TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVEN FORMED IN THE ATLANTIC AND COULD BECOME TROPICAL STORM GONZALO IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THE DMCA IS CLOSELY MONITORING THE DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM LOCATED 1,420 MILES EAST OF THE SOUTHERN WINDWARD ISLANDS WHICH CONTINUES TO GET BETTER ORGANIZED. DMCA URGES RESIDENTS AND VISITORS TO ASSESS THEIR RISK NOW AND STAY PREPARED!

Yellow Hill, Montserrat – July 21, 2020 – At 500 PM, the center of Tropical Depression Seven was located near latitude 9.8 North, longitude 40.4 West. The depression is moving toward the west-northwest near 8 mph (13 km/h).

A turn toward the west with an increase in forwarding speed is expected tonight and Wednesday, and that motion should continue through Friday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts.
Strengthening is forecast during the next couple of days, and the depression is expected to become a tropical storm tonight or Wednesday.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1009 MB (29.80 inches). 

TROPICAL DISTURBANCE AL99 NOW HAS AN 80% CHANCE OF FORMATION IN 48 HRS; THE DMCA IS CLOSELY MONITORING THE DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM LOCATED ABOUT MIDWAY BETWEEN THE WEST COAST OF AFRICA AND THE LESSER ANTILLES WHICH CONTINUES TO GET BETTER ORGANIZED. DMCA URGES RESIDENTS AND VISITORS TO ASSESS THEIR RISK AND STAY PREPARED!

Yellow Hill, Montserrat – July 21st, 2020 at 11 am – Satellite imagery and recent satellite wind data indicate that the low pressure system located about midway between the west coast of Africa and the Lesser Antilles continues to get better organized. If current trends continue, advisories could be initiated on this system as a tropical depression later today. Regardless of development during the next couple of days, less favourable conditions should limit additional development by the weekend.
* Formation chance through 48 hours…high…80 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days…high…80 percent.

Forecaster Beven 

DMCA IS CLOSELY MONITORING THE DEVELOPMENT OF TROPICAL DISTURBANCE-AL99 TRAVERSING THE TROPICAL NORTH ATLANTIC. THE SYSTEM HAS A 60% CHANCE OF BECOMING A TROPICAL DEPRESSION IN 48 HRS. DMCA URGES RESIDENTS AND VISITORS TO ASSESS THEIR RISK AND STAY PREPARED!

Yellow Hill, Montserrat – July 21, 2020 – Showers and thunderstorms have become better organized in association with a low-pressure system located about midway between the west coast of Africa and the Lesser Antilles. Environmental conditions are expected to be somewhat conducive for development, and a tropical depression could form during the next day or two while the low moves westward at around 10 mph over the tropical Atlantic. By the weekend, however, less favourable conditions should limit additional development.* Formation chance through 48 hours…medium…60 percent.* Formation chance through 5 days…medium…60 percent. Forecaster Beven

DMCA MONITORS DISTURBANCE 2 WHICH HAS A 20 % CHANCE OF CYCLONE FORMATION IN 5 DAYS; THREE (3) DISTURBANCES ARE NOW IN THE ATLANTIC.

Yellow Hill, Montserrat – July 20th, 2020 – Shower activity associated with a tropical wave located about 1000 miles west-southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands has become a little better organized this morning. Environmental conditions are expected to be marginally conducive for development of this system during the next few days while it moves westward at 10 to 15 mph over the tropical Atlantic. By Friday and over the weekend, conditions are forecast to become less favourable for tropical cyclone formation.

* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days…low…20 percent.