Yellow Hill Road, Montserrat – Sunday, 3 September 2023: The Disaster Management Coordination Agency (DMCA) is closely monitoring the progress of Tropical Disturbance AL95 located over the central Tropical Atlantic moving generally westward, and could become a Tropical Depression mid-week. Although, the seven-day forecast cone, or “cone of uncertainty” includes Montserrat, the system is not an immediate threat to the island at this time. The system’s odds of development in 7 days have increased to 90%. No watches or warnings are in effect for Montserrat.

Tropical Disturbance AL 95 located several hundred miles southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands have become better organized since yesterday. Environmental conditions are forecast to be conducive for further development, and this system is expected to become a tropical depression around midweek. Additional strengthening is likely late this week while the system moves westward to west-northwestward at 15 to 20 mph over the central and western portions of the tropical Atlantic.

Formation chance through 48 hours: low, near 50 percent.
Formation chance through seven days: low, 90 percent.

Residents are encouraged to have their hurricane kits ready with enough supplies to last for at least three days, pay close attention to information, issued by the DMCA, and be prepared,

The DMCA will continue to monitor Tropical Disturbance AL95, and provide regular updates until the system passes Montserrat.