A low pressure system centered about 900 miles east-northeast of the northern Leeward Islands is gradually becoming better defined and the associated shower and thunderstorm activity is showing signs of
organization. This low is expected to move generally northward over the next couple of days into an area where environmental conditions are forecast to be conducive for further development, and a tropical
or subtropical storm is likely to form by early this weekend. After that time, the system is forecast to turn westward well to the north or northeast of the Lesser Antilles through early next week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours…high…70 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days…high…80 percent.
Please continue to monitor DMCA ’s facebook page -Montserrat Disaster Management Coordination Agency -DMCA and website – www.dmca.gov.msand ZJB Radio Montserrat for regular updates.SOURCE: NOAA NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, Forecaster Zelinsky