Sunday October 10, 2021 – The Disaster Management Coordination Agency, DMCA is monitoring Disturbance 2 located about 500 miles east-southeast of the Windward Islands, moving west-northwestward at about 15 mph. The system has a 30% chance of cyclone formation in 5 days.

At 2:00 pm, the National Hurricane Center, NHC issued the following advisory on the disturbance:

Disturbance 2, is a vigorous tropical wave located about 500 miles east-southeast of the Windward Islands is producing a concentrated area of cloudiness and thunderstorms near the wave axis based on recent satellite-derived surface wind data.Environmental conditions are forecast to be marginally conducive for some additional development of this system while it moves west-northwestward at about 15 mph over the next few days. The disturbance is expected to approach the central and northern Lesser Antilles by late Monday and early Tuesday, and interests in these areas should monitor the progress of this system.

Regardless of development, the system will produce locally heavy rainfall and gusty winds across portions of the central and northern Lesser Antilles on Tuesday, and across the Virgin Islands and northern Lesser Antilles on Wednesday. The system has 20 percent chance of tropical development in 2 days and 30% chance in 5 days.

The Disaster Management Coordination Agency, DMCA will continue to the monitor the system and provide regular updates as information is released from the NHC.