Partly cloudy and slightly hazy on the Emerald Isle; a 40% chance of brief morning showers and a 20% chance of a light overnight shower.
Remember, the weather is subject to change at a moment’s notice – Stay ahead! Events such as flash floods can occur with little or no warning if there’s prolonged rain, rain showers in the higher elevations and the soil already saturated!
Hazy and sunny skies on the Emerald Isle; a 50% chance of showers today.
Remember, the weather is subject to change at a moment’s notice – Stay ahead! Events such as flash floods can occur with little or no warning if there’s prolonged rain, rain showers in the higher elevations and the soil already saturated!
According to the Antigua and Barbuda Meteorological Services this is consistent with volcanic ash models and forecast winds.
It also states that impacts are expected to remain minor, but the threat of health problems is elevated, for mainly unusually sensitive people, such as asthmatics, people with respiratory or heart disease, the elderly and children.
That’s according to an Air Quality Bulletin issued by the Antigua and Barbuda Meteorological Services.
It said the threat of health problems is elevated, for mainly unusually sensitive people, such as asthmatics.
Researchers at Colorado State University (CSU) are predicting an above average hurricane season this year. The main driver behind that prediction is the likely absence of El Niño, according to the release. Other factors include near-normal tropical Atlantic sea surface temperatures and much warmer than normal subtropical Atlantic sea surface temperatures.
According to CSU’s Dr. Phil Klotzbach, El Niño tends to increase upper-level westerly winds across the Caribbean into the tropical Atlantic, tearing apart hurricanes as they try to form. The lack of El Niño is what led CSU researchers to forecast 17 named storms, 8 hurricanes and 4 major hurricanes (category 3+). Those numbers are above the climatological average of 14 named storms, 7 hurricanes and 3 major hurricanes.
The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) will release its initial 2021 hurricane forecast late May. NOAA says the average hurricane season now includes 14 named storms and seven hurricanes up from 12 and 6 respectively. The average number of major hurricanes remains unchanged at three.
The hurricane season runs from June 1st to November 30th.
According to the Meteorological Services, a shift of winds at the lower levels of the atmosphere could result in volcanic emissions, including ash and dust, reaching the northeast Caribbean from La Soufrière Saint Vincent (volcano) Tuesday afternoon and Wednesday morning.
The chance of emissions reaching the island(s) is low, but there is a reasonable worst-case scenario of it happening.
It’s overcast and rainy here on the Emerald Isle; mostly cloudy with a moderate chance of showers in the morning and a higher chance of showers in the afternoon.
Remember, the weather is subject to change at a moment’s notice – Stay ahead! Events such as flash floods can occur with little or no warning if there’s prolonged rain, rain showers in the higher elevations and the soil already saturated!
