THAT’S ACCORDING TO A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE (AL91) ALERT STATEMENT ISSUED BY THE ANTIGUA AND BARBUDA METEOROLOGICAL SERVICES TONIGHT.

A TROPICAL CYCLONE ALERT MEANS THAT, IN THIS CASE, A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE IS IN OUR MONITORED AREA OF CONCERN BUT A WATCH OR WARNING IS NOT REQUIRED, AT THIS TIME.

BASED ON LATEST OBSERVATION AND ANALYSIS, IT IS TOO EARLY TO SAY WHAT IMPACTS, IF ANY, THE DISTURBANCE (AL91) WILL HAVE ON THE LEEWARD ISLANDS AND BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS. AT THIS TIME, RESIDENTS ON MONTSERRAT ARE ADVISED TO MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS DISTURBANCE.

AT 8 PM, THE DISTURBANCE WAS LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 969 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS AND ABOUT 1159 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF THE BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS.

THE DISTURBANCE IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST AT 5 TO 10 MPH AND THIS MOTION, ALONG WITH A REDUCTION IN FORWARD SPEED AND A TURN TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST IS FORECAST IN THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

THERE IS AN 80 PERCENT OR HIGH CHANCE OF THE DISTURBANCE BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE LATER THIS WEEK ONCE THE CENTER BECOMES BETTER DEFINED.
THERE ARE NO WATCHES OR WARNING IN EFFECT AT THIS TIME; HOWEVER, RESIDENTS SHOULD CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE AT AROUND 2 AM ECT, OR EARLIER SHOULD IT BECOME NECESSARY.

FORECASTER LETITIA HUMPHREYS