Tuesday, September 28, 2021 – The Disaster Management Coordination Agency, DMCA is monitoring Tropical Disturbances 1 and 2 in the Eastern Atlantic forecast to become tropical depressions later this week as they move west-northwest. Disturbance 1 has an 80% chance of formation through the next five days as of the 8 a.m. update, while the disturbance behind it, had slightly higher chances at 80% for the next two days and 90% for the next five.

The National Hurricane Center issued the following advisories on the disturbances:

Tropical Disturbance 1 located several hundred miles southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands continues to produce an area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions are conducive for gradual development, and a tropical depression is likely to form during the next couple of days while the system moves westward to west-northwestward at 5 to 10 mph over the central tropical Atlantic. Formation chance through 48 hours is 70%. Formation chance through 5 days is 80%.

Tropical Disturbance 2 is broad area of low pressure located over the far eastern tropical Atlantic. Environmental conditions are conducive for development, and a tropical depression is likely to form in a day or two while the disturbance moves west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph over the eastern tropical Atlantic. Formation chance through 48 hours is 80%. Formation chance through 5 days is 90%.

It’s too early at this time to determine if there will be any impact to Montserrat from the two(2) disturbances in the Atlantic. Hence, the Disaster Management Coordination Agency, DMCA is urging all residents on Montserrat to continue to monitor the tropics and always be prepared during what’s expected to be an active hurricane season.

The Disaster Management Coordination Agency, DMCA will continue to closely monitor Hurricane Sam and Tropical Disturbances 2 & 3, and provide regular updates as new information is released from the NHC.