TROPICAL DISTURBANCE EAST OF THE ISLANDS NOW HAS A 30% CHANCE OF FORMATION; THE SYSTEM DOES NOT POSE A THREAT TO MONTSERRAT AT THIS TIME, HOWEVER, DMCA WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR & PROVIDE THE NECESSARY UPDATES & INFORMATION!

Yellow Hill, Montserrat – October 12, 2020 – Disturbance 1 located about 49°W & 12°N or about 750 miles east of the Windward Islands is moving westward at about 15 mph. Slow development of this system is possible during the next day or so while it moves generally westward near 15 mph. Strong upper-level winds are expected to limit further development by midweek. * Formation chance through 48 hours…low…30 percent * Formation chance through 5 days…low…30 percent Forecaster Beven