2PM UPDATE, TUESDAY SEPTEMBER 14, 2021 – The Disaster Management Coordination Agency, DMCA continues to monitor Tropical Disturbance 1 located few hundred miles south-southeast of the Cabo Verde Islands that continues to show signs of organization.

According to the 2 PM National Hurricane Center Advisory on Tropical Disturbance 1, it states that environmental conditions are expected to remain conducive for development of the disturbance, and a tropical depression is likely to form during the next couple of days while the system moves generally westward at about 15 mph across the eastern tropical Atlantic Ocean. The system has a high (70 percent) chance of formation during the next 48 hours and a high (90 percent) chance during the next five days.

It’s still way too early to predict what will become of this system and where it will go. However, residents are urged to continue to monitor the Atlantic for any changes with this tropical disturbance over the next several days.

The Disaster Management Coordination Agency, DMCA will continue to keep an eye on Tropical Disturbance 1 and will provide regular updates as new information is released.

At 5 AM, the center of Hurricane Larry was located near latitude 18.8 North, longitude 49.0 West. Larry is moving toward the northwest near 14 mph (22 km/h). A northwestward motion with a slight decrease in forward speed is expected during the next few days.

Maximum sustained winds are near 120 mph with higher gusts.

Larry is a category 3 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. Little change in strength is forecast during the next few days, although fluctuations in intensity will be possible. Larry is expected to remain a major hurricane through the middle of this week.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 45 miles from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 160 miles.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 958 mb. A drifting buoy near the center of Larry recently measured a pressure of 962.9 mb.

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND

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SURF: Swells generated by Larry are expected to reach the Lesser Antilles today which includes Montserrat.

Continue to check the DMCA Facebook, Twitter and Instagram pages and our website http://dmca.gov.ms for daily updates.

RESIDENTS SHOULD CONTINUE TO MONITOR HURRICANE LARRY.

At 5 AM, the center of Hurricane Larry was located near latitude 16.3 North, longitude 44.6 West. Larry is moving toward the west-northwest near 16 mph. A slightly slower west-northwest to northwest motion is expected during the next few days.

Maximum sustained winds are near 115 mph with higher gusts. Larry is a category 3 Hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. Strengthening is forecast over the next day or two, and Larry is expected to remain at major hurricane strength through the early part of next week.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 35 miles from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 150 miles.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 965 mb (28.50 inches).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND

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SURF: Swells generated by Larry are expected to reach the Lesser Antilles which includes Montserrat on Sunday. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions.

Residents should continue to monitor the Atlantic for any changes with Hurricane Larry.Continue to check the DMCA Facebook, Twitter and Instagram pages and our website http://dmca.gov.ms for daily updates.

The Disaster Management Coordination Agency, DMCA will continue to monitor the disturbance and provide regular updates accordingly.

Weather Authority and Photo Credits: NHC NOAA

The Antigua and Barbuda Meteorological Services is cautioning residents with respiratory &/ or heart issues to reduce physical exertion when outdoors.

The full bulletin below:

Swells generated by Hurricane Larry are forecast to reach the Lesser Antilles which Includes Montserrat on Sunday. These Swells are Likely to Cause Life-Threatening Surf and Rip Current Conditions.

The National Hurricane Center said Hurricane Larry continues to gradually become better organized with winds of 90 mph winds. It states that Larry is expected to become a major hurricane by Friday night.

At 5 AM, the center of Hurricane Larry was located near latitude 14.6 North, longitude 38.9 West. Larry is moving toward the west-northwest near 20 mph (31 km/h) and this motion is expected during the next few days. A turn to the northwest is forecast by early next week.Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 90 mph (150 km/h) with higher gusts. Additional strengthening is forecast during the next few days, and Larry could become a major hurricane by tonight.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 25 miles (35 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 150 miles.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 982 mb (29.00 inches).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND

———————-

SURF: Swells generated by Larry are expected to reach the Lesser Antilles on Sunday. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions.

Continue to check the DMCA Facebook, Twitter and Instagram pages and our website http://dmca.gov.ms for daily updates.

The Disaster Management Coordination Agency, DMCA will continue to monitor Tropical Storm Larry and provide regular updates accordingly.

RESIDENTS SHOULD CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF HURRICANE LARRY.

Yellow Hill, Montserrat, Thursday September 2, 2021 – The National Hurricane Center said Larry is getting larger and a bit stronger, now up to 80 mph winds, a Category 1 hurricane. It states that Larry is expected to become a major hurricane by Friday night.

At 11 AM, the center of Hurricane Larry was located near latitude 13.5 North, longitude 34.2 West. Larry is moving toward the west near 17 mph (28 km/h).

A gradual turn towards the west-northwest with a decrease in forward speed are expected over the next few days. Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 80 mph (130 km/h) with higher gusts. Steady to rapid strengthening is forecast during the next couple of days, and Larry is expected to become a a major hurricane by Friday night.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 15 miles (30 km) from the center. Recent satellite wind data indicates that the tropical-storm-force wind radii are expanding and now extend outward up to 160 miles (260 km).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 985 mb (29.09 inches).

Continue to check the DMCA Facebook, Twitter and Instagram pages and our website http://dmca.gov.ms for daily updates.

The Disaster Management Coordination Agency, DMCA will continue to monitor Tropical Storm Larry and provide regular updates accordingly.

A New Tropical Disturbance (yellow) is expected to emerge off the west African coast by the middle of next week. The system has a 20% chance of tropical development in 5 days.

The other two disturbances in the Atlantic have a 60% (orange) and an 80% (red) chance of tropical cyclone formation over the next 5 days, respectively.

Tropical Storm Ida has rapidly intensified and is now a hurricane impacting Cuba.

None of the Tropical Disturbances appears to be a threat to Montserrat at this time.

Residents, visitors, and in particular, the vulnerable are urged to be informed, be prepared and remain vigilant as we’re at the peak of the 2021 Atlantic Hurricane Season.

Continue to check the DMCA Facebook, Twitter and Instagram pages and our website http://dmca.gov.ms for daily updates.

The Disaster Management Coordination Agency, DMCA will continue to monitor the Tropical Atlantic in case of any changes with these tropical disturbances.

Synopsis: A tropical wave is approaching the Eastern Caribbean. However most of the cloudiness and showers will pass south of the Leeward Islands and British Virgin Islands.

Weather tonight: Partly cloudy with a 30 percent or low chance of showers.

Weather tomorrow: Partly cloudy with a 30 percent or low chance of showers.Winds: East at 15 to 28 km/h or 9 to 17 mph.

Seas: 1.2 to 1.8 metres or 4 to 6 feet.Sunrise tomorrow: 5:55 pm.

Weather Report: Antigua and Barbuda Meteorological Services Orvin Paige-Forecaster

Photo Credits: IslandofMontserrat

Tropical Storm Ida has formed in the Caribbean Sea. The system was located about 130 miles SE of Grand Cayman moving NW at 14 mph with maximum sustained winds of 40 mph. Steady strengthening is forecast during the next few days. A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for the Cayman Islands, Cuban provinces of Matanzas, Mayabeque, Havana, Artemisa, Pinar del Rio, and the Isle of Youth.

The other two Tropical Disturbances in the Tropical Atlantic being monitored both have a 70% chance of Tropical cyclone formation over the next 5 days, respectively. At this time, none of the Tropical Disturbances appear to be a threat to Montserrat.

Residents, visitors, and in particularly, the vulnerable are urged to be informed, be prepared and remain vigilant as we’re in the peak of the 2021 Atlantic Hurricane Season.

Continue to check the DMCA Facebook, Twitter and Instragam pages and our website http://dmca.gov.ms for daily updates.

The Disaster Management Coordination Agency, DMCA will continue to monitor the Tropical Atlantic in case of any changes with these tropical disturbances.

Three (3)Tropical Disturbances are still in the Caribbean and the Atlantic with 80% (red), 80% (red) and 30% (yellow) chance of Tropical cyclone formation over the next 5 days respectively.

At this time, none of the Tropical Disturbances appear to be a threat to Montserrat.

Residents, visitors, and in particularly, the vulnerable are urged to be informed, prepared and vigilant as we’re in the peak of the 2021 Atlantic Hurricane Season.

Continue to check the DMCA Facebook, Twitter and Instragam pages and our website http://dmca.gov.ms for daily updates.

The Disaster Management Coordination Agency, DMCA will continue to monitor the Tropical Atlantic in case of any changes with these tropical disturbances.