THE ANTIGUA AND BARBUDA MET SERVICES SAYS DUE TO THE RELATIVELY HIGH CERTAINTY IN THE FORECAST TRACK, THERE IS HIGH CONFIDENCE THAT TROPICAL STORM CINDY WILL PASS A VERY SAFE DISTANCE AWAY FROM MONTSERRAT. EVEN UNDER THE REASONABLE WORST-CASE SCENARIO, THE SYSTEM POSES LITTLE THREAT TO THE ISLAND.

ACCORDING TO A TROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION STATEMENT ISSUED BY THE ANTIGUA AND BARBUDA METEOROLOGICAL SERVICES TODAY, SATURDAY JUNE 24 2023, IT STATES THAT IT IS FOLLOWING THE PROGRESS OF TROPICAL STORM CINDY, WHICH IS EXPECTED TO PASS NORTH OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS INCLUDING MONTSERRAT EARLY NEXT WEEK. NEVERTHELESS, TO BE SAFE, RESIDENT SHOULD HAVE THEIR HURRICANE DISASTER PLANS PREPARED AND MONITOR THIS STORM UNTIL IT IS OUT OF THE AREA.

NO ALERTS, WATCHES OR WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR MONTSERRAT, AND THIS IS UNLIKELY TO CHANGE.

AT 5 AM, TROPICAL STORM CINDY WAS LOCATED ABOUT 715 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AT 15 MPH.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME GRADUAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.

BASED ON THE FORECAST TRACK, THE SYSTEM IS LIKELY TO PASS OVER 200 MILES AWAY FROM THE AREA ON SUNDAY OR MONDAY. MOISTURE TRAILING CINDY COULD BRING LOCALLY HEAVY

RAINFALL TO THE ISLANDS AROUND MIDWEEK. THE SPECIFIC IMPACT WILL DEPEND ON THE EVENTUAL TRACK AND FORWARD SPEED OF THE SYSTEM.

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RESIDENTS SHOULD CONTINUE TO MONITOR TROPICAL STORM CINDY AND ENSURE THEIR HURRICANE SEASON PLANS ARE PREPARED.

THE NEXT UPDATE WILL BE GIVEN AT AROUND 8 AM SUNDAY, OR SOONER IF REQUIRED.

FORECASTER DALE DESTIN

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