JUST IN: TROPICAL STORM EPSILON FORMS IN THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC. IT IS FORECAST TO BECOME A HURRICANE ON WEDNESDAY. THE SYSTEM POSES NO THREAT TO MONTSERRAT!

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Epsilon is forecast to be at or near hurricane strength when it approaches Bermuda late this week. While it is too soon to determine the exact details of Epsilon’s track and intensity near the island, there is a risk of direct impacts from wind, rainfall, and storm surge on Bermuda, and interests there should closely…

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DISTURBANCE 1 NOW HAS A LOW CHANCE OF DEVELOPING, HOWEVER, THE SYSTEM COULD PRODUCE LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE ISLANDS OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS… AND, TWO NEW TROPICAL DISTURBANCES ARE FORECAST TO COME INTO BEING…

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DMCA CONTINUES TO URGE RESIDENTS TO EXERCISE EXTREME CAUTION WHEN CROSSING THE BELHAM VALLEY RIVER AS LAHARS CAN OCCUR AT ANY TIME WITHOUT WARNING DUE TO A SIGNIFICANT AMOUNT OF RAINFALL.

Yellow Hill, Montserrat – October 15, 2020 – Disturbance 1, a weak area of low pressure near the Lesser Antilles has become less well defined since yesterday. Strong upper-level winds are expected to continue to inhibit development while the system moves west-northwestward over the next couple of days. Although development is no longer anticipated, the system could produce locally heavy rainfall across portions of the Lesser Antilles, the Virgin Islands, and Puerto Rico over the next few days. Development chance is near 0 percent. The Disaster Management Coordination Agency (DMCA) is urging residents to exercise extreme caution when crossing the Belham Valley River as Lahars/mudflows can occur at any time without warning due to a significant amount of rainfall.

DEVELOPMENT CHANCE DECREASING FOR TROPICAL DISTURBANCE APPROACHING THE ISLANDS, HOWEVER, REGARDLESS OF DEVELOPMENT, THE SYSTEM COULD PRODUCE LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL ACROSS THE ISLAND TODAY – DMCA URGES RESIDENTS TO EXERCISE EXTREME CAUTION WHEN CROSSING THE BELHAM VALLEY RIVER AS LAHARS/MUDFLOWS CAN OCCUR AT ANY TIME WITHOUT WARNING DUE TO A SIGNIFICANT AMOUNT OF RAINFALL.

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Yellow Hill Montserrat, October 14, 2020 – The disturbance located about 58°W 14 °N, approaching the Lesser Antilles, continues to produce a large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms, mainly to the east of its center.

Strong upper-level winds are expected to inhibit significant development while the system moves west-northwestward over the next couple of days. Regardless of development, the system could produce locally heavy rainfall across portions of the central and northern Lesser Antilles today. The development chance is 10%.

The Disaster Management Coordination Agency (DMCA) is urging residents to exercise extreme caution when crossing the Belham Valley River as Lahars/mudflows can occur at any time without warning due to a significant amount of rainfall