THERE’S STILL A RELATIVELY HIGH UNCERTAINTY REGARDING THE FORECAST TRACK OF TROPICAL STORM TEDDY; HOWEVER, ALL THE MODELS SURVEYED, EXCEPT FOR A FEW, CONTINUE TO FORECAST THE CENTRE OF TEDDY TO PASS WELL AWAY FROM THE CARIBBEAN. HENCE, BASED ON THE REASONABLE WORST-CASE SCENARIO, THE CYCLONE POSES LITTLE TO NO WIND THREAT TO MONTSERRAT.

OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS, THERE’S BEEN A FURTHER SLIGHT SHIFT OF THE TRACK, OF THE STORM, TOWARD THE ISLANDS; HOWEVER, IT IS STILL FORECAST TO PASS SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES AWAY FROM THE AREA. EVEN FROM A REASONABLE WORST-CASE SCENARIO, THE DEVELOPING CYCLONE SHOULD PASS A VERY SAFE DISTANCE AWAY FROM THE ISLANDS. NOTWITHSTANDING, ANY PERSISTENT WESTWARD TRACK BEYOND TUESDAY WILL RESULT IN AN ALERT BEING ISSUED FOR MONTSERRAT.

YOU CAN SEE THE FULL STATEMENT BELOW FROM THE ANTIGUA AND BARBUDA METEOROLOGICAL SERVICES ON TROPICAL STORM TEDDY: