That’s According to the Antigua and Barbuda Meteorological Services.

It states that it’s closely following the progress of AL95 and given the high uncertainty of the development and forecast track, there is little confidence in the eventual strength, size and path of this system. However, in the reasonable worst-case scenario, AL95 poses little threat to the islands. Nevertheless, this assessment is subject to change, to be safe, have your hurricane disaster plan prepared and closely monitor this disturbance until it is out of the area.

At 8: 00 AM – Tropical Disturbance AL95 was located about 900 miles east of the Windward Islands. Although environmental conditions are only forecast to be marginally conducive for some gradual development, this system could still become a tropical depression during the next few days while it moves westward across the tropical Atlantic and eastern Caribbean Sea.

The system has a 30 percent chance of becoming a tropical cyclone in 48 hours and 40 percent in seven days.

Based on the forecast model tracks, the system could be at the nearest point to the area on Monday or Tuesday. At this time, it is likely to be a minimal tropical cyclone and could bring storm-force gusts to the islands and hazardous seas. Impacts, if any, are expected to be minimal.

Please note that no alerts, watches or warnings are currently in effect for the area; however, an alert is possible.

Residents on Montserrat should closely monitor Tropical Disturbance AL95 and ensure that they have their hurricane season plans prepared.

An update will be given around 2 pm today, or sooner if required.

The DMCA will continue to monitor the system and provide regular updates as deemed necessary.