DMCA CONTINUES TO MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF A DISTURBANCE EAST OF THE CARIBBEAN WHICH HAS A 70% CHANCE OF DEVELOPING INTO A TROPICAL SYSTEM IN 5 DAYS; RESIDENTS URGE TO BE VIGILANT AND TO REVIEW THEIR PERSONAL HURRICANE PLANS

The Disaster Management Coordination Agency (DMCA) is monitoring the progress of a tropical wave in the Atlantic that has a 20 % chance of developing into a tropical system within the next two (2) days and a 70% probability of development within the next five (5) days.

Please note, that although, 70% is considered a high probability that this system could develop into a tropical depression. As it stands, at the moment the system is still a tropical wave.

The DMCA is urging residents to be vigilant and to review their personal hurricane plans and be ready in the event this system should impact Montserrat.

SYNOPSIS

A broad low pressure system located about 1000 miles west-southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands continues to produce a large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Only gradual development of this system is expected for the next day or so while it moves west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph. Environmental conditions could become more supportive by Saturday and a tropical depression is likely to form over the weekend, several hundred miles east of the Lesser Antilles.

* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days…high…70 percent.

SOURCE: NOAA, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER

 

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