Meteorologist Dale Destin for the Antigua and Barbuda Meteorological Service Climate Section said a cold front looks poised to cause a relatively very wet weekend across much of the northeast Caribbean, including Montserrat.

Destin stated that several reliable models are forecasting possible rainfall totals of 1 to 2 inches to fall over the period Friday, 4 February to Sunday, 6 February, 2022.

He said the potential total of 76 mm in 48 to 72 hours is not in and of itself a high figure. However, relative to February, this is a lot of water.

The Meteorologist postulated that the NOAA GFS model is indicating a 30-40% chance of more than 25 mm in 24 hours ending 8 am Saturday, 5 Feb, 2022. He added If the models prove right, this weekend would easily be the wettest in, at least, 16 weeks and the wettest month in four months.

Destin confirmed that the system has already caused wet weather across Hispaniola and Puerto Rico with isolated totals of up to 8 in. He further states that if this amount of rain was to reach Montserrat, it would cause absolutely wet conditions, but it is very unlikely that the island will get this lucky.

Source: Dale Destin, Meteorologist/Climatologist for the Antigua and Barbuda Meteorological Service Climate Section

Photo Credit: NOAA