THAT’S ACCORDING TO THE 11 AM TROPICAL STORM JOSEPHINE ALERT STATEMENT ISSUED BY ANTIGUA AND BARBUDA METEOROLOGICAL SERVICES FOR THE LEEWARD ISLANDS AND BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS

11:00 AM, FRI, AUG 14, 2020 – A TROPICAL STORM ALERT IS IN EFFECT FOR THE LEEWARD ISLANDS AND THE BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS. A TROPICAL STORM ALERT MEANS THAT A TROPICAL STORM IS IN OUR MONITORED AREA BUT A WATCH OR WARNING IS NOT REQUIRED AT THIS TIME.

BASED ON THE PRESENT POSITION OF TROPICAL STORM JOSEPHINE, AND THE THREAT IT POSES TO THE REGION, THE POTENTIAL IMPACTS FROM DANGEROUS WINDS, MODERATE STORM SURGE, MAJOR FLOODING AND EXTREME SEAS ARE MINIMAL.

AT 11 AM, THE CENTRE OF TROPICAL STORM JOSEPHINE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.1 NORTH, LONGITUDE 54.7 WEST OR ABOUT 475 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS AND ABOUT 660 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF THE BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS.

TROPICAL STORM JOSEPHINE IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST AT 16 MILES PER HOUR. THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS FOLLOWED BY A TURN TOWARD THE NORTHWEST LATE THIS WEEKEND OR EARLY NEXT WEEK.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS, AND SOME STRENGTHENING IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND UP TO 85 MILES FROM THE CENTRE. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB OR 29.71 INCHES.

ON ITS PRESENT TRACK, THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO PASS AT LEAST 150 MILES NORTHEAST OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS BY SATURDAY AFTERNOON, AND THE BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS BY LATE SATURDAY NIGHT/EARLY SUNDAY MORNING. ALL RESIDENTS ARE URGED TO MONITOR THE MOVEMENT OF JOSEPHINE CLOSELY UNTIL IT CLEARS THE AREA.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE AT 5 PM ECT.

FORECASTER LORNE SALMON

THE PEAK PERIOD OF THE HURRICANE SEASON IS HERE; RESIDENTS, VISITORS AND BUSINESS OWNERS ARE ASKED TO ASSESS THEIR RISK NOW, ADJUST THEIR EMERGENCY PLANS AND SUPPLIES TO FACTOR IN THE IMPACT OF THE COVID-19 PANDEMIC AND BE PREPARED; IT ONLY TAKES ONE!

THE PEAK PERIOD OF THE HURRICANE SEASON IS UPON US; RESIDENTS, VISITORS AND BUSINESS OWNERS ARE ASKED TO ASSESS THEIR RISK NOW, ADJUST THEIR EMERGENCY PLANS AND SUPPLIES TO FACTOR IN THE IMPACT OF THE COVID-19 PANDEMIC AND BE PREPARED.

THAT’S ACCORDING TO THE 5 AM TROPICAL STORM JOSEPHINE ALERT STATEMENT ISSUED BY THE ANTIGUA AND BARBUDA METEOROLOGICAL SERVICES FOR THE LEEWARD ISLANDS AND BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS.

5 AM FRI, AUG 14, 2020 – JOSEPHINE CONTINUES ON ITS WEST-NORTHWESTWARD TRACK OVER THE TROPICAL ATLANTIC.

AT 5 AM, THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM JOSEPHINE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.3 NORTH, LONGITUDE 53.3 WEST OR ABOUT 680 MILES ESE OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS.

JOSEPHINE IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 17 MPH (28 KM/H), AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS FOLLOWED BY A TURN TOWARD THE NORTHWEST LATE THIS WEEKEND OR EARLY NEXT WEEK. ON THE FORECAST TRACK, THE CENTER OF JOSEPHINE IS EXPECTED TO PASS TO THE NORTHEAST OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS OVER THE WEEKEND. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH (65 KM/H) WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO. TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 80 MILES (130 KM) FROM THE CENTER. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB (29.71 INCHES).

BASED ON CURRENT PROJECTED TRACK AND ANALYSIS, TROPICAL STORM JOSEPHINE IS EXPECTED TO PASS AT A SAFE DISTANCE NORTHEAST OF THE LEEWARD AND BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS, BY TOMORROW SATURDAY. HOWEVER, RESIDENTS IN THE LEEWARD AND BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS SHOULD REMAIN VIGILANT AND KEEP CLOSELY MONITORING THE PROGRESS OF TROPICAL STORM JOSEPHINE UNTIL IT CLEARS THE AREA.

REPEATING THE 5 AM POSITION: LATITUDE .15.3N LONGITUDE 53.3W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…40 MPH…65 KM. PRESENT MOVEMENT…WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 17 MPH…28 KM/H. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…1006 MB…29.71 INCHES.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE AT 11 AM ECT

FORECASTER CECIL MATTHEW