A tropical cyclone alert remains in effect for Montserrat for Hurricane Erin, which is now a Category 4.

A tropical cyclone alert means, in this case, Hurricane Erin is within our monitored area but not close enough for a watch or warning.

In its Tropical Cyclone Information Statement issued at 5 a.m. on Saturday, August 16, 2025, the Antigua and Barbuda Meteorological Service indicated that the best forecast remains for the centre of Erin to pass northeast then north of all the islands.

It states that the chance of storm-force winds reaching the mentioned islands is low. However, any shift towards the islands could bring the core of the system uncomfortably close to the islands today into Sunday. The risk from swells will rise; hence, those near coastal areas should be aware. Other hazards, such as heavy rainfall accompanied by strong gusty winds, are also possible within outer rain bands.

Residents and visitors on Montserrat should monitor the progress of this cyclone and, to be safe, be prepared for the rest of the hurricane season.

At 8:00 am, the center of Hurricane Erin was located near latitude 19.6 North, longitude 62.0 West. While the eye has wobbled westward during the past few hours, Erin is moving generally toward the west-northwest near 20 mph.

Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 145 mph with higher gusts.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 30 miles from the center, and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 125 miles, mainly to the north of the center.

The minimum central pressure is 935 mb.

Swells from Erin will cause marine conditions to deteriorate, and mariners are advised to remain in port and ensure that their vessels are safely moored.

Forecaster Jaleel Jacobs