Yellow Hill – Wednesday, 13 September 2022 – The Disaster Management Coordination Agency, DMCA is closely monitoring Tropical Disturbance AL96 located 800 miles east of the Lesser Antilles with a 70% chance of formation in the next two days and, a 70% chance of development in the next five days.

At this time, no watches or warnings issued for Montserrat. We are still awaiting the latest update from the Antigua and Barbuda Meteorological Services this morning.

In the 8AM Tropical Outlook, the National Hurricane Center states that Tropical Disturbance AL96 located about 800 miles east of the Lesser Antilles have persisted overnight and are showing signs of organization. Although upper-level winds are not particularly conducive for additional development, only a slight increase in organization would result in the formation of a tropical depression. The system is forecast to move generally westward over the tropical Atlantic during the next day or so, and move near or over portions of the Leeward Islands Friday and Friday night. Regardless of development, the system is likely to bring gusty winds and locally heavy rainfall to portions of the Leeward Islands which include Montserrat Friday through Saturday. Interests in the Leeward Islands, including Montserrat
should monitor the progress of this system.

In a tropical Cyclone Statement issued on Tuesday, the Antigua and Barbuda Meteorological Services states that Tropical Disturbance AL96 has the potential to become a Tropical Depression or Tropical Storm in five days and impact the islands which include Montserrat and residents should closely and have their hurricane season plans prepared, in the event that they are required to safeguard life, property and livelihood.

The Disaster Management Coordination Agency, DMCA will continue to monitor Tropical Disturbance AL96, and provide regular updates as information is released from the Antigua Met Services.