2019 Hurricane Guide for Montserrat

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MONTSERRAT VOLCANO OBSERVATORY (MVO) WEEKLY REPORT FOR JULY 09TH TO JULY 16TH, 2019

Activity at the Soufrière Hills Volcano remains low.

The seismic network has recorded six volcano tectonic earthquakes this week.
Six traverses were done using the boat traverse method to measure the SO2 flux values on the 13th August. The average flux measured was 128 t/d.

Pyroclastic flows can occur at any time without warning on any side of the volcano, including Gages from where they can travel rapidly into Plymouth. Tracks across the Belham Valley can be destroyed or heavily modified by flash flooding or lahars, therefore caution should be exercised when crossing the valley during and after rainfall.  

The Hazard Level is 1. There is no public access to Zone V, including Plymouth. Maritime Zones E and W are daytime transit only between sunrise and sunset (boats may sail through the zone but must not stop). Anyone who ignores these restrictions is liable to be prosecuted.

Please continue to monitor DMCA ’s facebook page -Montserrat Disaster Management Coordination Agency -DMCA, twitter – https://twitter.com/DMCA_MONTSERRAT and our website – www.dmca.gov.ms and ZJB Radio Montserrat for regular updates. Continue reading

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THE EMERALD ISLE WILL BE EXPERIENCING ANOTHER HOT DAY TO START THE WEEK – 91 DEGREES FAHRENHEIT; REMEMBER TO DRINK PLENTY OF WATER AND SEEK OUT SHADE

THE LOCAL WEATHER FOR TODAY TUESDAY 19TH AUGUST 2019

WEATHER SYNOPSIS : High pressure coupled with slightly hazy conditions will keep shower activity to a minimum for the next 24 hours. Meanwhile, light winds associated with a slack pressure gradient will keep the atmosphere relatively warm.

WEATHER TODAY: Sunny to partly sunny with a 20 percent or a slight chance of showers.

WEATHER TONIGHT: Partly cloudy with a 30 percent or a low chance of early morning showers.

WINDS: East with speeds ranging between 15 to 26 km/h or 8 to 14 knots and occasionally becoming lighter.

SEAS: 0.9 to 1.5 metres or 3 to 5 feet.

Sunset today: 6:32 pm. Sunrise tomorrow: 5:54 am.

TODAY’S TEMPS:

HIGH: 33°C/ 91°F

LOW: 24°C/ 75° F Continue reading

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7 DAY MONTSERRAT MARINE WEATHER FORECAST MONDAY, AUGUST 19TH ,2019 TO SUNDAY, AUGUST 25TH,2019

Monday, 19 August 2019 
6AM. 6PM.
SEAS: 1.1M. or 3’6″ 1M. or 3’3″
Winds: E @ 10 with wind gusts up to 21MPH.. E 12 to 16 MPH..
Skies: Partly Cloudy, with a chance of some morning rain.

Tuesday, 20 August 2019
SEAS: 1M. or3’3″ 1M. or 3’3″
WINDS: E @ 12 with wind gusts up to 17MPH.. E 14 to 19 MPH..
SKIES: SUNNY and HOT.

Wednesday, 21 August 2019
SEAS: 1.1M. or 3’6″ 1.1M. or 3’6″
Winds: E @ 15 with wind gusts up to 20 MPH.. E 15 to 20 MPH..
SKIES: SUNNY and HOT.

Thursday, 22 August 2019
SEAS: 1.1M. or 3’6″ 1.1M. or 3’6″
WINDS: E @ 13 with wind gusts up to 19 MPH.. E 14 to 20 MPH..
SKIES: SUNNY and HOT.

Friday, 23 August 2019
SEAS:1.1M. or 3’6″ 1M. or 3’3″
WINDS: E @ 14 with wind gusts up to 19 MPH.. E 15 to 26 MPH..
SKIES: SUNNY with late afternoon showers.

Saturday, 24 August 2019
SEAS: 1.2M. or 3’9″ 1.2M. or 3’9″
WINDS: E @ 15 with wind gusts up to 28 MPH.. E 14 to 23 MPH..
SKIES: SUNNY and HOT.

Sunday, 25 August 2019
SEAS: 1.3M. or 4’2″ 1M. or 3’3″
WINDS: E @ 16 with wind gusts up to 21 MPH.. E 13 to 18 MPH..
SKIES :are partly cloudy with a chance of a midday shower. Continue reading

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ANOTHER HOT DAY ON THE EMERALD ISLE TODAY – 90 DEGREES FAHRENHEIT

HERE’S TODAY’S WEATHER FORECAST VALID UP TO 8AM TOMORROW SATURDAY 17TH AUGUST 2019

WEATHER SYNOPSIS : The presence of a weak trough to the north east of the islands along with a north easterly wind flow could transport shallow pockets of low level moisture over and around the islands at times today. However due to the dry and hazy state of the atmosphere currently across the islands, this will restrict any meaningful shower activity during that time.

WEATHER TODAY: Partly sunny and hazy conditions with a 40 percent or moderate chance of a brief passing shower.

WEATHER TONIGHT: Fair to partly cloudy skies with a 20 percent or slight chance of a brief shower.

WINDS: East-northeast at 19 to 30 km/h or 10 to 16 knots with lighter spells overnight..

SEAS: 1.2 to 1.5 metres or 4 to 5 feet..

Sunset today: 6:34 pm. Sunrise tomorrow: 5:54 am.

TODAY’S TEMPS:

HIGH: 32°C/ 90°F

LOW: 25°C/ 77° F

Please continue to monitor DMCA ’s facebook page -Montserrat Disaster Management Coordination Agency -DMCA, twitter – https://twitter.com/DMCA_MONTSERRAT and our website – www.dmca.gov.ms and ZJB Radio Montserrat for regular updates.

Continue reading

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MARINERS, FISHERFOLKS AND OTHER INDIVIDUALS ARE ASKED TO IMMEDIATELY REMOVE OR PROPERLY STRAPPED TO THE GROUND SHIPPING CONTAINERS, OLD ABANDONED BOATS AND OTHER ITEMS AT LITTLE BAY BOATYARD AND SURROUNDING AREAS

The Disaster Management Coordination Agency (DMCA) is appealing to mariners, fisherfolks and other individuals who have shipping containers, old abandoned boats and other loose items in the Little Bay Boat Yard and surrounding areas to have them properly strapped and secured to the ground or removed immediately.

The DMCA is advising that those unsecured shipping containers, old abandoned boats and other loose items pose a serious threat to life and property during a tropical storm or a hurricane as they become missiles when they are airborne or buoyant in floodwaters.

Let us all do our part this Hurricane Season to build a disaster resilience Montserrat.

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AIR QUALITY IS EXPECTED TO FALL TO MODERATE LEVELS FROM TONIGHT UNTIL FRIDAY DUE TO A FRESH SURGE OF SAHARAN DUST; PEOPLE WITH RESPIRATORY PROBLEMS SUCH AS ASTHMATICS SHOULD TAKE THE NECESSARY PRECAUTIONS

Air Quality Index (AQI) Based on Particulate Matter 2.5 (PM2.5) and 10 (PM10) Concentration

Synopsis: The AQI is expected to drop to moderate levels tonight and continue through Friday, due to a fresh surge of Saharan dust. This will increase the risk of health problems for unusually sensitive people, such as asthmatics.

Alert Level: II

AQI: 55 to 85

AQI category: Moderate

Timing: Tonight until Friday

Sensitive groups: People with respiratory or heart disease, the elderly and children are the groups most at risk.
Health implications: Air quality is acceptable; however, for some pollutants, there may be a moderate health concern for a very small number of people who are unusually sensitive to air pollution.

Caution: Unusually sensitive people such as active children and adults, and people with respiratory disease, such as asthma, should limit prolonged or heavy exertion.

Keep monitoring. Continue reading

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MONTSERRAT HOSTS A MARITIME MASS RESCUE OPERATION (MRO) TABLETOP EXERCISE AND SEMINAR THIS MORNING

Montserrat hosted a Maritime Mass Rescue Operation (MRO) tabletop exercise and seminar on Thursday, August 8th, 2019 at the Montserrat Cultural Center in Little Bay.

The one-day event was organized by the Disaster Management Coordination Agency (DMCA) with technical support from the United Kingdom (UK) Maritime Coast Guard Agency and the United States (US) Coast Guard.

The Maritime Mass Rescue Operation tabletop exercise and seminar will allow stakeholders to test and evaluate Montserrat’s national Maritime Mass Rescue Operation (MRO) response framework and draft Maritime Mass Rescue Operation plan for dealing with large passenger vessels that may traverse Montserrat waters.

Some of these vessels may not have Montserrat as their destination but the circumstances may require a local response in the event of an alert or an emergency is declared.
Hence, Montserrat needs to be ready to respond nationally, with all stakeholders knowing and understanding their roles and responsibilities as defined in the Mass Rescue Operation (MRO) response plan, based on local resources and capabilities.

It is also critical that in any response Montserrat knows its resource limitations, incident command structure and logistical and communication arrangements.

The tabletop exercise and seminar would also guide Montserrat’s effectiveness and efficiency in responding to all types of marine emergencies.

The event brought together staff from the Disaster Management Coordination Agency (DMCA), the Royal Montserrat Police Service, the Montserrat Port Authority, Royal Montserrat Defence Force (RMDF), Tourism Division, Montserrat Integrated Border Security Unit (IBSU), Montserrat branch of the British Red Cross, Airport, Governor’s Office, the Fisher’s Association, Social Services, Ministry of Health and representatives from the US Coast Guard and the UK Maritime Coast Guard Agency.

Continue reading

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TODAY’S LOCAL WEATHER FORECAST VALID UP TO 8 AM SATURDAY AUGUST 10TH, 2019

WEATHER SYNOPSIS: High pressure along with dry and stable air settling over the region will reduce the chances of showers across the islands.

WEATHER TODAY: Partly sunny with a 30 percent or low chance of showers.

WEATHER TONIGHT: Partly cloudy with a 30 percent or low chance of showers.

WINDS: Easterly at 13 to 28 km/h or 7 to 15 knots..

SEAS: 1 to 1.8 metres or 3 to 6 feet..

Sunset today: 6:38 pm. Sunrise tomorrow: 5:52 am.

TODAY’S TEMPS:

HIGH: 30°C/ 86°F

LOW: 25°C/ 77° F Continue reading

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TODAY’S LOCAL WEATHER FORECAST VALID UP TO 8 AM FRIDAY AUGUST 9TH, 2019

WEATHER SYNOPSIS: The presence of a tropical wave, coupled with warm south easterly wind flow and daytime heating could trigger an outbreak of shower and thunderstorm activity later today into tonight.

WEATHER TODAY: Mostly cloudy skies with a 70 percent or high chance of showers and a 50 percent or moderate chance of thunderstorms mainly during the afternoon and evening hours.

WEATHER TONIGHT: Partly cloudy to cloudy skies with a 40 percent or moderate chance of showers mainly before midnight. Cloudiness and shower activity will gradually diminish thereafter.

WINDS: East-southeast at 19 to 33 km/h or 10 to 18 knots gusting higher during showers..

SEAS: 1.5 to 2.4 metres or 5 to 8 feet. Small craft operators should continue to exercise caution mainly on the eastern side of the island..

Sunset today: 6:38 pm. Sunrise tomorrow: 5:52 am.

TODAY’S TEMPS:

HIGH: 30°C/ 86°F

LOW: 23°C/ 73° F Continue reading

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DMCA CONTINUES TO MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF A DISTURBANCE EAST OF THE CARIBBEAN WHICH HAS A 70% CHANCE OF DEVELOPING INTO A TROPICAL SYSTEM IN 5 DAYS; RESIDENTS URGE TO BE VIGILANT AND TO REVIEW THEIR PERSONAL HURRICANE PLANS

The Disaster Management Coordination Agency (DMCA) is monitoring the progress of a tropical wave in the Atlantic that has a 20 % chance of developing into a tropical system within the next two (2) days and a 70% probability of development within the next five (5) days.

Please note, that although, 70% is considered a high probability that this system could develop into a tropical depression. As it stands, at the moment the system is still a tropical wave.

The DMCA is urging residents to be vigilant and to review their personal hurricane plans and be ready in the event this system should impact Montserrat.

SYNOPSIS

A broad low pressure system located about 1000 miles west-southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands continues to produce a large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Only gradual development of this system is expected for the next day or so while it moves west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph. Environmental conditions could become more supportive by Saturday and a tropical depression is likely to form over the weekend, several hundred miles east of the Lesser Antilles.

* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days…high…70 percent. Continue reading

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