The tropical wave east of the Lesser Antilles is not likely to develop over the next 5 days. Hence, there’s no potential threat to Montserrat at this time.

The National Hurricane Centre @ 8 am issued the following advisory:

Showers and thunderstorms associated with a tropical wave located a few hundred miles east of the Windward Islands remain disorganized. Additional development of this system is unlikely while moving west-northwestward at 5 to 10 mph into an area of stronger upper-level winds by Thursday.

Formation chance through 48 hours…10%. Formation chance through 5 days…10%.

The DMCA will continue to provide regular updates until the system dissipates or passes us.