Afternoon Update: Development chances increase for Tropical Disturbance 3 near the Windward Islands. Montserrat is still included in the potential path of the system, thus Residents are urged to pay close attention to information issued by the DMCA, and have their Hurricane Plans ready!

Yellow Hill Road, Montserrat – Saturday, 19 August 2023: The Disaster Management Coordination Agency (DMCA) continues to closely monitor the progress of Tropical Disturbance 3 ( AL90) near the Windward Islands now with a 60% chance of development in 7 days. The seven-day forecast cone, or “cone of uncertainty” includes Montserrat, hence, Residents are encouraged to have their hurricane kits ready with enough supplies to last for at least three days, pay close attention to information, issued by the DMCA and be prepared.

Tropical Disturbance 3 formed near the Windward Islands, shower and thunderstorm activity has become better organized since yesterday. Some additional development of this system is likely and a tropical depression could form by early next week while this system moves westward to west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph, across the Lesser Antilles and over the eastern and central Caribbean Sea. Regardless of development, heavy rainfall is possible over portions of the Windward Islands during the next couple of days. Interests in the eastern and central Caribbean should monitor the progress of this system.

Formation chance through 48 hours: low, near 40 percent.
Formation chance through seven days: low, 60 percent.

According to Meteorologist, Dale Destin, Tropical Disturbance AL90, which has a 60% chance of formation in 7 days could become a Tropical Storm early next week and become a BIG problem for the central or western Caribbean.

May be an image of map, radar and text that says 'All Disturbances Seven-Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook National Hurricane Center Miami, Florida wwW hurricanes. gov 45N Disturbance 4: 50% Chance of Cyclone formation in 7 days. Disturbance 1: 70% Chance of Cyclone formation in 7 days. 35N MONTSERRAT TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIX Disturbance 5: 20% Chance of Cyclone formation in 7 days. 25N Disturbance 3: 60% Chance of Cyclone 3:35 pm EDT Sat Aug 19 2023 formation in 7 100W 90W 50W 40W Current Disturbances and Seven-Day Cyclone Formation Chance: x 40% Tropical or Sub- -Tropical Cyclone: o Depression Storm Post-Tropical Cyclone or Remnants 5N 30W 40-60% Hurricane 20W 60%'

Meanwhile, Tropical Depression 6 and Tropical Disturbances 1 (red) and 5 (yellow) are not an immediate threat to Montserrat at this time, however, DMCA continues to monitor these two systems.

The DMCA will continue to monitor Tropical Disturbance 3 and provides regular updates until the system passes Montserrat.

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *