ACTIVITY AT THE SOUFRIÈRE HILLS VOLCANO REMAINS LOW -THE HAZARD LEVEL IS 1
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MONDAY’S LOCAL MARINE WEATHER FORECAST FOR CAPTAINS, SAILORS, FISHERS, BOATERS & ADVENTURERS!
DISTURBANCE 1 NOW HAS A LOW CHANCE OF DEVELOPING, HOWEVER, THE SYSTEM COULD PRODUCE LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE ISLANDS OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS… AND, TWO NEW TROPICAL DISTURBANCES ARE FORECAST TO COME INTO BEING…
DMCA CONTINUES TO URGE RESIDENTS TO EXERCISE EXTREME CAUTION WHEN CROSSING THE BELHAM VALLEY RIVER AS LAHARS CAN OCCUR AT ANY TIME WITHOUT WARNING DUE TO A SIGNIFICANT AMOUNT OF RAINFALL.
Yellow Hill, Montserrat – October 15, 2020 – Disturbance 1, a weak area of low pressure near the Lesser Antilles has become less well defined since yesterday. Strong upper-level winds are expected to continue to inhibit development while the system moves west-northwestward over the next couple of days. Although development is no longer anticipated, the system could produce locally heavy rainfall across portions of the Lesser Antilles, the Virgin Islands, and Puerto Rico over the next few days. Development chance is near 0 percent. The Disaster Management Coordination Agency (DMCA) is urging residents to exercise extreme caution when crossing the Belham Valley River as Lahars/mudflows can occur at any time without warning due to a significant amount of rainfall.
ANOTHER BEAUTIFUL OVERCAST DAY ON THE ROCK, CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TODAY -POSSIBLE RAINFALL TOTAL FOR THE FORECAST PERIOD IS 0.2 TO 0.8 INCH – WIND GUSTS OF 25 TO 35 KNOTS ARE POSSIBLE.
THURSDAY’S LOCAL MARINE WEATHER FORECAST FOR CAPTAINS, SAILORS, FISHERS, BOATERS & ADVENTURERS – SMALL CRAFT OPERATORS SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION!
DEVELOPMENT CHANCE DECREASING FOR TROPICAL DISTURBANCE APPROACHING THE ISLANDS, HOWEVER, REGARDLESS OF DEVELOPMENT, THE SYSTEM COULD PRODUCE LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL ACROSS THE ISLAND TODAY – DMCA URGES RESIDENTS TO EXERCISE EXTREME CAUTION WHEN CROSSING THE BELHAM VALLEY RIVER AS LAHARS/MUDFLOWS CAN OCCUR AT ANY TIME WITHOUT WARNING DUE TO A SIGNIFICANT AMOUNT OF RAINFALL.
Yellow Hill Montserrat, October 14, 2020 – The disturbance located about 58°W 14 °N, approaching the Lesser Antilles, continues to produce a large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms, mainly to the east of its center.
Strong upper-level winds are expected to inhibit significant development while the system moves west-northwestward over the next couple of days. Regardless of development, the system could produce locally heavy rainfall across portions of the central and northern Lesser Antilles today. The development chance is 10%.
The Disaster Management Coordination Agency (DMCA) is urging residents to exercise extreme caution when crossing the Belham Valley River as Lahars/mudflows can occur at any time without warning due to a significant amount of rainfall
AN OVERCAST AND SUNNY DAY ON MONTSERRAT TODAY; PARTLY CLOUDY TO CLOUDY SKIES WITH A 70 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS MAINLY DURING THE MID-MORNING TO AFTERNOON HOURS.
POSSIBLE RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS COULD TOTAL 0.5 TO 0.75 OF AN INCH DURING THAT TIME.
TONIGHT: PARTLY CLOUDY TO CLOUDY SKIES WITH A 70 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
SMALL CRAFT OPERATORS SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION.
WEDNESDAY’S LOCAL MARINE WEATHER FORECAST FOR CAPTAINS, SAILORS, FISHERS, BOATERS & ADVENTURERS – SMALL CRAFT OPERATORS SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION.
TROPICAL DISTURBANCE EAST OF THE ISLANDS NOW HAS A 30% CHANCE OF FORMATION; THE SYSTEM DOES NOT POSE A THREAT TO MONTSERRAT AT THIS TIME, HOWEVER, DMCA WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR & PROVIDE THE NECESSARY UPDATES & INFORMATION!
Yellow Hill, Montserrat – October 12, 2020 – Disturbance 1 located about 49°W & 12°N or about 750 miles east of the Windward Islands is moving westward at about 15 mph. Slow development of this system is possible during the next day or so while it moves generally westward near 15 mph. Strong upper-level winds are expected to limit further development by midweek. * Formation chance through 48 hours…low…30 percent * Formation chance through 5 days…low…30 percent Forecaster Beven
A BEAUTIFUL OVERCAST DAY ON THE ROCK! PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS DURING THE MORNING
AFTERNOON & TONIGHT: CLOUDY WITH A 70 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS! POSSIBLE
RAINFALL TOTAL FOR THE FORECAST PERIOD IS 0.20 TO 0.50 INCH.
WINDS: SOME LIGHTER AND VARIABLE OR CALM SPELLS ARE EXPECTED TONIGHT.
