WE’RE NOW IN THE WEEKS OF PEAK HURRICANE ACTIVITY; IF YOU HAVE BEEN PUTTING OFF ANY FINAL PREPARATIONS AT HOME OR YOUR BUSINESS, NOW IS THE TIME TO COMPLETE THEM AND BE PREPARED

THE PEAK OF THE HURRICANE SEASON IS HERE; IF YOU HAVE BEEN PUTTING OFF ANY FINAL PREPARATIONS AT HOME OR AT YOUR BUSINESS, NOW IS THE TIME TO COMPLETE THEM AND BE PREPARED!

PEAK HURRICANE SEASON IS HERE; IF YOU HAVE BEEN PUTTING OFF ANY FINAL PREPARATIONS AT HOME OR YOUR BUSINESS, NOW IS THE TIME TO COMPLETE THEM AND BE PREPARED

Activity at the Soufrière Hills Volcano remains low!

Yellow Hill, Montserrat – September 7, 2020 –

Disturbance 3 is to emerge off the west coast of Africa. It is no threat to Montserrat at this time but, residents are asked to continue to monitor this system and be prepared in the event conditions change. Disturbance 2 is south-southwest of Bermuda.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION 17At 500 AM, the center of Tropical Depression Seventeen was located near latitude 17.3 North, longitude 42.1 West. The depression is moving toward the west-northwest near 6 mph (9 km/h), and this motion is expected to continue for the next few days with a gradual increase in forwarding speed. Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. Some slow strengthening is forecast over the next few days, and the depression is expected to become a tropical storm later today.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION 18At 500 AM, the center of Tropical Depression Eighteen was located near latitude 15.2 North, longitude 20.3 West. The depression is moving toward the west near 12 mph, and this general motion with some increase in forwarding speed is expected over the next few days. Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. Gradual strengthening is forecast during the next 48 hours, and the depression is forecast to become a tropical storm later today or tonight.

SOURCE: NOAA NHC

Yellow Hill, Montserrat – September 4, 2020 – Disturbance 1 – A non-tropical area of low pressure is located over the north-central Atlantic about 500 miles south-southeast of Cape Race Newfoundland. This low is expected to move north-northeastward near 15 mph, and some slight subtropical or tropical development of this system is possible before it reaches cooler waters tonight.* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days…low…20 percent.

Disturbance 2 – A nearly stationary broad area of low pressure is located over the east-central tropical Atlantic about midway between the west coast of Africa and the Windward Islands. This system continues to produce disorganized showers and thunderstorms, and gradual development is possible after the larger tropical wave located near the Cabo Verde Islands passes to the north of this system on Sunday. * Formation chance through 48 hours…low…20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days…medium…40 percent.

Disturbance 3 – A tropical wave located just west of the Cabo Verde Islands is producing a large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Gradual development of this system is expected as it moves westward to west-northwestward, and a tropical depression is likely to form early next week when the system reaches the central tropical Atlantic.* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days…high…70 percent.

Disturbance 3 – A tropical wave located just west of the Cabo Verde Islands is producing a large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Gradual development of this system is expected as it moves westward to west-northwestward, and a tropical depression is likely to form early next week when the system reaches the central tropical Atlantic.* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days…high…70 percent.

Yellow Hill, Montserrat – August 31, 2020 – Disturbance 1 – A broad area of low pressure associated with a tropical wave over the central Caribbean Sea has changed little in organization since yesterday. However, environmental conditions are expected to gradually become more conducive for development, and a tropical depression is likely to form during the next couple of days while the system moves westward at at 15 to 20 mph. Interests in Jamaica, Honduras, Belize, Guatemala and the Yucatan peninsula should monitor the progress of this disturbance.* Formation chance through 48 hours…high…70 percent.* Formation chance through 5 days…high…80 percent.

Disturbance 2 – An area of low pressure is located about 150 miles south-southeast of Wilmington, North Carolina. This system has become better organized overnight, and a tropical depression is likely to form within a day or so while the system moves northeastward, near but offshore of the southeastern coast of the United States, and then away from land. An Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft is scheduled to investigate the system this afternoon if necessary.
* Formation chance through 48 hours…high…70 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days…high…70 percent.

Disturbance 3- A tropical wave is expected to emerge off the coast of Africa in a couple of days. Gradual development of this system will be possible through the end of the week while it moves slowly westward over the far eastern tropical Atlantic Ocean.
* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days…low…30 percent.

Disturbance 4 – Another tropical wave is located over the eastern Atlantic Ocean, several hundred miles southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands. This system is producing little shower activity, and further development of this system is not expected.
* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days…low…10 percent.