Yellow Hill Road, Montserrat – Saturday, 19 August 2023: The Disaster Management Coordination Agency (DMCA) is closely monitoring the progress of Tropical Disturbance 3 ( AL90) East-Southeast of the Lesser Antilles now with a medium chance of development in 7 days. The seven-day forecast cone, or “cone of uncertainty” includes Montserrat, hence, Residents are encouraged to have their hurricane kits ready with enough supplies to last for at least three days, pay close attention to information, issued by the DMCA and be prepared.

According to Meteorologist, Dale Destin, notwithstanding the disturbance, we are still looking relatively safe from storm winds! Rain is in the forecast and flash flooding is possible across parts of the southern islands.

Tropical Disturbance 3 is located just east of the Windward Islands. Some gradual development of this system is possible and a tropical depression could form during the early and middle parts of next week while it moves westward to west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph, across the Lesser Antilles and over the eastern and central Caribbean Sea.

Formation chance through 48 hours: low, near 20 percent.
Formation chance through seven days: low, 40 percent.

Meanwhile, Tropical Disturbances 1 (red) and 2 (yellow) are not an immediate threat to Montserrat at this time, however, DMCA continues to monitor these two systems.

The DMCA will continue to monitor Tropical Disturbance 3 and provides regular updates until the system passes Montserrat.