FRIDAY MORNING UPDATE: CURRENTLY, TROPICAL DISTURBANCE AL91 POSES A LOW THREAT TO MONTSERRAT; HENCE APART FROM CONTINUED MONITORING, NO OTHER ACTIONS ARE REQUIRED AT THIS TIME.

HOWEVER, A TROPICAL CYCLONE ALERT REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR MONTSERRAT FOR TROPICAL DISTURBANCE AL91.

THAT’S ACCORDING TO THE ANTIGUA AND BARBUDA METEOROLOGICAL SERVICES IN A TROPICAL CYCLONE ALERT STATEMENT ISSUED EARLY MORNING, FRIDAY, 2 SEPTEMBER, 2022.

AT 8PM, THE DISTURBANCE WAS LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 423 MILES EAST OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS AND 614 MILES EAST OF THE BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS.

THE DISTURBANCE IS MOVING SLOWLY TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST AT 5 TO 10 MPH AND THIS MOTION IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ON THIS TRACK, THE DISTURBANCE IS FORECAST TO PASS NORTHEAST OF THE LEEWARDS ON FRIDAY AND SATURDAY; HOWEVER, THERE REMAINS SOME UNCERTAINTY AS TO HOW FAR IT WILL PASS FROM THE ISLANDS BECAUSE A WELL DEFINED CENTER IS NOT YET FORMED.

BASED ON THE LATEST OBSERVATION AND ANALYSIS, SIGNIFICANT WIND IMPACTS ARE NOT ANTICIPATED; HOWEVER, SWELLS FROM THIS SYSTEM COULD PRODUCE HAZARDOUS MARINE CONDITIONS FOR BEACH-GOERS DURING THE WEEKEND.

RESIDENTS ARE ADVISED TO CONTINUE MONITORING THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM UNTIL IT CLEARS THE AREA.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE AT AROUND 8 AM.

FORECASTER PATRICE EDWARDS

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