MONTSERRAT VOLCANO OBSERVATORY (MV0) WEEKLY REPORT OCTOBER 26TH TO NOVEMBER 2ND, 2018

 

Activity at the Soufrière Hills Volcano remains low.

The seismic network recorded three rockfalls and two volcano-tectonic earthquakes this week.

Measurements of the SO2 flux were taken from the helicopter on 26 October and 1 November. There were four traverses on 26 October and eight on 1 November, with average fluxes of 212 and 142 tonnes per day respectively.

Pyroclastic flows can occur at any time without warning on any side of the volcano, including Gages from where they can travel rapidly into Plymouth. Tracks across the Belham Valley can be destroyed or heavily modified by flash flooding or lahars, and caution should be exercised crossing the valley during and after rainfall.

The Hazard Level is 1. There is no public access to Zone V, including Plymouth. Maritime Zones E and W are daytime transit only between sunrise and sunset (boats may sail through the zone but must not stop). Anyone who ignores these restrictions is liable to be prosecuted.

Please continue to monitor ZJB Radio, DMCA’s website at www.dmca.gov.ms and Facebook at Montserrat Disaster Management Coordination Agency-DMCA for regular updates. Continue reading

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SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT AND SEA BATHERS SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION

HERE’S THE REST OF MONTSERRAT’S NATIONAL WEATHER FORECAST  VALID UP TO 8 AM TUESDAY NOVEMBER 5TH, 2018

SYNOPSIS: The presence of a mid to upper level trough coupled with available low level moisture and daytime heating will continue to provide unsettled weather conditions over and around the islands during the next 24 hours.

WEATHER TODAY: Partly cloudy to cloudy skies with a 50 percent or moderate chance of showers and a slight chance of an afternoon thunderstorm.

WEATHER TONIGHT: Mostly cloudy skies with a 70 percent or high chance of showers and a moderate chance of thunderstorms.

WINDS: East at 22 to 33 km/h or 12 to 18 knots with higher gusts during showers as well as over open waters..

SEAS: Significant wave heights of 1.5 to 2.4 metres or 5 to 8 feet. Small craft advisory remains in effect and sea bathers should exercise caution in waters east of the islands.

Sunset today: 5:38 pm. Sunrise tomorrow: 6:09 am.

Please continue to monitor DMCA ’s facebook page -Montserrat Disaster Management Coordination Agency -DMCA and website – www.dmca.gov.msand ZJB Radio Montserrat for regular updates. Continue reading

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7 DAY MARINE WEATHER FORECAST MON. NOVEMBER 5th TO SUN. NOVEMBER 11th, 2018

 

Monday, November 5th, 2018.. 6AM. 6PM..
Seas.. are Northerly 4 to 5′ 4 to 5 feet.
Winds.. are Easterly @ 12 E 8 to 12 MPH.
Skies.. Cloudy with rain throughout the whole day..

Tuesday, November 6th, 2018
Seas.. are 3 to 4′ 3 to 4 feet.
Winds.. are Easterly @ 12 E 8 MPH.
Skies.. Cloudy with rain throughout the morning, as a Tropical Wave goes thru..

Wednesday, November 7th, 2018
Seas.. are 3 to 4′ 3 to 4 feet.
Winds.. are East-north-easterly @ 8 to 12 E 8 MPH.
Skies.. Cloudy with light rain, all day ..

Thursday, November 8th, 2018
Seas.. are 3 to 4′ 3 to 4 feet.
Winds.. are Easterly @ 8 to 12 E 8 to 12 MPH.
Skies.. Partly Sunny with light rain, most of the day ..

Friday, November 9th, 2018
Seas.. are 3 to 4′ 3 to 4 feet.
Winds.. are Easterly @ 12 E 12 MPH.
Skies.. Cloudy with light rain, most of the day ..

Saturday, November 10th, 2018
Seas.. are 4 to 5′ 4 to 5 feet.
Winds.. are Easterly @ 12 ENE 12 MPH.
Skies.. Partly Sunny most of the day..

Sunday, November 11th, 2018
Seas.. are 4 to 5′ 4 to 5 feet.
Winds.. are Easterly @ 12 to 16 E 12 to 16 MPH.
Skies.. Partly Cloudy most of the day..

Please continue to monitor ZJB Radio, DMCA’s website at www.dmca.gov.ms and facebook at Montserrat Disaster Management Coordination Agency-DMCA for regular updates. Continue reading

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MONTSERRAT’S NATIONAL WEATHER FORECAST VALID UP TO 8 AM SATURDAY NOVEMBER 3RD, 2018

 

SYNOPSIS: Some shallow available moisture along with a low to upper-level trough will heighten the chance of showers across the region.

WEATHER TONIGHT: Cloudy with a 70 percent or high chance of showers.

WEATHER TONIGHT: Cloudy with a 70 percent or high chance of showers.

WINDS: East-northeast at 22 to 33 km/h or 12 to 18 knots.

SEAS: Significant wave heights 1.5 to 1.8 metres or 5 to 6 feet. Small craft operators should continue to exercise caution in the waters on the Atlantic side of the islands.

Sunset Today: 5:39 pm. Sunrise Tomorrow: 6:08 am.

Please continue to monitor DMCA ’s facebook page -Montserrat Disaster Management Coordination Agency -DMCA and website – www.dmca.gov.msand ZJB Radio Montserrat for regular updates. Continue reading

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MONTSERRAT’S NATIONAL WEATHER FORECAST VALID UP TO 8 AM THURSDAY NOVEMBER 2ND, 2018

 

SYNOPSIS: With a high pressure system building over the Atlantic Ocean, a moderate windflow will gradually return over the Leewards and BVI; Meanwhile low moisture levels will continue to inhibit significant shower activity

WEATHER TODAY: Partly cloudy with a 20 percent or slight chance of a brief shower

WEATHER TONIGHT: Partly cloudy with 20 percent or slight chance of a brief passing overnight shower

WINDS: East-northeast at 6 to14 knots or 11 to 26 km/h over land and coastal waters.

SEAS: Significant wave height reaching 1.5 meters or 5 feet.

Sunset today: 5:39 pm. Sunrise tomorrow: 6:07 am.

Please continue to monitor DMCA ’s facebook page -Montserrat Disaster Management Coordination Agency -DMCA and website – www.dmca.gov.msand ZJB Radio Montserrat for regular updates. Continue reading

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7 DAY MARINE WEATHER FORECAST MON. OCTOBER 29th TO SUN. NOVEMBER 4th, 2018

Monday, October 29th, 2018. 6 A 6 PM.
Seas.. are Northerly 2 to 3′ N 3 to 4′
Winds. are light Easterly @ 8 SE 4 MPH.
Skies. are SUNNY.

Tuesday, October 30th, 2018
Seas.. are Northerly 3 to 4′ N 2 to 3′
Winds. are South-easterly @ 4 to 8 SE 4 MPH.
Skies. are SUNNY.

Wednesday, October 31st, 2018
Seas.. are Northerly 2′ N 2 to 3′
Winds. are Easterly @ 4 to 8 SE 4 MPH.
Skies. are SUNNY. (Tropical Wave)

Thursday, November 1st, 2018
Seas.. are 2′ to 3′ 3 to 4′
Winds. are Easterly @ 8 to 12 E 12 MPH.
Skies. are Partly SUNNY.

Friday, November 2nd, 2018
Seas.. are 4 to 5′ 4 to 5′
Winds. are Easterly @ 12 to 16 N E 12 to 16 MPH.
Skies. are Cloudy in AM. and Partly SUNNY in PM.

Saturday, November 3rd, 2018
Seas.. are Northerly 4 to 5′ N 4 to 5′
Winds. are North-easterly @ 12 N E 12 MPH.
Skies. are Partly SUNNY in AM. and Cloudy in PM.

Sunday, November 4th, 2018
Seas.. are Northerly 4 to 6′ N 4 to 6′
Winds. are Easterly @ 15 to 20 E 12 to 16 MPH.
Skies. are Partly SUNNY with light rain showers throughout the day. Continue reading

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MONTSERRAT VOLCANO OBSERVATORY (MV0) WEEKLY REPORT OCTOBER 19TH TO OCTOBER 26TH, 2018

 

Activity at the Soufrière Hills Volcano remains low.

The seismic network recorded five volcano-tectonic earthquakes this week.

There have been no measurements of the SO2 flux from the helicopter since 8 October. Data from the new permanent gas-monitoring stations, which are currently being tested, indicate that the flux remains in the range 100 to 400 tonnes per day.

Pyroclastic flows can occur at any time without warning on any side of the volcano, including Gages from where they can travel rapidly into Plymouth. Tracks across the Belham Valley can be destroyed or heavily modified by flash flooding or lahars, and caution should be exercised crossing the valley during and after rainfall.

The Hazard Level is 1. There is no public access to Zone V, including Plymouth. Maritime Zones E and W are daytime transit only between sunrise and sunset (boats may sail through the zone but must not stop). Anyone who ignores these restrictions is liable to be prosecuted.

Please continue to monitor ZJB Radio, DMCA’s website at www.dmca.gov.ms and Facebook at Montserrat Disaster Management Coordination Agency-DMCA for regular updates. Continue reading

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MONTSERRAT’S NATIONAL WEATHER FORECAST VALID UP TO 8 AM TUESDAY OCTOBER 30TH, 2018

 

SYNOPSIS: A light, warm and marginally moist wind flow produced by a trough induced by Hurricane Oscar will maintain a high chance of showers across the region. The winds remaining light throughout the day will also contribute to an uncomfortably warm environment.

WEATHER TODAY: Partly sunny at first then becoming cloudy during the latter part of the morning and this afternoon with a 70 percent or high chance of showers. There is also a 20 percent or slight chance of thunderstorms during the afternoon.

WEATHER TONIGHT: Mostly cloudy with a 70 percent or high chance of showers.

WINDS: Southeasterly at 6 to 15 km/h or 3 to 8 knots today then becoming light and variable or calm tonight.

SEAS: Low swells with significant wave heights 1.2 to 2.1 metres or 4 to 7 feet. A high surf advisory remains in effect and hence, beachgoers should continue to exercise caution against above normal breaking swells.

Sunset today: 5:40 pm. Sunrise tomorrow: 6:06 am.

Please continue to monitor DMCA ’s facebook page -Montserrat Disaster Management Coordination Agency -DMCA and website – www.dmca.gov.msand ZJB Radio Montserrat for regular updates. Continue reading

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MONTSERRAT’S NATIONAL WEATHER FORECAST VALID UP TO 8 AM FRIDAY OCTOBER 27TH, 2018

 

SYNOPSIS: Sinking air and low moisture levels will continue to inhibit shower activity across the area.

WEATHER: Weather today: Mostly sunny. Weather tonight: Mostly clear.

WINDS: Northeast at less than 19 km/h or less than 10 knots.

SEAS: Low swells with significant wave heights of less than 1.5 metres or less than 5 feet.

Sunset today: 5:42 pm. Sunrise tomorrow: 6:05 am.

Please continue to monitor DMCA ’s facebook page -Montserrat Disaster Management Coordination Agency -DMCA and website – www.dmca.gov.msand ZJB Radio Montserrat for regular updates. Continue reading

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NEW TROPICAL DISTURBANCE HAS AN 80 PERCENT CHANCE OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 5 DAYS .

A low pressure system centered about 900 miles east-northeast of the northern Leeward Islands is gradually becoming better defined and the associated shower and thunderstorm activity is showing signs of

organization. This low is expected to move generally northward over the next couple of days into an area where environmental conditions are forecast to be conducive for further development, and a tropical
or subtropical storm is likely to form by early this weekend. After that time, the system is forecast to turn westward well to the north or northeast of the Lesser Antilles through early next week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours…high…70 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days…high…80 percent.

Please continue to monitor DMCA ’s facebook page -Montserrat Disaster Management Coordination Agency -DMCA and website – www.dmca.gov.msand ZJB Radio Montserrat for regular updates. Continue reading

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