PREVENTION MITIGATION PREPAREDNESS RESPONSE AND RECOVERY
A TROPICAL CYCLONE ALERT (TCA) IS IN EFFECT FOR MONTSERRAT. TCA MEANS THAT THERE’S A TROPICAL CYCLONE (TD11) IN THE MONITORED AREA, BUT A WATCH OR WARNING IS NOT REQUIRED AT THIS TIME – RESIDENTS ARE URGED TO CLOSELY MONITOR TROPICAL DEPRESSION ELEVEN & BE PREPARED TO IMPLEMENT THEIR HURRICANE PLAN SHOULD THIS SYSTEM BECOME A GREATER THREAT TO THE ISLAND.
TROPICAL DEPRESION ELEVEN ALERT STATEMENT ISSUED BY ANTIGUA AND BARBUDA METEOROLOGICAL SERVICES – THIS IS FOR THE LEEWARD ISLANDS AND BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDSDEPRESSION REMAINS JUST BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH…
11:00 AM WED, AUG 12, 2020
THERE IS HIGH UNCERTAINTY AT THIS TIME IN DETERMINING THE MAGNITUDE OF IMPACTS THE DEPRESSION WILL HAVE ON THE REGION. HOWEVER, THE SYSTEM STILL POSES A THREAT WITH THE POTENTIAL TO CAUSE IMPACTS FROM WINDS, STORM SURGE, SEAS AND FLOODING. AT 11:00 AM, THE CENTRE OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION ELEVEN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 12.4 NORTH, LONGITUDE 44.2 WEST OR ABOUT 1250 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS AND ABOUT 1450 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF THE BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS.
AT 11:00AM, THE CENTRE OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION ELEVEN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 12.4 NORTH, LONGITUDE 44.2 WEST OR ABOUT 1250 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS AND ABOUT 1450 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF THE BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS.THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 14 MPH, AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY. A TURN TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST AT A SIMILAR FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED TONIGHT, WITH THIS MOTION CONTINUING THROUGH THE REST OF THE WEEK.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 35 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. GRADUAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS, AND THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM LATER TODAY.THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1007 MB OR 29.74 INCHES.
ON ITS FORECAST TRACK, TROPICAL DEPRESSION ELEVEN COULD BE NEAR THE ISLANDS LATE FRIDAY OR EARLY SATURDAY AS A TROPICAL STORM. HOWEVER, IT IS STILL A BIT EARLY TO SAY WITH CERTAINTY THE EVENTUAL PATH OF THE SYSTEM, THE WIND INTENSITY ON ARRIVAL AND POSSIBLE RAINFALL TOTALS. TROPICAL DEPRESSION ELEVEN COULD POSSIBLY STILL PASS OVER 120 MILES AWAY FROM THE ISLANDS AND SPARE US OF ANY SERIOUS IMPACT.
WITH ALL THIS IN MIND, RESIDENTS ARE URGED TO CLOSELY MONITOR TROPICAL DEPRESSION ELEVEN AND BE PREPARED TO IMPLEMENT THEIR HURRICANE PLAN SHOULD THIS SYSTEM BECOME A GREATER THREAT TO THE ISLANDS.
