TROPICAL STORM GONZALO CHURNS TO THE SOUTHERN CARIBBEAN; RESIDENTS SHOULD CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE SYSTEM AS IT PROGRESSES.

Yellow Hill, Montserrat – July 22, 2020 – At 1100 AM, the center of Tropical Storm Gonzalo was located near latitude 9.9 North, longitude 43.6 West. Gonzalo is moving toward the west near 14 mph (22 km/h). A general westward motion at a faster forward speed is expected during the next few days. Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 50 mph (85 km/h) with higher gusts. Additional strengthening is forecast during the next couple of days, and Gonzalo is expected to become a hurricane by Thursday.

Gonzalo is a small tropical cyclone, as tropical-storm-force winds extend outward only up to 25 miles (35 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1000 MB (29.53 inches).

THE DMCA WILL CONTINUE TO PROVIDE UPDATES ACCORDINGLY.

TROPICAL STORM GONZALO HAS FORMED IN THE ATLANTIC BETWEEN AFRICA AND THE LESSER ANTILLES; RESIDENTS SHOULD MONITOR THIS DEVELOPING SYSTEM CLOSELY AND HAVE THEIR HURRICANE PLANS COMPLETED, AS THE PEAK MONTHS OF THE HURRICANE SEASON DRAW NEAR.

Yellow Hill, Montserrat – July 22, 2020 – At 9:00 am update, Tropical Depression Seven strengthened into Tropical Storm Gonzalo in the Atlantic, according to the National Hurricane Center on Wednesday morning. The storm is moving toward the west-northwest at 12 mph and is about 1,250 miles east of the Southern Windward Islands.Gonzalo now has maximum sustained winds at 45 mph, according to the hurricane center. The system is currently not a threat to Florida. The storm will be heading toward the Caribbean this weekend and is a “small storm, which means it can strengthen very quickly. It can also rapidly weaken if it sucks in any of the dry air to its north. It is the seventh named storm of the 2020 Atlantic Hurricane Season. Next complete advisory at 1100 AM.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVEN FORMED IN THE ATLANTIC AND COULD BECOME TROPICAL STORM GONZALO IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THE DMCA IS CLOSELY MONITORING THE DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM LOCATED 1,420 MILES EAST OF THE SOUTHERN WINDWARD ISLANDS WHICH CONTINUES TO GET BETTER ORGANIZED. DMCA URGES RESIDENTS AND VISITORS TO ASSESS THEIR RISK NOW AND STAY PREPARED!

Yellow Hill, Montserrat – July 21, 2020 – At 500 PM, the center of Tropical Depression Seven was located near latitude 9.8 North, longitude 40.4 West. The depression is moving toward the west-northwest near 8 mph (13 km/h).

A turn toward the west with an increase in forwarding speed is expected tonight and Wednesday, and that motion should continue through Friday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts.
Strengthening is forecast during the next couple of days, and the depression is expected to become a tropical storm tonight or Wednesday.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1009 MB (29.80 inches). 

TROPICAL DISTURBANCE AL99 NOW HAS AN 80% CHANCE OF FORMATION IN 48 HRS; THE DMCA IS CLOSELY MONITORING THE DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM LOCATED ABOUT MIDWAY BETWEEN THE WEST COAST OF AFRICA AND THE LESSER ANTILLES WHICH CONTINUES TO GET BETTER ORGANIZED. DMCA URGES RESIDENTS AND VISITORS TO ASSESS THEIR RISK AND STAY PREPARED!

Yellow Hill, Montserrat – July 21st, 2020 at 11 am – Satellite imagery and recent satellite wind data indicate that the low pressure system located about midway between the west coast of Africa and the Lesser Antilles continues to get better organized. If current trends continue, advisories could be initiated on this system as a tropical depression later today. Regardless of development during the next couple of days, less favourable conditions should limit additional development by the weekend.
* Formation chance through 48 hours…high…80 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days…high…80 percent.

Forecaster Beven 

DMCA IS CLOSELY MONITORING THE DEVELOPMENT OF TROPICAL DISTURBANCE-AL99 TRAVERSING THE TROPICAL NORTH ATLANTIC. THE SYSTEM HAS A 60% CHANCE OF BECOMING A TROPICAL DEPRESSION IN 48 HRS. DMCA URGES RESIDENTS AND VISITORS TO ASSESS THEIR RISK AND STAY PREPARED!

Yellow Hill, Montserrat – July 21, 2020 – Showers and thunderstorms have become better organized in association with a low-pressure system located about midway between the west coast of Africa and the Lesser Antilles. Environmental conditions are expected to be somewhat conducive for development, and a tropical depression could form during the next day or two while the low moves westward at around 10 mph over the tropical Atlantic. By the weekend, however, less favourable conditions should limit additional development.* Formation chance through 48 hours…medium…60 percent.* Formation chance through 5 days…medium…60 percent. Forecaster Beven