THAT’S ACCORDING TO THE 11 AM TROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION STATEMENT ISSUED BY THE ANTIGUA AND BARBUDA METEOROLOGICAL SERVICES SUNDAY JUNE 25 2023 TROPICAL STORM CINDY.

IT STATES THAT NO ALERTS, WATCHES OR WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR MONTSERRAT.

TO BE SAFE DURING THE HURRICANE SEASON, RESIDENTS MUST HAVE THEIR DISASTER PLANS PREPARED, AND STAY VIGILANT.

AT 11 AM, TROPICAL STORM CINDY WAS LOCATED ABOUT 330 MILES NORTHEAST OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS MOVING NORTHWEST AND FURTHER AWAY FROM THE AREA AT 17 MPH.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 45 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 36 HOURS, AND CINDY IS EXPECTED TO DEGENERATE INTO A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE BY MONDAY NIGHT.

THIS IS THE LAST INFORMATION STATEMENT ON THIS SYSTEM.

FORECASTER DALE DESTIN

ACCORDING TO A TROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION STATEMENT ISSUED BY THE ANTIGUA AND BARBUDA METEOROLOGICAL SERVICES TODAY, SATURDAY JUNE 24 2023, IT STATES THAT IT IS FOLLOWING THE PROGRESS OF TROPICAL STORM CINDY, WHICH IS EXPECTED TO PASS NORTH OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS INCLUDING MONTSERRAT EARLY NEXT WEEK. NEVERTHELESS, TO BE SAFE, RESIDENT SHOULD HAVE THEIR HURRICANE DISASTER PLANS PREPARED AND MONITOR THIS STORM UNTIL IT IS OUT OF THE AREA.

NO ALERTS, WATCHES OR WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR MONTSERRAT, AND THIS IS UNLIKELY TO CHANGE.

AT 5 AM, TROPICAL STORM CINDY WAS LOCATED ABOUT 715 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AT 15 MPH.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME GRADUAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.

BASED ON THE FORECAST TRACK, THE SYSTEM IS LIKELY TO PASS OVER 200 MILES AWAY FROM THE AREA ON SUNDAY OR MONDAY. MOISTURE TRAILING CINDY COULD BRING LOCALLY HEAVY

RAINFALL TO THE ISLANDS AROUND MIDWEEK. THE SPECIFIC IMPACT WILL DEPEND ON THE EVENTUAL TRACK AND FORWARD SPEED OF THE SYSTEM.

RESIDENTS SHOULD CONTINUE TO MONITOR TROPICAL STORM CINDY AND ENSURE THEIR HURRICANE SEASON PLANS ARE PREPARED.

THE NEXT UPDATE WILL BE GIVEN AT AROUND 8 AM SUNDAY, OR SOONER IF REQUIRED.

FORECASTER DALE DESTIN

ACCORDING TO A TROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION STATEMENT ISSUED BY THE ANTIGUA AND BARBUDA METEOROLOGICAL SERVICES TODAY, FRIDAY 23 JUNE 2023, GIVEN THE RELATIVELY HIGH CERTAINTY OF THE FORECAST TRACK, THERE IS HIGH CONFIDENCE THAT CINDY WILL PASS A SAFE DISTANCE AWAY FROM THE AREA. EVEN UNDER THE REASONABLE WORST-CASE SCENARIO, THE SYSTEM POSES LITTLE DIRECT THREAT TO THE ISLANDS. NEVERTHELESS, THIS ASSESSMENT IS SUBJECT TO CHANGE, TO BE SAFE, HAVE YOUR HURRICANE DISASTER PLAN PREPARED AND CLOSELY MONITOR THIS STORM UNTIL IT IS OUT OF THE AREA.

AT 9 AM, TROPICAL STORM CINDY WAS LOCATED ABOUT 1020 MILES SOUTHEAST OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS MOVING WEST AT 15 MPH.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

BASED ON THE FORECAST TRACK, THE SYSTEM COULD BE AT THE NEAREST POINT TO THE AREA ON SUNDAY OR MONDAY. THEREAFTER, DURING THE FIRST HALF OF NEXT WEEK, CINDY COULD BRING LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AND GUSTY WINDS TO THE ISLANDS. THE SPECIFIC IMPACT WILL DEPEND ON THE INTENSITY, SIZE, TRACK AND FORWARD SPEED OF THE SYSTEM.

PLEASE NOTE THAT NO ALERTS, WATCHES OR WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR THE AREA, AND THIS IS UNLIKELY TO CHANGE.

RESIDENTS SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR TROPICAL STORM CINDY AND ENSURE THEY HAVE THEIR HURRICANE SEASON PLANS PREPARED.

AN UPDATE WILL BE GIVEN AROUND 11 PM TONIGHT, OR SOONER IF REQUIRED.

FORECASTER DALE DESTIN

THAT’S ACCORDING TO THE 5 AM TROPICAL ALERT STATEMENT ISSUED BY THE ANTIGUA AND BARBUDA METEOROLOGICAL SERVICES ON FRIDAY, 23 JUNE 2023.

IT STATES THAT ON ITS PRESENT TRACK, THE CENTRE OF TROPICAL STORM BRET IS FORECAST TO MOVE FURTHER INTO THE CARIBBEAN SEA AND AWAY FROM THE WINDWARD ISLANDS DURING THE COMING DAYS.

SOME WEAKENING IS EXPECTED THIS MORNING, HOWEVER, RAINBANDS WILL CONTINUE TO PRODUCE RAIN AND STRONG WINDS IN PORTIONS OF THE WINDWARD ISLANDS.
,
AT 5 AM, THE CENTRE OF TROPICAL STORM BRET WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.4 NORTH, LONGITUDE 62.9 WEST OR ABOUT 231 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS AND 316 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF THE BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS TROPICAL STORM BRET IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST AT 18 MPH AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS LIKELY TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE WEEKEND.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 60 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. FURTHER WEAKENING IS ANTICIPATED AND BRET IS EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE OVER THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN SEA BY SATURDAY NIGHT OR SUNDAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 125 MILES FROM THE CENTRE.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1001 MB OR 29.56 INCHES.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE AT 11 AM.

FORECASTER JALEEL JACOBS

THAT’S ACCORDING TO THE 5 AM TROPICAL ALERT STATEMENT ISSUED BY THE ANTIGUA AND BARBUDA METEOROLOGICAL SERVICES ON THURSDAY, 22 JUNE 2023.

AT 5 PM, THE CENTRE OF TROPICAL STORM BRET WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.4 NORTH, LONGITUDE 59.6 WEST OR ABOUT 256 MILES SOUTH OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS AND 416 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF THE BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS
TROPICAL STORM BRET IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST AT 16 MILES PER HOUR AND THIS GENERAL MOTION WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 65 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME GRADUAL WEAKENING IS ANTICIPATED OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES FROM THE CENTRE.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1002 MB OR 29.59 INCHES.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE AT 11 PM.

FORECASTER LORNE SALMON

For the full situation report please click HERE: http://dmca.gov.ms/wp-content/uploads/2023/06/Information-Note-1-Tropical-Storm-Bret-June-22-2023.pdf

THAT’S ACCORDING TO THE 5 AM TROPICAL ALERT STATEMENT ISSUED BY THE ANTIGUA AND BARBUDA METEOROLOGICAL SERVICES ON THURSDAY, 22 JUNE 2023.

IT STATES THAT BRET IS NEARING THE WINDWARD ISLANDS AND IS EXPECTED TO BRING STRONG WINDS AND HEAVY RAIN TO A PORTION OF THE WINDWARD ISLANDS LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT.

AT 11 AM, THE CENTRE OF TROPICAL STORM BRET WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.8 NORTH, LONGITUDE 57.7 WEST OR ABOUT 309 MILES SOUTHEAST OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS AND 484 MILES SOUTHEAST OF THE BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS.

TROPICAL STORM BRET IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 14 MILES PER HOUR AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 70 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY IS FORECAST TODAY AND SOME WEAKENING IS ANTICIPATED TO BEGIN TONIGHT OR FRIDAY AFTER BRET PASSES THE ISLANDS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND UP TO 115 MILES FROM THE CENTRE.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 999 MB OR 29.50 INCHES.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE AT 5 PM TODAY.

FORECASTER LORNE SALMON

According to the Antigua and Barbuda Meteorological Services Moderate long-period swells are expected to reach the area and affect mainly the eastern coastlines. The threat level to the life, livelihood, property and infrastructure of those using the affected coastlines will rise to moderate. These swells could cause life-threatening surfs and rip currents on affected coastlines. A high surf advisory means that dangerous surfs of 2 to 3 metres or 6 to 10 feet will affect some coastlines in the advisory area, producing hazardous conditions.
Location: Reefs and exposed northern coastlines with relatively shallow, gently to moderately sloping, nearshore areas.

Timing: Thursday morning until Friday morning.

Synopsis: Seas (significant wave heights): 2.1 to 3.7 metres (7 to 12 feet), occasionally or locally reaching near 4.6 metres (15 feet). Swell period: 10 to 14 seconds. Swells: East at 1.5 to 2.5 metres (5 to 8 feet) and occasionally higher.

Surfs (breaking swells): Over 2 metres (over 6 feet). These conditions are conducive for dangerous rip currents. Please note that surfs could be as much as twice the height of swells, depending on the bathymetry of the nearshore areas.

Coastal flooding: High tides combined with onshore wind and swell actions could result in localized coastal flooding and beach erosion.

Potential Impacts: Loss of life–strong currents that can carry even the strongest swimmers out to sea; injuries to beachgoers; beach erosion; sea water splashing onto low-lying coastal roads; beach closures; localized disruptions to marine recreation and businesses; financial losses; damage to coral reefs; saltwater intrusion and disruptions to potable water from desalination. High surfs can knock spectators off exposed rocks and jetties.

Precautionary: Beachgoers, especially to the mainly affected coastlines, should be extremely cautious; bathe only where lifeguards are present or on the sheltered, less affected beaches, mainly to the west. Extreme caution is also required by those using the affected non-beach or rocky coastlines.

Rip currents are powerful channels of water flowing quickly away from shore, which occur most often at low spots or breaks in the sandbar and near structures such as groins, jetties and piers. If caught in a rip current, relax and float.

Don`t swim against the current. If able, swim in a direction following the shoreline. If unable to escape, face the shore and call or wave for help.

Forecaster: Dale Destin

Yellow Hill – Thursday, 22 June 2023 – Tropical Depression 4 is not an immediate threat to Montserrat at this time, and no watches or warnings have been issued for the island. The Disaster Management Coordination Agency (DMCA) continues to monitor the progress of the system closely and will provide regular updates.

As of 5 AM, the National Hurricane Center Advisory says the center of Tropical Depression Four was located near latitude 10.9 North, longitude 41.1 West. The depression is moving toward the west near 12 mph (19 km/h), and this motion is expected to increase with a turn toward the northwest during the next few days. On the forecast track, the depression is expected to remain east of the northern Leeward Islands through the
weekend.

Maximum sustained winds are estimated to be near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. Some strengthening is forecast during the next few days, and the depression is expected to become a tropical storm in a day or so.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1007 mb (29.74 inches).

The Disaster Management Coordination Agency (DMCA) is urging residents and visitors to continue to monitor the DMCA, review their hurricane plans, assess their risks, complete their hurricane preparations, and be prepared.

Be Prepared, Stay Prepared, It Only Takes One!

ACCORDING TO THE 5 AM TROPICAL ALERT STATEMENT ISSUED BY THE ANTIGUA AND BARBUDA METEOROLOGICAL SERVICES ON THURSDAY, 22 JUNE 2023, ON ITS PRESENT TRACK, BRET IS FORECAST TO MOVE OVER THE WINDWARD ISLANDS ON THURSDAY WELL SOUTH OF AND AT A SAFE DISTANCE FROM MONTSERRAT. NO SPECIFIC ACTION IS REQUIRED OF RESIDENTS AT THIS TIME OTHER THAN TO KEEP MONITORING THE PROGRESS OF TROPICAL STORM BRET.

AT 5 AM, THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM BRET WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.7 NORTH, LONGITUDE 56.6 WEST OR ABOUT 363 MILES SOUTHEAST OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS.

BRET IS MOVING TOWARDS THE WEST NEAR 15 MILES PER HOUR AND THIS GENERAL MOTION WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 70 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO WHILE BRET APPROACHES THE LESSER ANTILLES. WEAKENING IS ANTICIPATED TO BEGIN THURSDAY NIGHT OR FRIDAY AFTER BRET PASSES THE LESSER ANTILLES, AND THE SYSTEM IS LIKELY TO DISSIPATE OVER THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN SEA BY SATURDAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND UP TO 115 MILES FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 996 MB OR 29.42 INCHES.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE AT 11 AM.

FORECASTER CECIL MATTHEW