2019 Hurricane Guide for Montserrat

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TODAY’S LOCAL WEATHER FORECAST VALID UP TO 8 AM THURSDAY JULY 18TH, 2019

SYNOPSIS: Lingering instability from a weak tropical wave will gradually diminish today; however, moisture levels will increase once more overnight ahead of another tropical wave and will generate brief passing showers over the Leewards

WEATHER TODAY: Partly sunny with a 40 percent or moderate chance of a brief passing shower

WEATHER TONIGHT: Partly cloudy this evening becoming locally cloudy early tomorrow with a 60 percent or moderate chance of shower

WINDS: East with average speeds between 8 to 16 knots or 15 to 30 km/h.

SEAS: 1.5 meters of 5 feet.

Sunset Today: 6:46 pm. Sunrise tomorrow: 5:46 am.

TODAY’S TEMPS:

HIGH: 31°C/ 88F

LOW: 23°C/73° F Continue reading

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MONTSERRAT VOLCANO OBSERVATORY (MV0) WEEKLY REPORT JULY 06TH 2019 TO JULY 12TH, 2019

Activity at the Soufrière Hills Volcano remains low.

The seismic network recorded one rockfall and two volcano-tectonic earthquakes this week.

Four traverses were done using the boat traverse method to measure SO2 flux values on the 08th July. The average flux measured was 180 t/d.

Pyroclastic flows can occur at any time without warning on any side of the volcano, including Gages from where they can travel rapidly into Plymouth. Tracks across the Belham Valley can be destroyed or heavily modified by flash flooding or lahars, and caution should be exercised crossing the valley during and after rainfall.

The Hazard Level is 1. There is no public access to Zone V, including Plymouth. Maritime Zones E and W are daytime transit only between sunrise and sunset (boats may sail through the zone but must not stop). Anyone who ignores these restrictions is liable to be prosecuted. Continue reading

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SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR MONTSERRAT AND ANOTHER HOT DAY TODAY WITH TEMPERATURES OF 90°F (32°C)

HERE’S THE REST OF TODAY’S LOCAL WEATHER FORECAST VALID UP TO 8 AM TUESDAY JULY 16TH, 2019

SYNOPSIS: Fresh winds will result in the seas being a bit hazardous over the next 24 hours. Meanwhile, a high-pressure system in the vicinity, at the lower levels of the atmosphere, along with relatively low humidity levels will inhibit shower activity.

WEATHER TODAY: Partly sunny with a 30 percent or a low chance of showers.

WEATHER TONIGHT: Partly cloudy with a 30 percent or a low chance of showers.

WINDS: East at 22 to 37 km/h or 12 to 20 knots and occasionally higher with frequent strong gusts to near gale.

SEAS: 1.2 to 2 metres or 4 to 7 feet. A small craft caution is in effect for somewhat hazardous seas.

Sunset Today: 6:46 pm. Sunrise tomorrow: 5:45 am.

TODAY’S TEMPS:

HIGH: 32°C/ 90°F

LOW: 25°C/77° F Continue reading

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7 DAY MONTSERRAT MARINE WEATHER FORECAST MON. JULY. 15Th, 2019 TO SUN. JULY 21ST, 2019

 

Monday, July 15th, 2019 6AM. 6PM. 
Seas.. are 1.8M. or 5’6″ 1.7M. or 5’4″
Winds.. are Easterly @ 20MPH. E 17 MPH.
Skies.. SUNNY ALL DAY.

Tuesday, July July 16th, 2019
Seas.. are 1.7M. or 5’4″ 1.4M. or 4’6″
Winds.. are Easterly @ 16MPH. E 16 MPH.
Skies.. SUNNY ALL DAY, with overnight showers..

Wednesday, July 17th, 2019
Seas.. are 1.3M. or 3’10” 1.2M. or 3’6″
Winds.. are Easterly @ 15MPH. E 15 MPH.
Skies.. Overnight showers then SUNNY ALL DAY..

Thursday, July 18th, 2019
Seas.. are 1.3M. or 3’10” 1.1M. or 3’4″
Winds.. are Easterly @ 15MPH. E 14 MPH.
Skies.. Overnight showers then SUNNY ALL DAY..

Friday, July 19th, 2019
Seas.. are 1.1M. or 3’4″ 1.1M. or 3’4″
Winds.. are Easterly @ 13MPH. E 13 MPH.
Skies.. SUNNY ALL DAY..

Saturday, July 20th, 2019
Seas.. are 1.1M. or 3’4″ 1M. or 3′
Winds.. are Easterly @ 13MPH. NE 15 MPH.
Skies.. A few light AM showers, and SUNNY ALL DAY..

Sunday, July 21st, 2019
Seas.. are 1M. or 3′ 1.1M. or 3’4″
Winds.. are Easterly @ 11MPH. E 15 MPH.
Skies.. A few light AM showers, and SUNNY ALL DAY. Continue reading

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DMCA CONTINUES TO MONITOR A DISTURBANCE 1000 MILES WEST-SOUTH WEST OF CABO VERDE ISLANDS – 20% CHANCE OF FORMATION IN 48 HOURS

A tropical wave located nearly 1000 miles west-southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands continues to produce a small area of showers and thunderstorms. Some development of the wave is possible during the next day or so while it moves westward at 15 to 20 mph.

Environmental conditions are expected to become unfavorable for development by Sunday.

* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days…low…20 percent. Continue reading

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IT’S A BALMY 90°F ON MONTSERRAT TODAY

LOCAL WEATHER FORECAST VALID UP TO 8 AM SATURDAY JULY 13TH, 2019

SYNOPSIS: Notwithstanding the presence of a weak trough, low moisture levels will inhibit significant clouds and showers from developing over the Leewards and BVI. Early tomorrow, an increase in moisture will trigger the formation of some showers over the Leewards

WEATHER TODAY: Partly cloudy with 40 percent or moderate chance of a brief passing shower

WEATHER TONIGHT: Partly cloudy with a 40 percent or moderate chance of a brief early morning shower

WINDS: East at 8 to 14 knots or 15 to 26 km/h.

SEAS: 1.2 to 1.8 meters or 4 to 6 feet.

Sunset today: 6:46 pm. Sunrise tomorrow: 5:44 am.

TODAY’S TEMPS:

HIGH: 32°C/ 90°F

LOW: 24°C/75° F Continue reading

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TODAY’S LOCAL WEATHER FORECAST VALID UP TO 8 AM THURSDAY JULY 11TH, 2019

SYNOPSIS: High pressure along with relatively dry air dominating the region will continue to restrict shower activity across the islands.

WEATHER TODAY: Partly cloudy with a 30 percent or low chance of showers.

WEATHER TONIGHT: Mostly fair with a 20 percent or slight chance of showers.

WINDS: Easterly at 15 to 28 km/h or 8 to 15 knots.

Seas: 1.5 metres or 5 feet.

Sunset Today: 6:46 pm.    Sunrise tomorrow: 5:43 am. Continue reading

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PERSONS WITH RESPIRATORY CHALLENGES SHOULD TAKE PRECAUTIONARY MEASURES FROM SAHARAN DUST

SAHARAN DUST AIR QUALITY BULLETIN ISSUED BY THE ANTIGUA AND BARBUDA METEOROLOGICAL SERVICES

SYNOPSIS: A fresh surge of Saharan dust has caused the AQI to drop to moderate levels. This will increase the risk of health problems for unusually sensitive people, such as asthmatics. The worst AQI is expected TODAY Tuesday, July 10th, 2019.

Alert Level: II
AQI: 50 to 80
AQI category: Moderate

Timing: Until Wednesday

Sensitive groups: People with respiratory or heart disease, the elderly and children are the groups
most at risk.

Health implications: Air quality is acceptable; however, for some pollutants, there may be a moderate health concern for a very small number of people who are unusually sensitive to air pollution.

Caution: Unusually sensitive people such as active children and adults, and people with respiratory disease, such as asthma, should limit prolonged or heavy exertion.

Keep monitoring. Continue reading

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TODAY’S LOCAL WEATHER FORECAST VALID UP TO 8 AM WEDNESDAY JULY 10TH, 2019

SYNOPSIS: A high-pressure system in the vicinity, at the lower levels of the atmosphere, along with relatively dry and dusty air from the Sahara Desert will inhibit shower activity.

WEATHER TODAY: Partly sunny and hazy with a 10 percent or a slight chance of showers.

WEATHER TONIGHT: Partly cloudy and hazy with a 10 percent or a slight chance of showers.

WINDS: East-southeast at 19 to 33 km/h or 10 to 18 knots.

SEAS: 1.2 to 2 metres or 4 to 6 feet.

Sunset Today: 6:47 pm. Sunrise tomorrow: 5:43 am. Continue reading

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