS IMPACT.

RESIDENTS ARE URGED TO MONITOR TROPICAL DEPRESSION ELEVEN AND BE PREPARED TO IMPLEMENT THEIR HURRICANE PLAN SHOULD THIS SYSTEM BECOME A GREATER THREAT TO THE ISLANDS.

FORECASTER LORNE SALMON

THIS IS FOR THE LEEWARD ISLANDS AND BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS…

TROPICAL DEPRESSION ELEVEN FORMS OVER THE TROPICAL ATLANTIC OCEAN AND HAS ENTERED THE MONITORED AREA…

AT 500 PM, THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION ELEVEN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 11.7 NORTH, LONGITUDE 40.0 WEST OR ABOUT 1451 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS AND 1722 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF THE BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH (55 KM/H) WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS, AND THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM BY WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 16 MPH (26 KM/H), AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH WEDNESDAY. A WEST-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION AT A SIMILAR FORWARD SPEED IS FORECAST TO BEGIN WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND CONTINUE THROUGH THE REST OF THE WEEK BRINGING THE CENTER OF THE CYCLONE NEAR OR JUST TO THE NORTH OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS IN 4-5 DAYS.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1007 MB (29.74 INCHES).

RESIDENTS SHOULD MONITOR THIS DEVELOPING SYSTEM CLOSELY AND HAVE THEIR HURRICANE PLANS COMPLETED, ESPECIALLY AS WE ARE IN THE PEAK MONTHS OF THE HURRICANE SEASON.

There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect, but residents should monitor this system closely as it has the potential to affect the island Saturday.