Yellow Hill – Tuesday, 4 October 2022 – The Disaster Management Coordination Agency, DMCA continues to monitor the progress of Tropical Disturbance 2 (orange) located near 10.5N 55W at 8 am today, with a low chance of development in 48 hrs and a medium probability of formation over the next 5 days. At this time, the system is not a threat to Montserrat, and there are no watches or warnings issued for the island.

According to the 8AM Tropical Outlook issued by the National Hurricane Center, Tropical Disturbance 2 located a few hundred miles east of the southern Windward Islands has increased a little this morning, but there are not yet any signs of significant organization. The system is forecast to move westward at about 15 mph, crossing the Windward Islands tonight and early Wednesday. Some slow development is possible while the disturbance continues westward, and a tropical depression could form by late this week or this weekend over the central or western Caribbean Sea. The system has a 20% chance of formation in the next two days and, a 40% chance of development in the next five days.

Tropical Disturbance 1 is located a few hundred miles west-southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands. A tropical depression is likely to form during the next day or so while moving northwestward at about 10 mph over the eastern tropical Atlantic. The system has a 60% chance of formation in the next two days and, a 70% chance of development in the next five days.

The Disaster Management Coordination Agency, DMCA is encouraging residents to continue to monitor the DMCA and be prepared.

DMCA will continue to monitor Tropical Disturbances 1 and 2, and will provide updates as information becomes available.