THIS IS FOR THE LEEWARD ISLANDS AND BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED ABOUT 600 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF THE WINDWARD ISLANDS, CONTINUE TO SHOW SIGNS OF ORGANIZATION AND A TROPICAL CYCLONE COULD BE FORMING.
IF THIS TREND CONTINUES, THEN A TROPICAL DEPRESSION OR A TROPICAL STORM WOULD LIKELY FORM LATER TODAY WHILE THE SYSTEM MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARDS TO WESTWARDS AT ABOUT 20MPH. AS A RESULT, WATCHES AND WARNINGS COULD BE REQUIRED AT ANY TIME.
REGARDLESS OF DEVELOPMENT, HEAVY RAINS AND STRONG GUSTY WINDS POSSIBLY TO TROPICAL STORM FORCE, ARE EXPECTED TO SPREAD MAINLY OVER THE WINDWARD ISLANDS AND PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHERN LESSER ANTILLES BEGINNING TONIGHT AND CONTINUING INTO WEDNESDAY. AN AIR FORCE RESERVE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT IS SCHEDULED TO INVESTIGATE THE DISTURBANCE THIS AFTERNOON.
WHEREAS THIS DISTURBANCE HAS A GREATER CHANCE OF AFFECTING THE WINDWARDS ISLANDS, RESIDENTS OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM Continue reading
The Disaster Management Coordination Agency (DMCA) continues to monitor Invest 97 L which is expected to become a tropical depression or tropical storm today.
Showers and thunderstorms continue in association with a well-organized tropical wave located about 475 miles east-southeast of Barbados. However, the low appears to lack a closed circulation at this time.
Environmental conditions are favorable for continued development, and a tropical depression or tropical storm could form later today or tonight while the system moves westward to west- northwestward at 15 to 20 mph. Interests in the eastern and central Caribbean Sea, including the northern coast of South America, should monitor the progress of this disturbance, since warnings and watches could be required at any time.
Regardless of whether the system is a tropical wave or tropical cyclone, heavy rains and wind gusts to tropical storm force are expected to spread over the Windward Islands and portions of the southern Lesser Antilles, beginning tonight and continuing into Wednesday. An Air Force Reserve reconnaissance aircraft is scheduled to investigate the disturbance this afternoon.
* Formation chance through 48 hours…high…90 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days…high…90 percent
THIS IS MONTSERRAT’S PUBLIC WEATHER FORECAST FOR TODAY AND TOMORROW 28TH SEPTEMBER 2016 8 AM
GENERAL SITUATION: Weak instability will be replaced by a more stable atmosphere over the Leewards today and tonight as a low level ridge builds over the islands.
Meanwhile, an area of disturbed weather located several hundred mile east southeast of the Leewards has a high chance of developing into a tropical cyclone later today. Whereas this system has a greater chance of impacting the Windwards Islands, residents of the Leewards should closely monitor the progress of this system. A special weather alert is now in effect for this developing weather situation.
WEATHER: TODAY: Partly cloudy with a chance of brief morning showers
TONIGHT: Partly cloudy with a slight chance of a brief shower
WINDS: East to east-southeast at 8-16kts [15-30km/h] today becoming East-northeasterly by tonight and increasing slightly by tomorrow.
SEAS: Moderate: heights 1.5-1.8m or 5-6ft; A small craft caution remains in effect for marginally safe seas. The seas are expected to build to 2.4m or 8ft by tomorrow and a warning comes into effect after midnight tonight or the coastal waters around the Leewards Continue reading
Drink plenty of water; even if you do not feel thirsty.
Avoid drinks with caffeine. Persons who have epilepsy or heart, kidney, or liver disease; are on fluid-restricted diets; or have a problem with fluid retention should consult a doctor before increasing liquid intake.
Eat well-balanced, light, and regular meals. Avoid using salt tablets unless directed to do so by a physician.
Limit intake of alcoholic beverages.
Never leave children or pets alone in closed vehicles.
Check on family, friends, and neighbors who do not have air conditioning and who spend much of their time alone.
Check on your animals frequently to ensure that they are not suffering from the heat.
Stay on the lowest floor out of the sunshine if air conditioning is not available. Continue reading
The Disaster Mangement Coordination Agency (DMCA) is monitoring closley the latest Atlantic tropical disturbance, Invest 97L, will arrive in the Lesser Antilles Wednesday.
Invest 97L is expected to develop into a tropical depression or tropical storm later this week.
This system could threaten parts of the Caribbean and possibly the U.S. or Mexico down the road.
A tropical disturbance, Invest 97L, well east of the Windward Islands, is now likely to develop into the next Atlantic named storm later this week, and may pose a threat into next week in the Caribbean basin and possibly beyond.
For now, this tropical disturbance is located over 1100 miles east of the Lesser Antilles. It’s a tropical “wave” because winds at the surface do not exhibit a closed low-pressure circulation, but rather shift from northeasterly ahead of the wave to southeasterly behind the wave.
The National Hurricane Center has tentatively scheduled the first Hurricane Hunter mission into Invest 97L for Tuesday afternoon.
The National Hurricane Center has given this system a high chance for formation into a tropical depression over the next 2 to 5 days as it nears the Lesser Antilles into the Caribbean Sea. The next named storm in the Atlantic would be Matthew. Continue reading
THIS IS MONTSERRAT’S PUBLIC WEATHER FORECAST FOR TODAY AND TOMORROW 27TH SEPTEMBER 2016 8 AM
GENERAL SITUATION: Moisture and instability associated with a tropical wave, combined with an upper level trough will heighten the chances for increased cloudiness and shower activity across the islands today and tonight.
WEATHER: Partly sunny skies today and partly cloudy skies tonight, with periods of increased cloudiness and a good chance of some widely scattered showers developing.
WINDS: ESE at 6-12kts (11-22km/h) becoming lighter and variable at times.
SEAS: Slight to moderate, swells 1-1.5m or approximately 3-5ft. Continue reading
Disaster Management Coordination Agency
September 21st, 2016 – St John’s Montserrat – The Disaster Management Coordination Agency (DMCA) will mark International Day for Disaster Reduction” next month with its first “Open Day”.
“International Day for Disaster Reduction” is celebrated annually worldwide on October 13th to promote a global culture of risk-awareness and disaster reduction.
The event will be celebrated under the theme “Live To Tell” to encourage individuals, communities, government and non-governmental organizations (NGOs) to take part in building more disaster resilient communities and countries.
The Open Day, to be held at the DMCA compound in Yellow Hill, St John’s, is intended to draw attention to the important work of the agency in the coordination of emergency/disaster-related activities on island.
Visitors will get a first-hand look at what goes on behind the scenes at the DMCA to transition the agency into the National Emergency Operations Centre during an emergency requiring a response/coordination at the national level.
This includes the deployment of emergency communication systems and the setting up an emergency messaging system.
Visitors will also learn about the EOC structure, outreach and information activities, alerting system and public communication facilities.
The public will have an opportunity to ask questions about the DMCA and about preparing for natural disasters.
The Disaster Management Coordination Agency (DMCA) continues to monitor a tropical wave located about 350 miles southeast of the Cabo Verde Islands is expected to move rapidly westward across the tropical Atlantic Ocean at 20 to 25 mph for the next several days.
Environmental conditions could be conducive for some gradual
development while the system approaches the Lesser Antilles next
* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…near 0 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days…low…20 percent
THIS IS MONTSERRAT’S PUBLIC WEATHER FORECAST FOR TODAY AND TOMORROW 24TH SEPTEMBER 2016 8 AM
GENERAL SITUATION: Trailing instability associated with Tropical Storm Karl will continue to affect the islands.
WEATHER: Today: Partly cloudy with occasional cloudy skies and scattered showers and a chance of isolated thunderstorm.
TONIGHT: Fair to partly cloudy with isolated showers.
WINDS: SSE to ESE at 9 to 18 km/h or 5 to 10 knots. Continue reading
THIS IS MONTSERRAT’S PUBLIC WEATHER FORECAST FOR TODAY AND TOMORROW 23RD SEPTEMBER 2016 8 AM
GENERAL SITUATION: A trough system extending from Tropical Depression Karl along daytime heating and associated sea-breeze convergence will likely result in another day of localized heavy downpours. Possible rainfall total for the next 24 hours is 5 to 25 mm (0.20 to 1.00 in), with the potential for locally higher amounts.
A flash flood advisory may be required sometime today. It is also expected to be another very warm day with high temperatures made to feel even higher due mainly to light southerly winds
WEATHER TODAY: Partly sunny with a 70 percent (or high) chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly across the northern half of the islands.
WEATHER TONIGHT: Mostly clear with a 20 percent (or slight) chance of showers
WINDS: Southerly at less than 19 km/h or less than 10 knots. Continue reading