EARLY-SEASON HURRICANE FORECAST RELEASED – TIME TO START PREPARATIONS, IT ONLY TAKES ONE STORM TO WREAK HAVOC

Lead Researcher/Forecaster Phillip Klotzbach of the Colorado State University (CSU) Tropical Meteorology Project released his forecast for the Atlantic hurricane season saying a near-average or slightly below-average hurricane season is anticipated.

Klotzbach, a Meteorologist at Colorado State University, disclosed that while the number of named storms is forecast to be above average, the total number of days with tropical storms, hurricanes and major hurricanes is all expected to be below average.

The CSU team is predicting 13 named storms, five of which will become hurricanes and two of which will be category three to five storms with wind speeds of 111 miles per hour or greater.

AccuWeather also released their predictions, as well as, which roughly agree with CSU’s. It predicted 12 to 14 named storms, five to seven hurricanes and two to four high-powered hurricanes.

AccuWeather Atlantic Hurricane Expert Dan Kottlowski said this year, they think that there will be a few less tropical storms and lower numbers in hurricanes, but again, the old saying is ‘it only takes one’.

NO MATTER THE SEASONAL OUTLOOK, NOW IS THE TIME TO PREPARE! IT ONLY TAKES ONE STORM TO BRING LOSS OF LIFE, EXTENSIVE DAMAGE AND CHANGE PEOPLE’S LIVES FOREVER! Continue reading

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HERE’S WHAT YOU SHOULD KNOW ABOUT TSUNAMIS – TSUNAMIS ARE RARE, BUT ARE A POTENTIALLY DANGEROUS THREAT TO THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN

Montserrat is located in the Eastern Caribbean which is considered the most seismically active area along the Caribbean Plate.

Numerous volcanoes – both above ground and submarine – have the potential to cause landslides that generate tsunamis. This tsunami threat is in addition to earthquake-generated tsunamis along major faults and plate boundaries. Each year, over 1200 earthquakes are recorded in the Eastern Caribbean.

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MONTSERRAT’S NATIONAL WEATHER FORECAST VALID UP TO 8 AM GOOD FRIDAY, APRIL 18TH, 2019

SYNOPSIS: A moderate to fresh trade wind flow generated by a high-pressure system could transport pockets of low-level moisture over and around the islands, which could lead to a moderate chance of showers later today into tonight.

WEATHER TODAY: Partly sunny skies in general with a 10 percent or slight chance of a brief shower.

WEATHER TONIGHT: Fair to partly cloudy skies with a 40 percent or moderate chance of brief passing showers.

WINDS: East-northeast at 19 to 30 km/h or 10 to 16 knots.

SEAS: 1.2 to 1.8 metres or 4 to 6 feet.

Sunset Today: 6:26 pm. Sunrise tomorrow: 5:52 am.

TODAY’S TEMPS:

HIGH: 31°C/ 88°F

LOW: 23°C/73° F Continue reading

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MONTSERRAT’S NATIONAL WEATHER FORECAST VALID UP TO 8 AM THURSDAY 18TH, 2019

SYNOPSIS: A high-pressure system is the dominant weather feature and is expected to keep weather conditions dry and stable during the forecast period.

WEATHER TODAY: Partly sunny with a 20 percent or a slight chance of showers.

WEATHER TONIGHT: Generally fair

WINDS: East with speeds ranging between 19 to 30 km/h or 10 to 16 knots.

SEAS: 0.9 to 1.5 metres or 3 to 5 feet.

Sunset Today: 6:25 pm.    Sunrise tomorrow: 5:52 am.

TODAY’S TEMPS:

HIGH: 32°C/ 90°F

LOW: 23°C/73° F Continue reading

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MONTSERRAT’S NATIONAL WEATHER FORECAST VALID UP TO 8 AM WEDNESDAY 17TH, 2019

SYNOPSIS: A weak trough will continue to move through the area today, resulting in a moderate chance for some shower activity. By later today into tonight, this trough will move westwards and be replaced by a drier and more stable atmosphere which will restrict shower activity.

WEATHER TODAY: Partly cloudy skies with a 40 percent or moderate chance of brief showers mainly during the morning.

WEATHER TONIGHT: Fair to partly cloudy skies tonight with a 20 percent or slight chance of a shower.

WINDS: East at 22 to 33 km/h or 12 to 18 knots gusting higher over open waters and elevated areas..

SEAS: 1.2 to 1.8 metres or 4 to 6 feet.

Sunset today: 6:25 pm. Sunrise tomorrow: 5:53 am. Continue reading

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DMCA’S PARTICIPATION IN THE 10TH MEETING OF THE TECHNICAL ADVISORY COMMITTEE (TAC) IN BARBADOS DESCRIBES AS QUITE TIMELY

Operations and Logistics Officer at the Disaster Management Coordination Agency (DMCA) Kelvin White represented Montserrat at the 10th Meeting of the Technical Advisory Committee (TAC) of the Caribbean Disaster Emergency Management Agency (CDEMA).

Mr White participation at the meeting is quite timely and relevant as the DMCA has already started preparations for the 2019 Atlantic Hurricane Season, which is less than two months away.

On Monday, April 15th, 2019, Mr White will be the lead facilitator for a weeklong Shelter Management Workshop for District Disaster Chairpersons on Montserrat.

The workshop which will be held at the DMCA concludes on Thursday, April 18th, 2019.

The April 9th to 11th TAC meeting brought together National Disaster Coordinators from CDEMA Participating States, Bermuda and the Cayman Islands, as well as representatives from Regional and UN Partner Agencies.

The TAC 2019 engaged in business sessions where members discussed regional and national matters relating to disaster risk management.

The Technical Advisory Committee (TAC) is an organ of the CDEMA Governance Structure which makes recommendations for the consideration of the CDEMA Council of Ministers. The meeting, therefore, reviews a number of policy documents and technical tools and makes recommendations for endorsements by the Council.

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MONTSERRAT VOLCANO OBSERVATORY (MV0) WEEKLY REPORT APRIL 6TH, 2019 TO APRIL 12TH, 2019

Activity at the Soufrière Hills Volcano remains low.

The seismic network recorded 14 VT events this week.

This included a brief VT swarm on the 10th of April.

There are no measurements of the SO2 flux to report since the 12th of March.

Pyroclastic flows can occur at any time without warning on any side of the volcano, including Gages from where they can travel rapidly into Plymouth. Tracks across the Belham Valley can be destroyed or heavily modified by flash flooding or lahars, and caution should be exercised crossing the valley during and after rainfall.

The Hazard Level is 1. There is no public access to Zone V, including Plymouth. Maritime Zones E and W are daytime transit only between sunrise and sunset (boats may sail through the zone but must not stop). Anyone who ignores these restrictions is liable to be prosecuted.

Please continue to monitor ZJB Radio, DMCA’s website at www.dmca.gov.ms and Facebook at Montserrat Disaster Management Coordination Agency-DMCA for regular updates. Continue reading

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MONTSERRAT’S NATIONAL WEATHER FORECAST VALID UP TO 8 AM TUESDAY APRIL 16TH, 2019

SYNOPSIS: A weak trough accompanied by weak instability and shallow moisture will maintain a moderate chance of showers across the region today. Later this evening and tonight a less moist and more stable airmass settling over the area will restrict shower activity.

WEATHER TODAY: Partly cloudy to cloudy with a 50 percent or moderate chance of showers.

WEATHER TONIGHT: Partly cloudy with a 20 percent or slight chance of showers.

WINDS: Easterly at 20 to 31 km/h or 11 to 17 knots.

SEAS: 1.5 to 1.8 metres or 5 to 6 feet.

Sunset Today: 6:25 pm. Sunrise tomorrow: 5:54 am.

TODAY’S TEMPS:

HIGH: 27°C/ 81°F

LOW: 23°C/73° F Continue reading

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7 DAY MONTSERRAT MARINE WEATHER FORECAST MON. APRIL. 15th, 2019 TO SUN. APRIL. 21st, 2019

Monday, April 15th, 2019 6AM. 6PM.. 
Seas.. are 4 to 5′ 4 to 5 feet high.
Winds.. are Easterly @ 12 to 16. E12 to 16 MPH.
Skies.. early morning light showers, Sunny for the rest of the day.

 

Tuesday, April 16th, 2019 6AM. 6PM..
Seas.. are 4 to 5′ 4 to 5 feet high.
Winds.. are Easterly @ 12 to 16. E12 to 16 MPH.
Skies.. Sunny for the day.

Wednesday, April 17th. 2019 6AM. 6PM..
Seas.. are 4 to 5′ 4 to 5 feet high.
Winds.. are Easterly @ 12 to 14. E12 to 16 MPH.
Skies.. early morning light showers, Sunny for the rest of the day.

Thursday, April 18th, 2019 6AM. 6PM..
Seas.. are 4 to 5′ 4 to 5 feet high.
Winds.. are Easterly @ 12 to 16. E12 to 16 MPH.
Skies.. Sunny for the day.

Friday, April 19th, 2019 6AM. 6PM.
Seas.. are 4 to 5′ 4 to 5 feet high.
Winds.. are Easterly @ 16 to 20. E12 to 16 MPH.
Skies.. early morning light showers, Sunny for the rest of the day.

Saturday, April 20th, 2019 6AM. 6PM.
Seas.. are 4 to 5′ 4 to 5 feet high.
Winds.. are Easterly @ 12 to 16. E12 to 16 MPH.
Skies.. Sunny for the day.

Sunday, April 21st, 2019 6AM. 6PM.
Seas… are 4 to 5′ 4 to 5 feet high Winds.. are Easterly @ 12 to 16. NE 12 to 16 MPH.
Skies… Cloudy with a few passing showers.

Please continue to monitor DMCA ’s facebook page -Montserrat Disaster Management Coordination Agency -DMCA and website – www.dmca.gov.msand ZJB Radio Montserrat for regular updates.

Continue reading

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MONTSERRAT’S NATIONAL WEATHER FORECAST VALID UP TO 8 AM SATURDAY APRIL 13TH, 2019

SYNOPSIS: Stable atmospheric conditions will persist over the Leewards and BVI today and tonight thereby keeping shower activity minimal

WEATHER TODAY: Partly sunny with a 20 percent or slight chance of a brief passing shower

WEATHER TONIGHT: Partly cloudy with a 20 percent or slight chance of a brief passing shower

WINDS: East-southeast at 8 to 14 knots or 15 to 26 km/h becoming more easterly by tonight.

SEAS: 1.2 to 1.8 meters or 4 to 6 feet.

Sunset Today: 6:24 pm. Sunrise tomorrow: 5:56 am.

TODAY’S TEMPS:

HIGH: 30 °C/ 86°F

LOW: 22°C/72° F Continue reading

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MONTSERRAT’S NATIONAL WEATHER FORECAST VALID UP TO 8 AM SATURDAY APRIL 13TH, 2019

SYNOPSIS: Stable atmospheric conditions will persist over the Leewards and BVI today and tonight thereby keeping shower activity minimal

WEATHER TODAY: Partly sunny with a 20 percent or slight chance of a brief passing shower

WEATHER TONIGHT: Partly cloudy with a 20 percent or slight chance of a brief passing shower

WINDS: East-southeast at 8 to 14 knots or 15 to 26 km/h becoming more easterly by tonight.

SEAS: 1.2 to 1.8 meters or 4 to 6 feet.

Sunset Today: 6:24 pm. Sunrise tomorrow: 5:56 am.

TODAY’S TEMPS:

HIGH: 30 °C/ 86°F

LOW: 22°C/72° F Continue reading

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