Yellow Hill Road, Montserrat – Saturday, 19 August 2023: The Disaster Management Coordination Agency (DMCA) continues to closely monitor the progress of Tropical Disturbance 3 ( AL90) near the Windward Islands now with a 60% chance of development in 7 days. The seven-day forecast cone, or “cone of uncertainty” includes Montserrat, hence, Residents are encouraged to have their hurricane kits ready with enough supplies to last for at least three days, pay close attention to information, issued by the DMCA and be prepared.

Tropical Disturbance 3 formed near the Windward Islands, shower and thunderstorm activity has become better organized since yesterday. Some additional development of this system is likely and a tropical depression could form by early next week while this system moves westward to west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph, across the Lesser Antilles and over the eastern and central Caribbean Sea. Regardless of development, heavy rainfall is possible over portions of the Windward Islands during the next couple of days. Interests in the eastern and central Caribbean should monitor the progress of this system.

Formation chance through 48 hours: low, near 40 percent.
Formation chance through seven days: low, 60 percent.

According to Meteorologist, Dale Destin, Tropical Disturbance AL90, which has a 60% chance of formation in 7 days could become a Tropical Storm early next week and become a BIG problem for the central or western Caribbean.

Meanwhile, Tropical Depression 6 and Tropical Disturbances 1 (red) and 5 (yellow) are not an immediate threat to Montserrat at this time, however, DMCA continues to monitor these two systems.

The DMCA will continue to monitor Tropical Disturbance 3 and provides regular updates until the system passes Montserrat.