Yellow Hill – Wednesday, 7 September 2022 – At this time, none of the systems currently poses a threat to Montserrat, and there are no watches or warnings issued for the island.

In the 2PM Tropical Outlook, the National Hurricane Center states that Tropical Disturbance 1 is located several hundred miles west of the Cabo Verde. Additional development of this system is expected over the next couple of days, and a tropical depression could form over this period while it moves westward to west-northwestward at 15 to 20 mph over the eastern and central tropical Atlantic. After that time, upper-level winds are forecast to become less conducive for development of this system.

Disturbance 1 has a 70% chance of formation in the next two days and, a 70% chance of development in the next five days.

Tropical Disturbance 2 located near the west African coast is forecast to emerge offshore into the eastern Atlantic over the next day or so. Some gradual development of the system is expected as the disturbance moves west-northwestward over the eastern tropical Atlantic.

Disturbance 2 has a 0% chance of formation in the next two days and, a 30% chance of development in the next five days.

The statistical peak of hurricane season is this weekend, on Sept. 10. Roughly two-thirds of all tropical systems in the Atlantic basin form in August or September.

The Disaster Management Coordination Agency, DMCA is encouraging residents and visitors to continue to monitor the DMCA, review their hurricane plans, complete their hurricane preparations, and be prepared.

The Disaster Management Coordination Agency, DMCA will continue to monitor Tropical Disturbance 1, and provide regular updates as information is released from the NHC.