THE ANTIGUA AND BARBUDA METEOROLOGICAL SERVICES IS FOLLOWING THE PROGRESS OF TROPICAL DISTURBANCE AL94.

THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO BE IN THE VICINITY OF TRINIDAD AND TOBAGO AND SOUTHERN THE WINDWARD ISLANDS TUESDAY/WEDNESDAY, AT WHICH TIME, IT IS FORECAST TO BE A STORM. AT THE REASONABLE WORST-CASE, THE LIKELY TROPICAL CYCLONE POSES LITTLE TO NO WIND THREAT TO MONTSERRAT. NO IMMEDIATE PREPARATIONS ARE NEEDED; HOWEVER, YOU SHOULD BE PREPARED FOR THE HURRICANE SEASON.

AT 8 AM, TROPICAL DISTURBANCE AL94, WAS LOCATED ABOUT 1360 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS MOVING WEST AT 15 TO 20 MPH.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE NEAR 35 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS.

THERE IS A 70 PERCENT CHANCE OF FORMATION INTO A TROPICAL CYCLONE IN 48 HOURS AND A 90 PERCENT CHANCE OF FORMATION IN 5 DAYS.

ON ITS FORECAST TRACK, THE PROBABLE TROPICAL CYCLONE IS FORECAST TO ARRIVE IN THE SOUTHERN ISLANDS LATE TUESDAY MOST LIKELY AS A TROPICAL STORM. ALTHOUGH THE THREAT FROM WINDS WILL LIKELY REMAIN LITTLE TO NONE FOR THE NORTHEAST CARIBBEAN WHICH INCLUDES MONTSERRAT. ABOVE NORMAL WINDS WILL FURTHER DETERIORATE HAZARDOUS SEAS, IN OPEN WATERS.

PLEASE NOTE THAT NO TROPICAL CYCLONE ALERTS, WATCHES OR WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT, AT THIS TIME, AND NONE IS ANTICIPATED BASED ON THE FORECAST TRACK OF THE SYSTEM.

RESIDENTS SHOULD CONTINUE TO MONITOR THIS DEVELOPING SYSTEM AND BE PREPARED FOR THE HURRICANE SEASON.

THE NEXT UPDATE WILL BE GIVEN AROUND 9 AM TOMORROW OR SOONER IF REQUIRED.

FORECASTER DALE DESTIN