Yellow Hill Road, Montserrat – Sunday, 3 September 2023: The Disaster Management Coordination Agency (DMCA) is closely monitoring the progress of Tropical Disturbance AL95 located over the central Tropical Atlantic moving generally westward and could become a Tropical Depression this week. The seven-day forecast cone, or “cone of uncertainty” includes Montserrat. The system’s odds of development in 7 days have increased to 80%.

Tropical Disturbance AL 95 is located several hundred miles southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands. This system has become better organized since yesterday, and environmental conditions appear conducive for further development this week. A tropical depression is likely to form around midweek while the system moves westward to west-northwestward at 15 to 20 mph over the central and western portions of the tropical Atlantic.

Formation chance through 48 hours: low, near 40 percent.

Formation chance through seven days: low, 80 percent.

Residents are encouraged to have their hurricane kits ready with enough supplies to last for at least three days, pay close attention to information, issued by the DMCA and be prepared.

DMCA will continue to monitor Tropical Disturbance 1 and provide regular updates until the system passes Montserrat.