RESIDENTS ON MONTSERRAT ARE ADVISED TO MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS DISTURBANCE.

THAT’S ACCORDING TO A TROPICAL STORM ANA (POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE ) ALERT STATEMENT ISSUED BY THE ANTIGUA AND BARBUDA METEOROLOGICAL SERVICES AT 8:00 PM ON SUNDAY, AUGUST 28, 2022

A TROPICAL CYCLONE ALERT MEANS THAT, IN THIS CASE, A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE IS IN OUR MONITORED AREA OF CONCERN, BUT A WATCH OR WARNING IS NOT REQUIRED, AT THIS TIME.

BASED ON THE LATEST OBSERVATION AND ANALYSIS, IT IS TOO EARLY TO SAY WHAT IMPACTS, IF ANY, THE DISTURBANCE (AL91) WILL HAVE ON THE ISLANDS AT THIS TIME.

AT 8 PM, THE DISTURBANCE WAS LOCATED APPROXIMATELY OR ABOUT 1090 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS OR ABOUT 1290 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF THE BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS.

THE DISTURBANCE IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST AT 10 MPH AND THIS MOTION, ALONG WITH A REDUCTION IN FORWARD SPEED AND A TURN TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST IS FORECAST IN THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

EARLIER, SATELLITE DERIVED WINDS INDICATE THAT THE DISTURBANCE WAS PRODUCING WINDS OF 35 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS AND THERE IS A 70 PERCENT OR HIGH CHANCE OF THE DISTURBANCE BECOMIMG A TROPICAL CYCLONE LATER THIS WEEK IF THE CENTER BECOMES BETTER DEFINED.

THERE ARE NO WATCHES OR WARNING IN EFFECT AT THIS TIME; HOWEVER, RESIDENTS SHOULD CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE AT AROUND 8 AM ECT TOMORROW OR SOONER, IF NEEDED.

FORECASTER LENARD JOSIAH / LORNE SALMON