2 PM UPDATE: DMCA Continues to monitor a second system that is travelling behind Tropical Storm Bret heading in our general direction, in the North East Caribbean. Could be in the area this weekend as a storm.

Yellow Hill – Wednesday, 21 June 2023 – Tropical Disturbance 1 poses no immediate threat to Montserrat at this time, and no watches or warnings have been issued for the island. The Disaster Management Coordination Agency (DMCA) continues to monitor the progress of the system closely and will provide regular updates.

As of Wednesday afternoon, the National Hurricane Center says Tropical Disturbance 1 located about midway between the west coast of Africa and the Lesser Antilles has an elongated surface circulation with maximum sustained winds of about 30 mph. However, showers and thunderstorms continue to show signs of organization, and environmental conditions appear conducive for further development. Therefore, a tropical depression will likely form during the next day or so while the system moves westward to west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph across the central tropical Atlantic through the early part of the weekend.

Disturbance 1 has a 70% chance of formation in the next two days and an 80% chance of development in the next seven days.

May be an image of map and text that says 'All Disturbances Seven-Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook National Hurricane Center Miami, Florida WEATHE www.hurricanes.gov 45N 35N MONTSERRAT Tropical Disturbance 1: 70% Chance of Cyclone Formation in 48 Hours. Tropical Storm BRET 2:00 pm EDT Wed Jun 21 2023 100W 90W 70W 50W 40W Current Disturbances and Seven-Day Cyclone Formation Chance: × 40% Tropical or Sub- -Tropical Cyclone: o Depression Storm Post-Tropical Cyclone or Remnants 5N 30W 40-60% Hurricane 20W 60%'

The Disaster Management Coordination Agency (DMCA) is encouraging residents and visitors to continue to monitor the DMCA, review their hurricane plans, assess their risks, complete their hurricane preparations, and be prepared.

Be Prepared, Stay Prepared, It Only Takes One!

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