AN OVERCAST AND SUNNY DAY ON MONTSERRAT TODAY; PARTLY CLOUDY TO CLOUDY SKIES WITH A 70 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS MAINLY DURING THE MID-MORNING TO AFTERNOON HOURS.

POSSIBLE RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS COULD TOTAL 0.5 TO 0.75 OF AN INCH DURING THAT TIME.

TONIGHT: PARTLY CLOUDY TO CLOUDY SKIES WITH A 70 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.

SMALL CRAFT OPERATORS SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION.

TROPICAL DISTURBANCE EAST OF THE ISLANDS NOW HAS A 30% CHANCE OF FORMATION; THE SYSTEM DOES NOT POSE A THREAT TO MONTSERRAT AT THIS TIME, HOWEVER, DMCA WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR & PROVIDE THE NECESSARY UPDATES & INFORMATION!

Yellow Hill, Montserrat – October 12, 2020 – Disturbance 1 located about 49°W & 12°N or about 750 miles east of the Windward Islands is moving westward at about 15 mph. Slow development of this system is possible during the next day or so while it moves generally westward near 15 mph. Strong upper-level winds are expected to limit further development by midweek. * Formation chance through 48 hours…low…30 percent * Formation chance through 5 days…low…30 percent Forecaster Beven

TROPICAL DISTURBANCE EAST OF THE ISLANDS REMAINS AT 20% CHANCE OF FORMATION OVER THE NEXT FIVE (5) DAYS; THE SYSTEM DOES NOT POSE A THREAT TO MONTSERRAT AT THIS TIME, HOWEVER, DMCA WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR AND PROVIDE UPDATES AS NECESSARY

Yellow Hill, Montserrat – October 10, 2020 – Disturbance 1, located about 39°W and 9°N is moving westward at about 15 to 20 mph.

Slow development of this system could be possible later this weekend or early next week. Upper-level winds are forecast to become unfavourable for further development by the middle of next week. Formation chance through 5 days is 20 percent.

SOURCE: NOAA NHC