A TROPICAL CYCLONE ALERT REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR MONTSERRAT TONIGHT, SATURDAY – RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE THROUGH THIS WEEKEND AND COULD CAUSE MINOR FLASH FLOODING.

THAT’S ACCORDING TO A TROPICAL STORM EARL ALERT STATEMENT ISSUED BY THE ANTIGUA AND BARBUDA METEOROLOGICAL SERVICES AT 6:00 PM ECT, SAT, SEP 3, 2022.

BASED ON THE LATEST FORECAST TRACK, TROPICAL STORM EARL IS FORECAST TO PASS APPROXIMATELY 60 MILES NORTHEAST OF THE BVI EARLY TOMORROW SUNDAY, A TROPICAL CYCLONE ALERT MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM EARL IS IN OUR MONITORED AREA OF CONCERN, BUT A WATCH OR WARNING IS NOT REQUIRED, AT THIS TIME.

AT 5:00 PM, THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM EARL WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.3 NORTH, LONGITUDE 63.2 WEST OR ABOUT 150 MILES NORTHWEST OF BARBUDA, ABOUT 76 MILES NORTH-NORTHWEST OF ANGUILLA AND ABOUT 111 MILES EAST-NORTHEAST OF THE BVI.

EARL IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH (20 KM/H) AND A SLOWER WEST-NORTHWESTWARD TO NORTHWESTWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS, FOLLOWED BY A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH ON TUESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 50 MPH (65 KM/H) WITH HIGHER GUSTS.

SLOW STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS.

TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES (280 KM), MAINLY TO THE NORTH AND EAST OF THE CENTER WHILE THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 999 MB (29.50 INCHES) STRONG GUSTY WINDS, ESPECIALLY IN SQUALLS, ARE ALSO POSSIBLE ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE LEEWARDS ISLANDS.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE AT 11 PM.

FORECASTER LENARD JOSIAH

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