Yellow Hill – Tuesday, 6 September 2022 – At this time, none of the systems currently poses a threat to Montserrat, and there are no watches or warnings issued for the island.
In the 8AM Tropical Outlook, the National Hurricane Center states that Tropical Disturbance 1 located in the Eastern Tropical Atlantic is likely to become a tropical depression in a few days while moving westward to west-northwestward at 15 to 20 mph over the eastern and central tropical Atlantic. Upper-level winds are likely to become less conducive for development late this week.
Disturbance 1 has a 40% chance of formation in the next two days and, a 60% chance of development in the next five days.
Tropical Disturbance 2 – located over western Africa is forecast to emerge offshore into the eastern Atlantic in a day or two. The system appears generally conducive for some slow development thereafter as it moves west-northwestward over the eastern tropical Atlantic.
Disturbance 2 has a 0% chance of formation in the next two days and, a 20% chance of development in the next five days.
The Disaster Management Coordination Agency, DMCA is encouraging residents and visitors to continue to monitor the DMCA, review their hurricane plans, complete their hurricane preparations, and be prepared.
The Disaster Management Coordination Agency, DMCA will continue to monitor Tropical Disturbance 1, and provide regular updates as information is released from the NHC.