His latest forecast calls for 20 named storms, 11 hurricanes, and 6 major hurricanes, with an Accumulated Cyclone Energy (ACE) of 221. These numbers are higher than average and suggest a potentially intense season.

The primary factors driving this prediction are unusually warm sea surface temperatures across the tropical North Atlantic and cooler-than-normal temperatures in the eastern Equatorial Pacific, conditions often associated with La Niña. These factors typically enhance hurricane development and intensity.

However, Destin also notes that there are uncertainties, particularly regarding the impact of Saharan dust. This dust can suppress hurricane formation, but its intensity and timing are difficult to predict beyond a few days, adding a layer of uncertainty to the overall forecast.

As we move into the peak of the hurricane season (August to October), the situation will require close monitoring.