Yellow Hill – Thursday, 8 September 2022 – At this time, none of the systems currently poses a threat to Montserrat, and there are no watches or warnings issued for the island.

In the 8AM Tropical Outlook, the National Hurricane Center states that Tropical Disturbance 1 is located almost a thousand miles west-northwest of the Cabo Verde Islands. Additional development of this system is expected, but only a small increase in organization could result in the formation of a short-lived tropical depression or storm later today while it moves westward to west northwestward at 15 to 20 mph over the central tropical Atlantic. After that time, upper-level winds are forecast to become less conducive for development.

Disturbance 1 has a 70% chance of formation in the next two days and, a 70% chance of development in the next five days.

Tropical Disturbance 2 located in the Eastern Tropical Atlantic emerged off the west coast of Africa this morning. Some
gradual development as the system moves generally west-northwestward over the eastern tropical Atlantic.

Disturbance 2 has a 0% chance of formation in the next two days and, a 30% chance of development in the next five days.

The statistical peak of hurricane season is this weekend, on Sept. 10. Roughly two-thirds of all tropical systems in the Atlantic basin form in August or September.

The Disaster Management Coordination Agency, DMCA is encouraging residents and visitors to continue to monitor the DMCA, review their hurricane plans, complete their hurricane preparations, and be prepared.

The Disaster Management Coordination Agency, DMCA will continue to monitor Tropical Disturbance 1, and provide regular updates as information is released from the NHC.